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Champions League tonight - including Porto v Juventus...

Wednesday 17th February 2021

In Across the Leagues today:

  • Champions League...
  • Porto v Juventus...
  • Sevilla v Borussia Dortmund...

Champions League tonight - including Porto v Juventus...

The players mentioned in yesterday’s analysis all found the net. With Lionel Messi scoring for Barcelona, from the penalty spot. And Sadio Mane getting on the scoresheet for Liverpool.

In the Anytime Scorer market, Messi paid out at 4/5 (1.8), and Mane at 21/10 (3.1).

  • Messi has now scored in 10 of his last 15 appearances in all competitions for Barca
  • Mane has scored or been booked in 7 of his last 11 starts in the Champions League (3 out of 5 this season)

Also, in Neymar’s absence for PSG, Kylian Mbappe and Moise Kean came up with the goals for the French champions.

And away from the Champions League, in English League One, Northampton Town’s scoring problems continue. The Cobblers drew 0-0 at Ipswich last night. They’ve now gone 6 league games in a row without scoring.

Onto this evening’s UEFA action now...

Porto v Juventus

8pm - BT Sport

After Messi last night, I make no apologies for keeping it simple and staying with the ‘back the best’ theme for Porto v Juventus...

That means Cristiano Ronaldo is the man to back in the Anytime Scorer market, at 23/20 (2.15).

Ronaldo has landed this bet in 3 out of 4 Champions League appearances this season. And in 2 of his last 4 games for Juve.

Porto have drawn 4 matches in a row in Portugal: 2-2, 1-1, 2-2, 0-0. They’re yet to concede a goal at home in the Champions League this season. But I’m not reading too much into that. Two of those clean sheets were against Olympiakos and Marseille. The other was a 0-0 with Man City, but that needs a star by it, as City were already cruising in the Group, with 4 wins out of 4 ahead of that trip.

Plus, if Juventus get a penalty, Ronaldo will be the man with the ball…

Alvaro Morato takes pens when Ronnie isn’t on the pitch. Morato started the season in prolific form, including 6 goals in the Champions League Group stage before Christmas. The Spanish forward has been less reliable lately though, with just one Anytime Scorer payout from his last 7 games in all comps. Odds of 2/1 might appeal to you though.

Sevilla v Borussia Dortmund

8pm - BT Sport

The go-to man here would be Erling Braut Haaland. The 20-year-old Norwegian’s first couple of seasons in Europe have been nothing short of sensational. Haaland has scored a total of 16 goals in his first 12 outings in this competition. He’s around Evens (2.0) to add to the tally today.

But away to Sevilla might not be the best match to take him in…

Europa League winners Sevilla have won 8 games in a row in all comps, and that run includes 5 out of 5 Wins To Nil at home.

Dortmund have lost their last 6 away games in the Champions League knockout rounds. On the more recent form, the German side have won just one of their last 6 games in the Bundesliga, and are playing under a caretaker boss until the end of the season.

Sevilla are 11/8 (2.38) to win. For a larger price, this Half Time/ Full Time angle catches my eye:

  • 10 of Dortmund’s last 11 Bundesliga games have been level at the break (Half Time Draw)
  • 3 of Sevilla’s last 4 victories have seen them drawing at 45 mins, and claiming the win in the second half (HT Draw/ FT Win)

It’s also worth noting that both of last night’s Champions League 1st Leg matches were all square at half time, before being settled in the second half.

HT Draw/ FT Sevilla appeals as a 5/1 shot here.

Today’s picks

From the analysis above, here are my picks for today...

Porto v Juventus

  • Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 23/20 (2.15) with Skybet, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral, 11/10 (2.1) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook 

Sevilla v Borussia Dortmund

  • Half Time/ Full Time: Draw/ Sevilla @ 5/1 (6.0) with Betfred, 9/2 (5.5) in general

I’ll be back tomorrow, when we’ll be looking at the Europa League.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues