Thursday 6th April 2023

In Across the Leagues today:

• 63/1 Bet Builder for Liverpool v Arsenal…
• 33/1 for 3 Draws…
• Good Friday games… 

Easter Weekend Picks – at 33/1 and 63/1…

I’ve had a couple of good emails in from Across the Leagues members this week…

Richard R writes in to say he had a nice payout from Paddy Power midweek, thanks to Fabinho’s yellow card at Chelsea. The Liverpool midfielder stays in our notes for this weekend…

And Chris B is loving the Bet Builders. Chris has cashed-in on the stats by picking himself a couple of very successful Premier League combinations over the past week – at 19/1 and 32/1. Great work!

• Got some info to share? Email me at: oliver@acrosstheleagues.co.uk

Bet Builder: Liverpool v Arsenal

Premier League
Sunday 4.30pm, Sky Sports

Fabinho has now been booked in 6 of his last 11 games in all competitions. Liverpool’s most-carded player stays on the list for the big Super Sunday game on Sky Sports…

• Fabinho also got a yellow card in this fixture last season (Liverpool v Arsenal at Anfield)

The head-to-head from recent meetings points us the way of Under 10.5 Corners here (note: some bookies call this Under 11 Corners). A bet that has also paid out in 9 of Liverpool’s last 11 Premier League games, and in each of their last 10 in all comps at Anfield. Four of Arsenal’s last 6 league games have produced fewer than 10 Total Corners.

Liverpool v Arsenal – all competitions:

• Last 9 meetings = Under 10.5 Corners

Also:
12 of last 13 meetings = Under 10.5 Corners
4 of last 5 meetings = Exactly 7 Total Corners

On the Anytime Scorer front, I see no reason to deviate from the respective top scorers from each side here:

• Mo Salah has scored in 4 home games in a row for Liverpool, and in 7 of his last 10 at Anfield overall. Salah has a track record for coming up with the goods in big games this season – finding the net against the likes of Man City (in 3 separate games), Man Utd (twice), Real Madrid, Napoli, Tottenham, and against Everton in the Merseyside derby

• Gabriel Martinelli has landed Anytime Scorers bets in 5 of his last 7 Premier League appearances for Arsenal. He also scored the First Goal after just one minute in the reverse fixture at the Emirates (Arsenal won 3-2)

And in the Total Goals department, we have to lean towards the ‘Over’ option here:

• Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in each of Arsenal’s last 5 league games, and in 7 of their last 8 

• Liverpool have scored in all but one of their 13 Premier League home matches this season (92%). And the Gunners boast a 93% Scored In record on the road (13 out of 14)

Those standout stats make up a five-pronged combo for our Easter Sunday Bet Builder, with tasty odds of 63/1 at Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook…

Bet Builder – 5 legs:

Shown a Card: Fabinho
Over 2.5 Goals
Anytime Scorer: Mo Salah
Anytime Scorer: Gabriel Martinelli
Under 10.5 Corners

• Bet Builder options are also available with the likes of Betfair Sportsbook, Bet365, Skybet, William Hill, BetVictor, Unibet, Boylesports.

Looking at the individual prices for those legs, the two at the biggest odds also appeal as standalone singles for this game – at top prices of 5/2 (3.5) apiece:

• Shown a Card: Fabinho

• Anytime Scorer: Gabriel Martinelli

33/1 for 3 draws…

A 63/1 Bet Builder is one big-odds angle for the weekend. A 33/1 treble on England’s three top-rated ‘Draw specialists’ is another…

The ever-useful Top Performing Teams tables on our website highlight three teams as standout bets for the Draw so far in 2022/23:

Lincoln
Brentford
Walsall

And having looked into the home/ away form and Good Friday/ Saturday match-ups, these fixtures catch the eye for a speculative treble on three draws...

Lincoln v Cheltenham – League One, Friday 3pm

Rochdale v Walsall – League Two, Friday 3pm

Brentford v Newcastle – Premier League, Saturday 3pm

My advice here is a small-stakes Trixie – splitting a stake four ways, across the 33/1 treble, and three doubles at approx. 9/1 each. Eg. 0.25 pt x 4 lines = 1 pt total stake.

Here are those top-ranking Draw percentages:

TODAY’S PICKS

See above for full details

Liverpool v Arsenal

Premier League, Sunday 4.30pm – Sky Sports

• Bet Builder: 5 legs as listed above @ 63/1 Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook

• Player Shown a Card: Fabinho @ 5/2 (3.5) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Unibet, 9/4 (3.25) Bet365 (market called ‘Player To Be Booked’), 2/1 (3.0) Skybet

• Anytime Scorer: Gabriel Martinelli @ 5/2 (3.5) Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 12/5 (3.4) William Hill, 9/4 (3.25) Skybet, 2/1 (3.0) BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betfred, Boylesports

Lincoln v Cheltenham – League One, Friday 3pm
Rochdale v Walsall – League Two, Friday 3pm
Brentford v Newcastle – Premier League, Saturday 3pm

• Trixie: 3 Draws as listed above – best odds Betfred, Unibet, Sporting Index Fixed Odds (33/1 the treble)

Have a great Bank Holiday weekend. And enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues