Tuesday 24th November 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
- Tonight’s games…
- Both Teams to Score contenders…
- The dangerous dozen…
Your wish is my command at 87/1…
They say great minds think alike…
Well, after Alan W’s email over the weekend, fellow Across the Leagues member Chris B has also written in to express his fondness for the Win & Both Teams to Score (Win & BTTS) markets:
“Hi Oliver, I am keen on the BTTS and WIN/BTTS markets. So any selections, up to a maximum of 4 would be ripe for me. I needed Bristol Rovers to score on Saturday, rather than hitting the post!! to make a lovely 4/Fold of BTTS selections. I also like to select 4 Draws and cover as 4 Trebles and a 4/Fold, so any help with those would be great. I am not looking for a P&L Tipping service but any ideas would be much appreciated”
And as I stated yesterday, I was already planning to give Win & BTTS some serious airtime and consideration from now on…
With the Internationals over until next year, domestic league form building up nicely on the Goals and Match Results front, and stacks of games on every week from now through to Christmas and beyond.
Let’s get straight into today’s fixture list. With a busy Tuesday evening schedule that includes the Champions League, English Football League (EFL), and the Scottish Premiership…
Win & Both Teams to Score – three contenders for tonight…
On the League Stats pages on our website you can view Both Teams to Score stats for all 17 domestic divisions that we cover. With the individual Team Stats sections containing Win & Both Teams to Score records, home & away.
I’ve gone through this evening’s games, and three matches stand out for me, in Leagues One & Two:
Barrow v Oldham
- The Both Teams to Score stats on our Head-2-Head for this one – Last 5 Games, Home v Away – make it 80% v 80%. All 3 of Oldham’s league wins this season have come on the road, and all by a 2-1 score-line. Barrow have only managed one win from 7 home games so far
Both Teams to Score is a general 4/6 (1.67). Oldham at 11/2 (6.5) is an eye-catching price for the away Win & BTTS tonight.
Just one point separates those sides in the bottom half of the League Two table – and it’s the same for Exeter v Colchester in the top half…
Exeter v Colchester
- 6 of Exeter’s last 7 League Two games have seen goals at both ends. Colchester are ranked No.1 on our site for Both Teams to Score bets in League Two (75% overall record). Paying out in each of their last 5 games, and 9 of the last 10
- Colchester are yet to record an away win in 8 attempts in all comps in 2020/21. Their 2 league defeats have both paid out on Win & BTTS, and both came at sides above them in the current table – beaten 2-1 at Newport, and 3-2 at Carlisle. Exeter sit one place above Colchester going into tonight’s game
- 4 of Exeter’s 5 league wins this season have come at home. And 3 of those 5 victories have paid out in the Win & BTTS market
Both Teams to Score is 8/11 (1.73). Exeter to Win & Both Teams to Score is 3/1 (4.0).
Peterborough v Plymouth
- Peterborough have kept just one clean sheet in 6 home games in League One so far, with Both Teams to Score paying out 5 times out of 6. Plymouth are yet to keep a clean sheet in 5 away games, with 3 of those trips seeing goals at both ends
- 4 of Peterborough’s 5 home wins in all comps this season have delivered in the Win & BTTS market. Plymouth are on a 5-game run for Both Teams to Score, with Saturday’s game ending in a 5-1 defeat at Fleetwood
- P’boro have won 4 out of 6 at home in League One. The Pilgrims are winless on their travels so far (W0 D2 L3)
Both Teams to Score is a 4/7 (1.57) favourite tonight. The Home Win is also odds-on, at around 17/20 (1.85). Peterborough to Win & Both Teams to Score is available at 12/5 (3.4) and 23/10 (3.3).
Take your pick…
You’ll get around 7/2 (4.5) for the Both Teams to Score treble on those three games this evening.
I’m a man who likes to go after the bigger prices when there’s an enticing case to be made, as there is here…
In the Win & BTTS markets, the treble on Peterborough, Oldham & Exeter comes out at 87/1 (Bet365) and 75/1+ in general. Making it an eye-catching option for a speculative combo this evening – backed up by plenty of goals stats and form.
Kick off is 7pm.
The dangerous dozen…
In yesterday’s Monday Report I also expressed a keen focus on the Anytime Scorer markets, which have proved fruitful so far in 2020/21.
Penalty-takers and/ or noteworthy goal-scoring prospects for this evening’s fixtures include these 12 players:
- Timo Werner (Chelsea) – Werner’s last 5 Champions League goals have been from the penalty spot, including 3 since joining Chelsea
- Lucas Ocampos (Sevilla) – 6 of his last 8 goals have been penalties, although he’s only scored in 2 of 12 appearances in all competitions so far this season
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Juventus) – Ronaldo has found the net in 5 out of 6 appearances for Juve this season, with 2 converted penalties. He’s as short as just 1/4 (1.25) to score Anytime against Ferencvaros tonight
- Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) – since joining Man Utd last season, Fernandes has scored 19 goals in 34 apps in all comps. With 12 of those 19 goals coming from the penalty spot
- Erling Braut Haaland (Borussia Dortmund) – 20-year-old goal machine Haaland scored 4 (four) in the Bundesliga on Saturday, and has found the net in 6 games in a row. So far in his still-young career, the Norwegian has scored in a remarkable 9 out of 11 Champions League appearances. He’s odds-on to score again tonight, at 1/2 (1.5), with Dortmund at home v Club Brugge
- Ciro Immobile (Lazio) – Immobile has scored in each of his last 4 appearances for Lazio, and is their first-choice penalty taker. Odds-on to score tonight at home v Zenit, at 19/20 (1.95) at best
English Football League:
- Lyle Taylor (Nottingham Forest) – scored in 3 of last 6 games, and takes a mean penalty kick. You can get 3/1 him to score tonight at high-flying Bournemouth. In September, Taylor went in the book as a 20/1 Each Way pick in the Championship 2020/21 Top Goalscorer market
- Adam Armstrong (Blackburn) – top scorer in the Championship so far this season, and 3 of his 12 goals in all comps have been pens
- John Marquis (Portsmouth) – scored in 6 of his last 7 league games (2 pens), and currently the top scorer in League One this season
- Paul Mullin (Cambridge) – top scorer in League Two so far, with 4 of his 12 goals from the penalty spot. Hasn’t scored in last 3 games
- Eoin Doyle (Bolton) – our 33/1 Each Way selection for League Two Top Goalscorer, Doyle has found the net in 3 of his last 4 starts, and in 4 of his last 7. Landing First Goalscorer bets in 3 of those 7 games. This evening’s hosts Scunthorpe have only kept one clean sheet in 9 home games in all comps this season. Doyle is available at a standout 21/10 (3.1) to score Anytime. No Scunthorpe player has got more than one goal to their name so far in this campaign. Last season’s club top scorer, striker Kevin van Veen, in an injury doubt for tonight
- Kevin Nisbet (Hibernian) – Hibs forward Nisbet is joint-2nd in the Scottish Premiership top scorer charts, with 8 goals (2 pens)
Taking the biggest prices…
While Ronaldo, Haaland and Immobile are all priced as odds-on favourites in the Anytime Scorer markets in their respective Champions League matches today. The likes of Werner, Ocampos and Fernandes are around Evens (2.0) or just over.
In the EFL, you’ll also get Evens or a shade or two better for Armstrong, Marquis and Mullin.
I like the three men from that list that are available at the biggest prices this evening...
Taylor is a class act in front of goal, and 3/1 could prove value for Forest’s trip to Bournemouth. And at around 2/1 each, Doyle and Nisbet are in better scoring form across their last 10 games than those odds suggest.
From the analysis above, here are my picks for this evening…
English Football League
- TREBLE. Win & Both Teams to Score: Peterborough, Oldham & Exeter @ 87/1 with Bet365, 78/1 Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 77/1 Betfred, Boylesports
Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest
- Anytime Scorer: Lyle Taylor @ 3/1 with Skybet, BetVictor, Betway, Ladbrokes, Coral
Scunthorpe v Bolton
- Anytime Scorer: Eoin Doyle @ 21/10 (3.1) with Skybet, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral
Hibernian v St Johnstone
- Anytime Scorer: Kevin Nisbet @ 19/10 (2.9) Betway, 15/8 (2.88) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 9/5 (2.8) BetVictor, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral
I’ll be back tomorrow, with analysis and advice for Wednesday’s Champions League and Championship fixtures.
Enjoy the football…
Across the Leagues