Across the Leagues Betting Advice - Email Archive Content

The importance of taking penalties...

Monday 14th September 2020

In Across the Leagues today:

  • Spot-kicks stats…
  • Two men to follow in Serie A this season…
  • Our 2020/21 portfolio…

The importance of taking penalties…

Two of our 20201/21 Top Goalscorer picks got off to a good start at the weekend.

In the Premier League, our 18/1 Each Way selection, for the second season running, is Jamie Vardy. The Leicester forward banged in two very sweetly-struck penalty kicks in a 3-0 win at West Brom on Sunday.

And in the Championship, QPR’s new signing Lyndon Dykes (100/1 Each Way) was also on target from the spot, scoring in a 2-0 win on his debut against Nottingham Forest.

Having also opened his International account for Scotland from 12 yards last week, Dykes can do well for us if he takes the majority of the pens for his new club this season.

Having a few good penalty takers in the book feels like a sensible move. Other names on our pre-season list, such as Aleksandar Mitrovic for Fulham and Lyle Taylor for Forest, are also sharp-shooter from the 12-yard spot. See below for our full list of ante post picks so far.

Spot-kick stats…

Having a reliable penalty taker in your ranks can prove very valuable.

In Italy, last season’s Serie A top scorer Ciro Immobile scored 36 times for Lazio. No fewer than 14 of those goals came from penalties (he also missed one spot kick, too).

Cristiano Ronaldo was 2nd in the Serie A chart in 2019/20. The Juventus star scored 31 league goals, with 12 of them from the spot (12 out of 13 pens converted).

Immobile was a winning 16/1 Top Goalscorer pick for us in Italy last season. No such price on offer this time. With Serie A kicking off this coming weekend, the Lazio striker is less than half those odds, at 7/1 at best. Ronaldo is the 2/1 favourite.

Immobile (14) and Ronaldo (12) were both in double figures for penalties scored last season. That’s remarkable. In comparison, in 2019/20:

  • Romelu Lukaku scored 6 (out of 6) for Inter Milan

And elsewhere in Europe’s top leagues:

  • Vardy scored 4 (out of 5) penalties for Leicester in the Premier League
  • Robert Lewandowski scored 5 (out of 5) pens for Bayern Munich in the German Bundesliga
  • Lionel Messi scored 5 (out of 5) for Barcelona in the Spanish La Liga

Two players to follow in Serie A this season…

Those Italian stats got me digging for more players to follow in Serie A this coming season.

In the weekly match markets for Anytime/ First Scorers, we should keep these two on our radar in particular. A defender and a midfielder, respectively, so both are likely to be at bigger prices than the likes of Immobile, Ronaldo & Lukaku every week…

Domenico Cristico

  • Genoa left back Domenico Cristico scored 8 goals in Serie A last term – and all 8 of them were penalties. His strike-rate from the spot was 8 out of 10

Erick Pulgar

  • Fiorentina midfielder Erick Pulgar scored 7 times last season – and all 7 of them were penalty kicks. Overall, he took 8 pens, only missing one 

Pre-season picking…

Serie A kicks off on Saturday. The Bundesliga starts this weekend, too. In this week’s analysis, we’ll be looking at the 2020/21 Outright markets for those leagues, including scorers.

The plan is to get value, Each Way picks in the book. Players and teams that can give us a good run for our money over the course of the season.

So far, our 2020/21 portfolio consists of these selections (click on the links for full details):

Premier League – Top Goalscorer:

Championship – Top Goalscorer:

League One – Outright Winner:

League One – Top Goalscorer:

League Two – Top Goalscorer:

Scottish Premiership – Top Goalscorer:

I’ll be back tomorrow with your next Across the Leagues email. As well as Italy and Germany, I’ve got something to say about the French and Austrian leagues, too.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues