Tuesday 29th December 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
The festive football continues this evening. The weather, and coronavirus, has put pay to a few fixtures. But the schedule is still packed with games.
Let’s get straight into the action, starting with the English top-flight. Here’s my take on the midweek markets and standout stats...
Man Utd v Wolves (8pm – Amazon Prime Video)
Wolves played in the Premier League on Sunday night, holding Tottenham to a 1-1 draw. The Black Country club take to the field again this evening, with little rest, travelling to Man Utd.
United drew 2-2 at Leicester on Saturday afternoon. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team have now scored 2+ Goals For in 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions.
That firepower could prove significant against Wolves tonight. The men in black & gold are without a Clean Sheet in 8 games…
In terms of the Scorer options for the home side, the two main men to consider are Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford. Both were on the scoresheet in the 2-2 Boxing Day draw at Leicester:
In terms of tonight’s prices on those two players, Skybet, BetVictor, Ladbrokes & Coral are the place to go for Anytime Scorer. Fernandes is 6/4 (2.5), and Rashford is 9/5 (2.8).
Betfred have the top prices for First Goalscorer. With Fernandes at 4/1, and Rashford at 5/1.
West Brom v Leeds Utd (6pm – Amazon)
Sam Allardyce is already starting to cast his spell at West Brom, with a 1-1 draw at champions Liverpool the first feather in his cap.
The bookies aren’t too sure that this will be a ‘park the bus’ encounter, though. With Under 2.5 Goals actually priced as the 6/5 (2.2) underdog in the Under/ Over Total Goals market…
That can be put down to the fact that you never know what you’re going to get with Leeds this season. Along with injury problems in defence, and a short turnaround since their last game over Christmas.
Two of those 1-0 victories came on the road. I’d be leaning to the low-scoring side of things this evening. In that respect, the following Correct Scores prices may appeal to you.
At BetVictor, the 1-1 draw is 15/2 (8.5), and Leeds 1-0 is 10/1. West Brom 1-0 is a top price 14/1 with Bet365.
Tottenham v Fulham (Wednesday 6pm – Amazon)
On Boxing Day, Fulham provided a Most Booking Points payout at standout odds of 6/4 (2.5). Winning the Most Cards in their 0-0 draw v Southampton, by 2 Yellow Cards to nil (Booking Points = 20-0).
Incidentally, that was Fulham’s fourth consecutive draw. With scores of 0-0 x 2, and 1-1 x 2.
Scott Parker’s side remain very much one to follow in the Most Cards & Booking Pts markets…
In comparison, Tottenham are one of the best-behaved teams in the division. Receiving the Most Cards/ Booking Pts in just 3 of their 15 league matches in 2020/21 (20%).
With Fulham on the road this time, we won’t get odds of 6/4 like we did for Saturday’s home game against Southampton. But the stats make it hard to argue with backing Fulham again in this market, with odds of around 17/20 (1.85) and 4/5 (1.8) available.
Different bookies call this bet by different names. For example, it’s Fulham 0 Card Handicap at Bet365. At William Hill and Skybet, it’s Most Booking Points. With Betway, 888 Sport & Unibet, it’s called Most Cards.
Moving on to the English Football League (EFL) now. And there are a few teams & matches that get the antenna twitching for a big-odds combo or two this evening…
In the Championship, the formbook leads me to three Match Result selections:
The Treble on Norwich, Barnsley & Stoke pays 7/1+.
Win & Both Teams to Score in League Two…
In League Two, we’re returning to the Win & Both Teams to Score (Win & BTTS) markets. Here are three contenders for wins, with goals at both ends of the park…
Bradford v Port Vale (7pm)
Bradford to Win & Both Teams to Score is 4/1 (5.0) and 15/4 (4.75).
Grimsby v Oldham (7pm)
Oldham to Win & Both Teams to Score is 10/3 (4.33) and 3/1+ (4.0+).
Newport v Exeter (7pm)
Newport to Win & Both Teams to Score is 4/1 (5.0) and 15/4 (4.75).
Take your pick…
As ever, my advice with these selections is to pick & choose, however you prefer – Singles, Doubles, Trebles, and any manner of combinations…
I’m going for my usual three-markets approach. So far, this ‘Rule of Three’ tactic has delivered an overall profit in five out of eight attempts.
Bradford, Oldham & Newport:
Match Win treble pays 14/1 and 13/1.
Both Teams to Score treble pays 4/1 (5.0) and 7/2+ (4.5+).
Win & BTTS treble pays 107/1 and 103/1.
From the analysis above, here are my picks for the midweek games…
Tottenham v Fulham
Championship: 3 games listed above
League Two: 3 games listed above
I’ll be back on Thursday with my next analysis, angles & advice for you. Looking ahead to the New Year’s Day & weekend fixtures.
Throughout the festive period, all the games and all the latest stats will continue to be automatically updated on your members-only Across the Leagues website. In total, the site covers 17 different leagues, and over 300 teams.
You can access all our League Stats, Team Stats, and Head-2-Head home v away stats comparisons, by logging-in at: www.AcrossTheLeagues.co.uk
Enjoy the football…