Monday 28th September 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
I found myself on the side of the A30 for a good four hours on Saturday.
That’s the first time in 20 years that I’ve broken down and had to call for help.
It was bound to happen sooner or later.
Joelinton can take heart from that law of averages.
The Newcastle forward has scored just two Premier League goals in 38 appearances since arriving for £40 million last summer.
A brace against Morecambe in the EFL Cup last week should also be good for confidence.
The Brazilian will get another crack at a League Two side this Wednesday night…
Newcastle travel to Newport County. Joelinton is 9/2 (5.5) to open the scoring. He’s 6/4 (2.5) to score at any time.
Roadside recovery completed – with another couple of hours at Exeter services bolted on for good measure – I’m back from Cornwall.
I’ll be in your inbox with Across the Leagues updates throughout the week.
If only the AA were as speedy as Jamie Vardy…
He might be 33 years old now, but Vardy has still got bags of pace.
And the jet-heeled Leicester striker is making an early run for the top of the scoring charts again.
A hat-trick at Man City on Sunday takes Jamie up to five goals from three games in the new Premier League campaign.
Our 18/1 & 16/1 Each Way pre-season pick for Top Goalscorer, Vardy is now trading at 5/1.
They don’t hand out any prizes in September. But that’s a very good start from our man.
As stated last time out (and I’ll say it again):
We’ll be going for big prices and exciting underdogs, all season long.
That’s where the fun is. Healthy payouts from modest stakes.
We won’t land a 5/1, 14/1 or 33/1 shot every time.
But we’ll always be snaffling up the best prices, and looking for value.
And we’ll land enough to make it an enjoyable ride – and a fruitful adventure.
One such 5/1 shot was Christian Noboa. The Sochi midfielder was a profitable Anytime Scorer pick for us a couple of weeks back.
Noboa scored again last weekend. For the second game running, he opened the scoring within 10 minutes, from the penalty spot.
As the Russian Premier League stats on our website show, Noboa is flying high in the 2020/21 scoring charts:
The 35-year-old Ecuadorian has landed seven Anytime Scorer payouts from nine games.
That’s a hell of a stat.
He can’t keep it up.
But that purple patch is certainly proving profitable. Odds of 5/1 and 3/1 have been available for him in recent weeks (with 12/1 for First Goalscorer).
And taking penalty kicks for his team obviously helps.
The two Zenit players on that chart both benefitted from a 6-0 win over FC Ufa on Saturday…
Sardar Azmoun got two, and Artem Dzyuba got a hat-trick.
Nine games in, and Ufa have lost six, drawn two, and won just one game.
The games are coming thick & fast.
The weekend Premier League programme completes this evening with Liverpool v Arsenal and Fulham v Aston Villa.
Midweek, we have action in the EFL Cup, and Europa League Qualifying. As well as domestic fixtures in La Liga in Spain and Serie A in Italy, among others.
I’ve got a few notes already, and we’ll be looking at the matches, markets and opportunities in those league and cup competitions over the next couple of days.
A couple of pointers for you if you’re settling down to watch and/ or consider a bet on the Premier League games this evening…
In recent encounters between Liverpool and Arsenal, it’s been goals galore:
Tonight, the bookies will give you just 8/15 (1.53) for Both Teams to Score. The Over 2.5 Goals option is a tad shorter still, at 4/9 (1.44) in general.
In our Premier League Predictor game, I’ve gone for Liverpool to win 3-2. History certainly points to goals…
Pools coupon players should take note of this fixture for the Score Draw:
In the evening’s other top-flight game, Fulham v Aston Villa, last season’s two Championship Top Scorers go head-to-head…
Aleksandar Mitrovic was top of the pile when helping Fulham win promotion from the second tier in 2019/20, and is our 100/1 outside chance in the Premier League this season.
Ollie Watkins came 2nd in the Championship scorer chart last season, and has now moved from Brentford to Aston Villa. Since making the big-money move, Watkins has score in each of his two Villa appearances in the EFL Cup. A first Premier League goal awaits…
Those two are the market leaders tonight, around 6/4 (2.5) each to score Anytime, and 4/1 & 5/1 to score First. I’m not going to choose between the two.
For the bigger picture of the four Top Goalscorer 2020/21 Each Way places, of course, we want Mitrovic to convert as many chances as he can.
That’s all from me for today. There’s lots more to talk about tomorrow, and throughout the week. Including:
VAR, handballs & penalties…
And Italy’s top scoring team.
Enjoy the football. See you tomorrow…