Tuesday 29th September 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
Liverpool and Arsenal kept up their long-running trends last night.
Jurgen Klopp’s side won 3-1, and are now unbeaten in 61 league games at Anfield. That’s three years and counting. Formidable stuff.
Arsenal, on the other hand, have been through a couple of managers in that time. And the Gunners are now 28 Premier League away trips without a win against the established ‘Big Six’ clubs (Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd, Chelsea, Tottenham).
The historical goals form also continued…
They face each other again later this week. In (wait for it), a quirk of the fixture computer. Liverpool play Arsenal in the Carabao Cup on Thursday night. Past League Cup incarnations of this fixture have produced 5-5, 2-1, 3-6 and 4-2 score-lines. The verdict: expect more goals.
Talking of high-scoring games, Lazio v Atalanta could be fun tomorrow night…
It’s not long since we landed one of our very best results, with PSG coming from 0-1 down to beat Atalanta 2-1 in the Champions League quarter finals this summer. And in doing so, return odds of 25/1 in the Half Time/ Full Time (HT/ FT) market.
You can catch up on the case we made before that game in August here.
This doesn’t mean we should be queuing up to back a HT/ FT turnaround in every Atalanta game. But the Italian side certainly have plenty of credentials for rollercoaster matches…
The team in blue & black were the top-scoring team in Serie A last season (finished 3rd in the league table). Atalanta kicked off the new 2020/21 league campaign in familiar entertaining fashion this month, with a 4-2 away win.
And it just so happens that Wednesday evening’s opponents Lazio also have plenty of ‘previous’ for score-line flip-flops, and general high-scoring activity…
Lazio were 4th in Serie A last season, and 3rd in the top-scoring team stats. Their meetings with Atalanta provided plenty of excitement for the neutral. With a 3-3 draw in October (0-3 at half time). Then a 3-2 in June, in which Atalanta came back from 1-2 down at the break, to claim the HT/ FT turnaround.
And this remarkable stat really clinches it:
All four of those Lazio games ended 2-1 or 1-2 (three wins, one defeat).
We can’t ignore the trends here. There won’t be many occasions this season when two teams collide with such eye-catching form in a market that offers such dramatic odds.
It’s a best price 25/1 the pair tomorrow night – Lazio/ Atalanta, and vice versa.
Italy, Serie A
Lazio v Atalanta
Wed 7.45pm, Premier Sports
I’ll be back tomorrow with more. Enjoy the football…