Tuesday 18th October 2022

In Across the Leagues today:

• Premier League tonight…
• Brighton v Nottingham Forest, 7.30pm…
• Standout stats for the Most Bookings…

Stats pick for Brighton v Forest tonight…

Fulham gave us a Most Bookings winner at the weekend, with the Cottagers collecting two yellow cards (20 Booking Points) to nil, at home v Bournemouth.

While the visiting team kept their noses clean in that one, the stats point firmly to the away side in this evening’s 7.30pm kick-off in the Premier League…

Brighton v Nottingham Forest

Premier League, 7.30pm – Amazon Prime Video

The midweek action gets underway with this encounter at the Amex Stadium. Forest are bottom of the league, and if they’re to stand any chance of staying up this season, they’re likely going to have to roll up their sleeves – and knuckle down for a scrap. From what we’ve seen so far since promotion to the top-flight, trying to play their way out of trouble won’t be good enough…

The League Stats pages on our website indicate that Forest are the most likely candidates for the Most Cards and Most Booking Points tonight. Steve Cooper’s team are ranked 4th out of 20 Premier League teams for landing this bet this season, with 6 payouts out of 10 overall – and 3 out of 5 on the road.

In the Nottingham club’s last 7 league games, their opponent has only landed this bet on one occasion. And that was at home, v Fulham, who are in 1st place for Most Cards & Booking Points results (9 games out of 10).

The stats on our site suggest that Brighton are not a good contender to stop that run.

The Seagulls are officially the best-behaved team in the division when it comes to this market, with zero Most Cards/ Booking Pts payouts from their 9 games so far. Only Manchester City have received fewer yellow cards in total than Brighton.

In comparison, the Totals table on our site has Forest sitting in top spot for the most yellow cards overall, with 29 across their 10 games.

I’ve listed below the main bookies offering this bet. With William Hill’s 3/4 (1.75) the best price available as I write.

• New to Cards & Booking Points betting? Get an explainer in the Betting Guide on our website, here

TODAY’S PICKS

Brighton v Nottingham Forest
Premier League, 7.30pm – Amazon Prime Video

• Team with Most Booking Points: Nottingham Forest @ 3/4 (1.75) William Hill , 8/11 (1.73) Skybet

Or:

Team with Most Cards: Nottingham Forest @ 8/11 (1.73) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 4/6 (1.67) Betway, 4/7 (1.57) Unibet.

Forest ‘0 Card Handicap’ @ 1/2 (1.5) Bet365.

I’ll be back tomorrow with standout stats & markets for Wednesday’s games.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues