Monday 23rd November 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
A new week is here, and the football rolls right on every day. Loads of games on TV, lots of form in the book – just the way we like it…
We’ll be getting down to some Champions League business on Tuesday & Wednesday. Plus, there’s midweek action in the Football League. And on Thursday, the Europa League. Before another wide round of domestic fixtures at the weekend.
I’ve received a few emails and requests from members over the weekend. I’ll reply individually – but for today I’ll also work with a broad brush to cover a couple of the points made:
‘What’s your profit and loss?’
The first port of call here is to direct you to the About the Service page on our website. I don’t consider myself a tipster. The idea is that all of my emails, articles, and analysis – along with the stats for 17 leagues covered on our website – can help steer you to many different ways to land value prices and profitable bets on the football.
In terms of a straight-up bottom line, I do keep a spreadsheet for my records, recording my picks. The Across the Leagues (ATL) service exists in its current guise – weekly analysis from yours truly, stats for 17 leagues on the website – since 1st July. In that time, to level stakes from settled bets, my picks show a 17% ROI. Last season, when my work appeared in our previous service, Football Angles, that 2019/20 figure ended at 36% ROI.
Areas of specialisation…
This season, I’ve been frequently targeting attractive prices in the Anytime Scorer markets, leaning very much towards underdogs in the betting, as opposed to odds-on favourites.
From those 29 selections, 11 have won. That’s more losers than winners. Which is of no surprise whatsoever to me. It’s outlined here in black and white on the About the Service page. It’s all about price…
Barring half a dozen void bets, my 2020/21 list shows I’ve put up 29 picks in the Anytime Scorer market, covering 22 different players. The level-stakes spreadsheet shows a healthy 65% ROI.
Thousands of opportunities…
Our website covers many different betting markets – Match Results, Goals, Corners, Cards, Scorers… and across 17 leagues, and over 300 teams.
There are hundreds of games of football played every week, and thousands every season. I’m no superman. I don’t claim to be an all-seeing-eye that can spot the ‘best bet’ from anywhere on the fixture list. The picks that appear in your Across the Leagues email are my take on where the value lies, from the matches and markets covered in my own individual research.
This is where the website really comes into its own. It’s a brilliant tool for helping find opportunities in the weekly league fixtures. Man Utd beating the -3 Corner Handicap was an example of that at the weekend. The stats were there on the site. And using the site to pick out your own bets can be a hugely rewarding pastime. Get stuck in here.
Nothing beats a big win…
My own preference is to go for eye-catching odds. That’s why you won’t see me put up many picks on favourites in the Match Result markets, for example. Making those pay in the long run is tough – really tough. Look at Man City. They’ve played eight Premier League games so far this season, been odds-on to win in each and every one – and paid out just three times.
One market I’m more interested in is Win & Both Teams to Score. This option invariably gives larger odds than the standard Match Result. And the potential rewards are there to see in the prices…
On that topic, Across the Leagues member Alan W couldn’t have timed his recent email request any better:
“Hi Oliver, as a long time subscriber, could I please request that you guys try to find us an acca, 3 fixtures each week, both teams to score & match winner? I'm hoping you guys could pick well with all your resources at hand, across all the leagues that you cover? Many thanks, Alan W”
Now that we’ve got a strong chunk of form in the book, across a variety of leagues, I’m planning to keep a keen eye out for more frequent opportunities like the 94/1 treble I went for in the Win & Both Teams to Score market a couple of weeks back. If you have an appetite for them, as Alan has, then keep an eye on your member emails in the weeks to come.
Here’s a brief report back on the weekend football, with the players that caught my eye:
Rangers 4 Aberdeen 0 kept up Rangers’ barnstorming unbeaten run this season (now 21 games in all competitions). Aberdeen midfielder Lewis Ferguson has had to self-isolate for the next two weeks, so he was a void bet at a standout 15/2 (8.5) in the Anytime Scorer market there. When Ferguson returns, if we keep getting those odds for the second-top scorer in the Scottish Premiership, I’m going to keep taking them.
Rangers captain and goal-scoring right-back James Tavernier played and delivered though. With odds of 11/5 (3.2) proving simply too good to ignore about the man sitting top of the scorer charts in the Scottish top-flight. After Sunday’s goal from the penalty spot, Tavernier has now scored five goals in five games against Aberdeen – all from penalties.
In League Two in England, I’m happy to have got Eoin Doyle in the book at 33/1 Each Way for Top Goalscorer. With over 70% of the season still to come, this division’s 2019/20 top scorer looks a good guy to have on your side…
After Doyle scored to land 9/4 (3.25) Anytime odds in Bolton’s 2-1 win at Stevenage on Saturday, BetVictor are as short as 12/1 for Doyle in the season-long market today. You can still get 25/1 Each Way with Bet365. You can read the case I made for the Irishman last week, here.
The way I look at that 9/4 payout on Doyle on Saturday, his Top Goalscorer stake has paid for itself already.
Elsewhere, I can’t let the weekend results pass without mentioning that man Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The 39-year-old (!) AC Milan striker got another two goals on Sunday, keeping him & his team top of the pile in Serie A…
You can check out all our latest 2020/21 stats for our 17 featured leagues by logging-in at: www.AcrossTheLeagues.co.uk
That’s all from me for today. I’ll be back tomorrow, ready for action on Champions League match-day 4.
Enjoy the football…