Across the Leagues Betting Advice - Email Archive Content

Weekend Preview - Corners, Combos, and Scorers...

Friday 18th December 2020

In Across the Leagues today:

  • Premier League Corner kings…
  • Big game in Germany…
  • Win & Both Teams to Score contenders…

Weekend Preview - Corners, Combos, and Scorers…

The 2020/21 fixture list was already looking compressed. The traditional Christmas & New Year schedule will continue to show no mercy. And it’s good for us…

This weekend alone there’s a thumping schedule across our featured leagues, in England, Scotland, and the top European divisions.

You can access all our League, Team, and Head-2-Head home v away stats comparisons by logging-in to your members-only Across the Leagues website.

Here’s my take on the weekend prices, standout stats, and opportunities…

Premier League Corner kings…

We’re a third of the way into the 38-game Premier League season, and three teams in particular are proving very reliable at winning the Most Corners:

Premier League Corners Stats

This weekend, Brighton look to continue their 100% Most Corners trend at home, with Sheffield United visiting the Amex Stadium.

Aston Villa go to West Brom, where it’s Sam Allardyce’s first game in charge (more on that match in this weekend’s Across the League EXTRA Premier League Predictionsemail here).

Liverpool travel to Crystal Palace. No Premier League team have landed more Most Corners bets on the road than the Reds this season.

Each of those three opposition sides are in the bottom half of our Most Corners table: Sheff Utd are 17th, West Brom are bottom in 20th, and Palace are 13th.

So far, so good, then. As long as you don’t mind short prices…

  • In the bookies’ Most Corners or Corners Match Bet markets for those respective games, Brighton are 2/5 (1.4) at best with Skybet. Villa are a top price 3/5 (1.6) at BetVictor. And Liverpool are also odds-on favourites, no better than 4/11 (1.36), with William Hill

The best price on those three in a Treble is around 15/8 (2.88) with William Hill.

If that’s the kind of thing that tickles your fancy, other bookie sites to visit for Most Corners and Corners Match Bets include Bet365, Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook, and Marathonbet.

Big game in Germany…

Earlier this week we talked about the chances of a team ‘doing a Leicester’ this season, and winning their domestic league title at massive odds…

While a 5,000/1 Leicester repeat will be hard to find, one contender in Europe so far is Bayer Leverkusen, who currently sit top in the German Bundesliga.

As reported in our midweek analysis, Leverkusen were 80/1 at the start of the season. They’re now down to 20/1 and 16/1.

That price could change again this weekend – one way or another – with Leverkusen hosting reigning eight-time Bundesliga champions, Bayern Munich (Sat 5.30pm, BT Sport).

Munich are 2nd at present, one point behind Leverkusen. The champs are still an extremely short 1/7 (1.14) to make it nine titles in a row. The bookies have faith.

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich = Goals…

This game could be fun. As well as the top-of-the-table credentials, take a look at the recent score-lines in meetings between these clubs:

Bayer Leverkusen 2 Bayern Munich 4
Bayer Leverkusen 2 Bayern Munich 4
Bayern Munich 1 Bayer Leverkusen 2
Bayer Leverkusen 3 Bayern Munich 1
Bayern Munich 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1
Bayer Leverkusen 2 Bayern Munich 6
Bayer Leverkusen 1 Bayern Munich 3
Bayern Munich 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1

  • Each of their last 8 meetings have gone Over 2.5 Goals. With 7 out of 8 also paying out on Over 3.5 Goals

The Total Goals market is a strictly odds-on area for Saturday’s clash. With Over 2.5 at 4/11 (1.36) in general, and Over 3.5 at 10/11 (1.91) & 5/6 (1.83) pretty much across the board.

In a match-up like this, speculative price hunters could do well to sniff around markets such as the Correct Score (there are a few 3-1 and 4-2 scores in that list of recent encounters).

Or how about Both Teams to Score in Both Halves. A backwater market that doesn’t even appear on Oddschecker, but usually offers around 6/1 – 8/1 with firms such as Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, and Boylesports. For example, Bet365 have that option at 13/2 (7.5) for this game.

There’s also the very real prospect of a Win & Both Teams to Score here, for either team. Leverkusen are 3/1 (4.0) to win the match, with that Win & BTTS option at 9/2 (5.5). Bayern are 5/6 (1.83) favourites for the away win, and 7/4 (2.75) for the Win & BTTS.

Plenty to take your pick from there. And if you’ve got BT Sport, tuning into that match on Saturday dinnertime will likely provide some end-to-end entertainment to go with your fish & chips.

With goals expected, I’m sticking with my man from midweek, Leon Bailey. He was involved in plenty of sharp attacking moves in Wednesday’s 4-0 win at FC Koln, despite not getting on the scoresheet.

Munich have only kept 2 Clean Sheets in 12 league games this term, and none in their last 7. Their top scorer and newly-crowned FIFA Player of the Year, Robert Lewandowski, is odds-on as usual here, with 4/7 (1.57) the best on offer.

With 3/1 (4.0) and 7/2 (4.5) available for Bailey, I’m more than happy to take him again for Leverkusen.

Elsewhere in the Scorers notebook…

Staying loyal to certain players has served us well in the Anytime Scorer markets this season. Two other men in the notebook, that I’m keen on again this weekend:

  • Rangers v Motherwell (Scottish Premiership, Sat 3pm) – that man James Tavernier stays on the list. The Rangers right-back has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 15 out of 28 appearances in all comps this season. Last time he played Motherwell, in September, Rangers won 5-1, and Tavernier scored 2 penalties. If backed in every game to level stakes, odds of 9/5 (2.8) would’ve produced a 50% ROI this season
  • Austria Vienna v LASK Linz (Austrian Bundesliga, Sun 4pm) – Johannes Eggestein is on the rise, with the 22-year-old scoring in 4 of his last 5 apps for Linz, and in 7 of his last 10. The young German is also one to follow, at 7/4 (2.75)

Win & Both Teams to Score contenders…

The English Football League (EFL) has been a profitable source of Win/ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) match-ups for us in recent weeks.

This weekend I’ve got another four games in my sights. Taking the lead from the new Win & BTTS tables on our website:

Burton Albion v Doncaster (League One, Sat 3pm)

  • Doncaster are 1st in League One for Win & BTTS payouts this season, with 6 of their 9 victories paying out on the Match Result with goals at both ends. Burton are the No.1 team in the division for Both Teams to Score, including an 88% home record (7 out of 8 games)

Doncaster to Win & Both Teams to Score is 7/2 (4.5).

Barrow v Cheltenham (League Two, Sat 3pm)

  • Cheltenham are 3rd in League Two and 4 of their last 5 wins have paid out for Win & BTTS. Barrow are 17th, and have lost 4 in a row, with the last 3 defeats all seeing goals at both ends. Both Teams to Score has delivered in 7 of Barrow’s 9 home games (78%)

Cheltenham to Win & Both Teams to Score is 10/3 (4.33) and 3/1+ (4.0+).

Walsall v Port Vale (League Two, Sat 3pm)

  • Walsall have won 3 games in a row, all delivering on Win & BTTS. Their last 5 games have all seen both teams find the net. Port Vale are on a 5-game streak for Both Teams to Score

Walsall to Win & Both Teams to Score is 4/1 (5.0) and 7/2+ (4/5+).

Newport County v Oldham (League Two, Sat 3pm)

  • Newport are top of the league and have won 7 of their 8 home games. Three of their last 4 home wins have clicked for Win & BTTS. Newport have a 75% home strike-rate for Both Teams to Score. Oldham are the only team in the division yet to keep a Clean Sheet. Both Teams to Score has paid out in 75% of Oldham away games

Newport to Win & Both Teams to Score is 11/4 (3.75) and 13/5+ (3.6+).

Take your pick…

As ever, my advice with these selections is to pick & choose, however you prefer – Singles, Doubles, Trebles, Patents, and any manner of combinations…

There are 4 matches on my list today and as I said earlier in the week, that’s about as ambitious as I’d go in terms of a Win & BTTS acca. The form is there and the prices are encouraging…

I’m going for my usual three-markets approach. So far, this tactic has delivered an overall profit in five out of six attempts.

Doncaster, Cheltenham, Walsall, Newport:

Match Win acca pays 18/1 and 16/1.

Both Teams to Score acca pays 9/1 and 8/1.

Win & BTTS acca pays 364/1, 354/1, and 290/1+.

Today’s picks

From the analysis above, here are my picks for this weekend…

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

  • Anytime Scorer: Leon Bailey @ 7/2 (4.5) with Skybet, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral, 3/1 (4.0) Betway, Betfred

Rangers v Motherwell

  • Anytime Scorer: James Tavernier @ 9/5 (2.8) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 17/10 (2.7) Skybet, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral

Austria Vienna v LASK Linz

  • Anytime Scorer: Johannes Eggestein @ 7/4 (2.75) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 13/8 (2.63) Bet365

ELF: 4 games listed above

  • ACCA. Match Result: Doncaster, Cheltenham, Walsall & Newport to Win @ 18/1 with BetVictor, William Hill, 16/1+ in general 
  • ACCA. Both Teams to Score: in the 4 games listed above @ 9/1 with Bet365, Betway, 8/1+ in general
  • ACCA. Win & Both Teams to Score: Doncaster, Cheltenham, Walsall & Newport @ 364/1 with Bet365, 354/1 BetVictor, 290/1+ Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Boylesports, William Hill, Betway

I’ll be back on Monday, ready to tackle the upcoming festive fixtures.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues