Friday 12th February 2021
In Across the Leagues today:
It was a good week for us in the FA Cup. We’ve backed two Each Way outsiders in the Outright Winner market, and they’re both through to the quarter finals…
Our 66/1 & 60/1 pick Sheffield United beat Bristol City, 1-0. The Blades are now 40/1 & 33/1.
And 28/1 & 25/1 selection Southampton won 2-0 at Wolves. The Saints are now 14/1 & 12/1.
The quarter finals will be held on the weekend of 20th March. Sheff Utd go to Chelsea, and Southampton travel to Championship side Bournemouth.
There’s some big-odds excitement for us there. And if it’s large prices you like, then I’ve got a 100/1+ Win & Both Teams to Score combo that will prick your interest this weekend.
See below for my take on the weekend fixtures, stats, and opportunities.
And remember, you can view all our unique and useful betting stats, for 17 leagues and 300+ teams, by logging-in to your members-only website. Our data covers everything from Form and Match Results. To Corners, Cards, Goals, Scorers, and Referees:
Brighton v Aston Villa is an interesting one on the Most Corners stats this weekend.
These sides are in the Top 5 on our Premier League table for this market. Brighton have an eye-catching 91% home record for winning the Most Corners. Villa have paid out on the Corners Match Bet in 7 of their 11 away games (64%).
The bookies have the Seagulls as the favorites, with William Hill the best Brighton price, at 10/11 (1.91). Betway are an industry-best 6/4 (2.5) for Villa to boss the corners. The value could lie with the away team there. But it’s not enough to tempt me in.
Wolfsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach is a pretty big game for both teams. Wolfsburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga, and M’gladbach are 7th. Both have aspirations of Europe and a high league finish this season.
Two men stand out for me in the Anytime Scorer market. And both are the no.1 penalty taker for their respective sides…
Wout Weghorst is a regular in my Across the Leagues write-ups. He’s having a great season, joint-3rd in the Bundesliga top scorers chart, with 14 goals. The big Dutchman is a threat from headers, and as well as classic striker tap-ins. He’s scored three penalties in the league this season.
Lars Stindl is an important player for Monchengladbach. The German attacking midfielder is top scorer for his club this season, with a total of 12 goals in all comps. Six of those have come from the penalty spot.
Odds of 13/5 (3.6) to end the ‘drought’ appeal here.
I’m returning to my three-pronged plan of attack in the English Football League (EFL) this weekend, with the carrot of a huge-price payout in the Win & Both Teams to Score market (Win & BTTS).
This has proved a profitable tactic so far this season, with five payouts, and an overall 47% ROI. Slotting the three targeted games into a trio of trebles:
Both Teams to Score
Win & Both Teams to Score
Brentford v Barnsley (Championship, Sun 1pm)
Brentford to Win & Both Teams to Score is 11/4 (3.75) and 13/5 (3.6).
Sunderland v Doncaster Rovers (League One, Sat 3pm)
Doncaster to Win & Both Teams to Score is 7/1 (8.0) and 13/2 (7.5).
Cambridge v Southend (League Two, Sat 3pm)
Cambridge to Win & Both Teams to Score is 3/1 (4.0).
Take your pick…
As ever, there are multiple ways to play those Win & BTTS selections. At the prices, Singles may well appeal to you. As well as Doubles, Trixies, and any number of combination options.
I’m going with my three-pronged approach as outlined above. It’s served me well so far...
From the analysis above, here are my picks for the weekend...
Wolfsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach:
Germany, Bundesliga - Sunday, 5pm
EFL - three games listed above:
We’ve got a big week coming up next week, with the start of the Champions League knockout stage...
I’ll be back on Tuesday with my first match-day preview, including Barcelona v PSG, and RB Leipzig v Liverpool.
Enjoy the football…