Monday 26th October 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
Lewis Ferguson had a good day yesterday…
The 21-year-old midfielder scored twice for Aberdeen in a 3-3 draw with champions Celtic. The young Scotsman landed the first & last goals of the game, including winning & converting a penalty in the first half.
Ferguson took home the Sky Sports Man of the Match award. And after yesterday’s brace of confidently-taken penalty kicks, Lewis now sits on his own at the top of the Scottish Premiership scorer charts…
The Aberdeen man has been a very profitable pick for us so far in 2020/21. We’ve flagged him up twice at generous Anytime Scorer odds. First at 5/1 v St Mirren earlier this month, then again at 8/1 at the weekend v Celtic.
Put simply, if Lewis Ferguson had exactly the same scoring stats, but played as an out-and-out striker instead of in midfield, then we wouldn’t be getting odds of 5/1 and 8/1 about him.
Following a dynamic penalty-or-free-kick-taking, goalscoring midfielder like this can be a very successful betting tactic…
I’m reminded of the days of Frank Lampard for Chelsea & England, and Tim Cahill for Everton & Australia.
Three other midfielders with an eye for goal have appeared in our notes a few times recently – and they all found the net again at the weekend, too…
Ferguson, Gruber, Kulusevski, and Christie will remain on our radar – with European cup fixtures coming up this week, and of course the continuing domestic calendar, too.
We’ve been tracking the high-goals form in Italy, and Serie A continued to entertain over the weekend…
A 3-3 draw between Sassuolo and Torino wasn’t quite the score-line we were looking for, having backed Sassuolo to Win & Over 3.5 Goals. But we were in the right ballpark by going after a high-scoring outcome:
Elsewhere in the Italian top-flight, four other fixtures burst the Over 3.5 Goals line at the weekend:
Atalanta 1 Sampdoria 4
Cagliari 4 Crotone 2
Parma 2 Spezia 2
Fiorentina 3 Udinese 2
Will we see more goals in Serie A tonight? AC Milan v Roma (7.45pm) sees the hosts looking to maintain their 100% start to the campaign, and win a fifth consecutive league game.
The oddsmakers have Milan at 23/20 (2.15) for the home win. Visitors Roma are on a three-match winning streak in all comps. The away win is 9/4 (3.25), with the draw at 13/5 (3.6).
Two veteran strikers might have a big say on the outcome this evening…
Our recent 9/2 (5.5) First Goalscorer winner Zlatan Ibrahimovic is around 3/1 (4.0) this time. The 39-year-old star has paid out in that market in six of his last eight starts for Milan.
For Roma, at 34 years of age, Edin Dzeko remains a big threat up front, too. He got a brace in Roma’s 5-2 league win v Benevento last weekend. Dzeko is around 11/2 (6.5) to score first here.
In the Anytime market, Zlatan is odds-on at 19/20 (1.95), with Dzeko a top price of 7/4 (2.75) with Betfred.
Looking for more pointers on tonight’s games? There are also two Premier League games, Brighton v West Brom (5.30pm) and Burnley v Tottenham (8pm)…
I’ll be back tomorrow, ready for action on match-day two in the Champions League.
Have you got any winning stories, or picks of your own to share with your fellow ATL members?
Any team trends or player patterns that you’ve spotted in the stats on our website?
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Enjoy the football…