Friday 31st May 2024

In Across the Leagues EXTRA today:

• Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid…
• Wembley corners trend…
• Big-odds Bet Builder…

Champions League final picks at 101/1...

It’s the Champions League final this weekend - and to mark the occasion, I’m sharing my members-only Across the Leagues advice with you – for FREE. Containing standout stats for Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid - and a big-odds Bet Builder…

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid

Champions League final, Wembley Stadium

Saturday 8pm - TNT Sports

• Did you know… the last 4 Champions League finals have all been settled by the 1-0 scoreline

Real Madrid are certainly used to collecting silverware. The all-time record European Cup winners have been triumphant in each of their last eight appearances in Champions League finals…

Wembley plays host to Saturday’s final. I’ve commented before on the ‘low corners’ trend in big matches played at Wembley. You wouldn’t believe the hunting around I had to do online to find these stats - but if the research finds us a winning opportunity, then it’s always worth it…

The national stadium has had a busy month. And whether it’s the pitch size… the magnitude of the occasion… or some other factor that comes into play when a football match becomes a final… the numbers say that finals played at Wembley tend to pay out on Under 10.5 Corners bets…

Wembley finals (May 2024)

Total Corners (normal time):

FA Cup final = 8 corners
Championship Playoff final = 8
League One Playoff final = 10
League Two Playoff final = 7
Women's FA Cup final = 6
FA Trophy final = 7
FA Vase final = 12
National League Playoff final = 6

• That’s 7 out of 8 finals paying out on Under 10.5 Corners. With 6 also paying out on the lower, Under 9.5 line

Add in the fact that the last four Champions League finals, regardless of venue, have also ticked the low-corners box (most recent first) = 6, 8, 4, 8. And we have our standout stats-pick for Saturday night. See below for best odds.

• I can also tell you the Euro 2020 final between England and Italy - played at Wembley - delivered for ‘Under’ backers in the Total Corners market. With a tally of just 6 corners in normal time

And if you’re looking for a big, juicy, exciting bet to keep you entertained on Saturday evening… then how about this Bet Builder…

Taking the ‘back the best’ approach in front of goal, with a star performer/ scorer from each team. And two of Real Madrid’s men-most-likely in the card department, one from defence and one from midfield…

This four-fold Bet Builder combo pays a spine-tingling 101/1 with Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook. You’ll also be able to get big odds for this combo elsewhere, with Bet365 and most other mainstream bookies offering Bet Builder coupons, too.

Niclas Fullkrug to score
Vinicius Junior to score
Dani Carvajal to be carded
Eduardo Camavinga to be carded

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See above for full details

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid

• Under 10.5 Corners @ 8/11 (1.73) BetVictor, 7/10 (1.7) Boylesports, 4/6 (1.67) Betfred, 13/20 (1.65) Unibet, 8/13 (1.62) Betway, Bet365 (‘Alternative Corners: Under 11’) 

• Bet Builder: 4 legs as listed above @ 101/1 Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook

Time-saver: where possible, the bookie links above go directly to the matches/ markets in question.

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Enjoy the final…

I’ll be back next week, as we step up our Euro 2024 preparations…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues Extra