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FA Cup Final preview - Arsenal at 6/1, 10/1 or 16/1...

Friday 29th May 2015

In your Prem 10 email today:

  • FA Cup Final special...
  • Get 6/1 for Arsenal to win...

The stage is set for Saturday’s FA Cup Final at Wembley...

All the pressure is on the holders and favourites Arsenal – while Tim Sherwood’s plucky Aston Villa side have a rare chance to land a major trophy.

We’ve been studying the Cup Final Formbook here at Prem 10 towers in search of a winning angle on the big match. Here are our findings...

FA Cup Final trends – last 20 years...

  • Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 70% of the finals
  • The 1-0 Correct Score has paid out in 40%
  • Both Teams to Score - NO bets have paid out in 80%
  • Bets on the match winner To Win To Nil have paid out in 70%

And in the last decade...

  • There has not been more than a one-goal marginof victory in the last ten FA Cup finals

The history books tell us to expect a narrow score-line, with goals hard to come by.

However the specific team Head-to-Head between Arsenal and Aston Villa suggests a more open and high scoring game is in store...

Arsenal v Aston Villa – last 10 meetings...

  • Arsenal have won 7 of the last 10 meeting (Villa 2, Draw 1)
  • Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 9 of the last 10 meetings – with an average of 3.2 Total Goals per game
  • Arsenal did the Premier League double over Villa this season – beating them 5-0 and 3-0

The Head-to-Head says Arsenal win will with room to spare.

But we reckon THIS is the most important statistic to keep in mind this weekend....

  • Arsenal haven’t won in Normal Time in any of their last 5 FA Cup appearances at Wembley

Arsenal went 0-2 down v Hull in the Final last year, eventually clawing it back to 2-2 in Normal Time and winning 3-2 in Extra Time...

In the Semi Final last year they needed Penalties to see off Wigan. And in the Semi Final this season Arsenal were held 1-1 by Reading in Normal Time before getting the win with a lucky goal in Extra Time.

In short – Arsenal don’t always win when they should win.

With those recent Wembley results fresh in the memory we won’t be taking odds of just 4/7 (1.57) on Arsenal to win in 90 Minutes...

But...

At 6/1 we could be tempted! That’s the Enhanced Price on offer for new customers at Coral this weekend.

  • Max stake is £5. Winnings are paid as cash. And you can also get a £20 free bet if your Arsenal bet loses. So if you were thinking of backing Arsenal, this is the offer for you. Check the Coral site for the full Terms & Conditions

Get 6/1 on Arsenal to beat Villa here >>

P.S
In case Arsenal’s ‘making hard work of it’ trend continues, you might also want to consider Arsenal to win on Penalties @ 10/1 with Skybet and Arsenal to win in Extra Time @ 16/1 with Bet365...

The Cup Final is live on BBC One and BT Sport at 5.30pm Saturday. Enjoy the game...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone
Editor

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk

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