FA Cup Final preview - Arsenal at 6/1, 10/1 or 16/1...
Friday 29th May 2015
In your Prem 10 email today:
- FA Cup Final special...
- Get 6/1 for Arsenal to win...
The stage is set for Saturday’s FA Cup Final at Wembley...
All the pressure is on the holders and favourites Arsenal – while Tim Sherwood’s plucky Aston Villa side have a rare chance to land a major trophy.
We’ve been studying the Cup Final Formbook here at Prem 10 towers in search of a winning angle on the big match. Here are our findings...
FA Cup Final trends – last 20 years...
- Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 70% of the finals
- The 1-0 Correct Score has paid out in 40%
- Both Teams to Score - NO bets have paid out in 80%
- Bets on the match winner To Win To Nil have paid out in 70%
And in the last decade...
- There has not been more than a one-goal marginof victory in the last ten FA Cup finals
The history books tell us to expect a narrow score-line, with goals hard to come by.
However the specific team Head-to-Head between Arsenal and Aston Villa suggests a more open and high scoring game is in store...
Arsenal v Aston Villa – last 10 meetings...
- Arsenal have won 7 of the last 10 meeting (Villa 2, Draw 1)
- Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 9 of the last 10 meetings – with an average of 3.2 Total Goals per game
- Arsenal did the Premier League double over Villa this season – beating them 5-0 and 3-0
The Head-to-Head says Arsenal win will with room to spare.
But we reckon THIS is the most important statistic to keep in mind this weekend....
- Arsenal haven’t won in Normal Time in any of their last 5 FA Cup appearances at Wembley
Arsenal went 0-2 down v Hull in the Final last year, eventually clawing it back to 2-2 in Normal Time and winning 3-2 in Extra Time...
In the Semi Final last year they needed Penalties to see off Wigan. And in the Semi Final this season Arsenal were held 1-1 by Reading in Normal Time before getting the win with a lucky goal in Extra Time.
In short – Arsenal don’t always win when they should win.
With those recent Wembley results fresh in the memory we won’t be taking odds of just 4/7 (1.57) on Arsenal to win in 90 Minutes...
But...
At 6/1 we could be tempted! That’s the Enhanced Price on offer for new customers at Coral this weekend.
- Max stake is £5. Winnings are paid as cash. And you can also get a £20 free bet if your Arsenal bet loses. So if you were thinking of backing Arsenal, this is the offer for you. Check the Coral site for the full Terms & Conditions
Get 6/1 on Arsenal to beat Villa here >>
P.S
In case Arsenal’s ‘making hard work of it’ trend continues, you might also want to consider Arsenal to win on Penalties @ 10/1 with Skybet and Arsenal to win in Extra Time @ 16/1 with Bet365...
The Cup Final is live on BBC One and BT Sport at 5.30pm Saturday. Enjoy the game...
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Editor
Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk |