A 9/1 Christmas winner - and your Sunday bets…

Saturday 27th December 2014

In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:

• Boxing Day Results – 3 out of 5 winners, and a 9/1 Correct Score…
• Your Recommended Bets for Sunday…
• Coming up – New Year’s Day games…
• How to make BIG money from ALL sports in 2015...

A 9/1 Christmas winner…

Our Boxing Day bets proved profitable, with 3 out of 5 winners from our Recommended Bets. And a welcome 9/1 payout from our Eye-catcher pick on the Tottenham 2-1 Correct Score at Leicester.

You can view our full Boxing Day Results update on our site here.

The Christmas feast of football continues with 10 games across Sunday and Monday (28th and 29th Dec). See below for our Recommended Bets…

• Our Bet Criteria. Remember, we use the stats to find highly-rated bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate. And we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or bigger on as many of our bets as possible.

• You can also view full Head-2-Head betting stats for every game and Team Data for all 20 teams on our site

Before we get started with tomorrow’s bets…

Missed the cut…

There are stacks of strong betting trends in the Premier League, but we don’t always get the chance to back them at decent odds or in the right market. Here are a couple that missed the cut this time...

• Aston Villa v Sunderland – Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 75% of both teams’ games (Home v Away), but the bookies have set their line higher than usual at 4.5 Cards. No bet for us this time

• Man City v  Burnley – Over 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 75% of City Home games and 88% of Burnley Away games. But the bookies are onto this one, with that bet short odds-on at just 4/9. Over 12 Corners is available at Evens, but that line is a little too high for us

Here are our 5 bets that did make the cut…

Your 5 Recommended Bets for Sunday…

We’re kicking off with the game between Tottenham and Man Utd, which is live on BT Sport at 12 noon. Early goals have been a feature in both teams’ recent games – and we’re looking to cash-in on another early strike tomorrow lunchtime…

Tottenham v Man Utd (TV) – Time of First Goal

• Time of First Goal – Before 27th Minute bets have paid out in 9 of Tottenham’s last 10 Premier League games (90%)
• Time of First Goal – Before 27th Minute bets have paid out in each of Man Utd’s last 6 games
• Before 27th Minute bets have paid out in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these sides
• Average First Goal Time in Tottenham Home games = 22 mins
• Average First Goal Time in Man Utd Away games = 23 mins

Recommended Bet:

Time of First Goal – Up to Minute 28 @ 20/23 (1.87) with BetVictor.

Also available – 26th Minute or Before @ 20/21 (1.95) with Boylesports. Or Up to and Including 25th Minute @ 10/11 (1.91) with Paddy Power.

Latest odds here

Crystal Palace sacked their manager Neil Warnock over Christmas, and the stats say QPR is a tough away trip for stand-in manager Keith Millen…

QPR v Crystal Palace – Match Result

• QPR have won 71% of Home games v Bottom Half sides (5 out of 7)
• QPR have won 4 of their last 5 Home games
• QPR have scored 2 or more goals in each of their last 7 Home games
• Palace have won just 1 of their last 12 games, losing 3 of their last 5
• Palace have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 Away games
• QPR are 16th in the Premier League table, but 9th on Last 6 Form
• Palace are 18th in the table, and 19th on Last 6 Form

Recommended Bet:

QPR to win @ 7/5 (2.40) with Bet365, William Hill, Stan James.

Also available @ 11/8 (2.38) in general.

Latest odds here

Sticking with the QPR v Palace game, we’re looking to cash-in on one of the Premier League’s hottest strikers – with generous odds available for Charlie Austin to find the net once again…

QPR v Crystal Palace – Anytime Scorer

• Bets on Charlie Austin to Score Anytime have paid out in 7 of his last 9 games for QPR
• Austin has scored 11 goals in 9 games
• Austin has scored 10 of QPR’s last 15 goals
• Palace have only kept 1 Clean Sheet in 12 games
• Bets on Charlie Austin – Anytime Scorer have paid out in each of QPR’s last 5 Home games

Recommended Bet:

Anytime Scorer – Charlie Austin @ 17/10 (2.70) with BetVictor.

Also available @ 6/4 (2.50) with Paddy Power, 13/10 (2.30) with William Hill or 11/10+ (2.10+) in general.

Latest odds here

West Ham are proving one of the best Corners bets in the league this season, Home and Away. They are available at odds-against prices to win the Most Corners at Home v Arsenal tomorrow. The stats say that’s good value…

West Ham v Arsenal – Team with Most Corners

• Bets on West Ham to win the Most Corners have paid in 78% of their Home games (7 out of 9)
• Bets on West Ham to win the Most Corners have paid out in 72% of all their games this season, Home & Away
• Arsenal have won the Most Corners in just 3 of 9 Away games, and in none of their 3 games at Top Half sides
• West Ham average 7.1 Corners For per Home game
• Arsenal average 5.8 Corners For per Away game
• West Ham have won the Most Corners in each of their last 4 Home games

Recommended Bet:

Corners Match Bet – West Ham @ 13/10 (2.30) with Stan James.

Also available @ 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365. Or 15/13 (2.15) with BetBright, Bwin.

Check also for Corners Match Bet/ Team with Most Corners bets with William Hill, Skybet, BetVictor ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

Last but not least, we’re backing Newcastle to keep up their strong Corner-winning record at Home. With visitors Everton matching-up well for a bet here…

Newcastle v Everton (TV) – Corner Handicap

• Newcastle have won the Most Corners in 75% of Home games
• Bets on Newcastle –1 Corner Handicap have paid out in 75% of their Home games
• Newcastle Most Corners bets and –1 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in all 6 of their Home games v sides outside the Top 2 (100%)
• Everton have won the Most Corners in just 3 of their 9 Away games
• Newcastle average 2.9 Corners per Home game MORE than opponents
• Everton average 2.2 Corners per Away game LESS than opponents

Recommended Bet:

Newcastle –1 Corner Handicap @ 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Corner Handicap bets with William Hill, Skybet, BetVictor, Paddy Power ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

I’ll be back with the top-rated stats and Recommended Bets for the New Year’s Day games with your email on Wednesday 31st December.

And before then – get your name down for a big event coming up in January…

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Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone
Editor

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk