Your 3 Recommended Bets for tonight’s games...
Tuesday 2nd December 2014
In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:
- 6 games tonight...
- Your 3 Recommended Bets...
- Next bets tomorrow...
Welcome to your Prem10 midweek email...
We have 10 games to look forward to across tonight and tomorrow evening. Today’s email focuses on the 6 games being played tonight – where the stats have generated 3 Recommended Bets for us.
- Remember, we use the stats to find bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate – and we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or better on as many of our bets as possible.
Ones that didn’t make the cut…
Before we get started – a quick look at some of the games and bets that didn’t make the cut...
- Leicester v Liverpool is the live game on BT Sport – but the stats don’t flag up any strong betting trends or standout prices for us here
- Burnley v Newcastle – match-up well for an Over 3.5 Cards bet on recent form (Burnley – 6 of the last 7; Newcastle – 4 of the last 5). But the bookies have priced us out of a bet here, with Bet365 raising the line to Over 4.5 Cards. Injury news also puts us off any bets featuring Newcastle tonight
- Swansea v QPR – QPR are in our ‘100% Club’ for 6 out of 6 Away defeats this season. But these sides are neck and neck in the Premier League Form Guide table (Last 6 Games), and Swansea are odds-on to win at just 3/4 despite having won just 2 of their last 10 games. We’ll avoid the Match Result market for those reasons
Now for the 3 bets that did make the cut...
Tonight’s Recommended Bets...
Man Utd have been winning stacks of corners at Old Trafford lately, and we have the chance to cash-in on them in the Corner Handicap market tonight...
Man Utd v Stoke – Corner Handicap
- Man Utd have won the Most Corners in 71% of Home games (5 out of 7)
- Stoke have won the Most Corners in just 1 of their 7 Away games
- Man Utd average 2.7 Corners per Home game MORE than opponents
- Stoke average 3.0 Corners per Away games LESS than opponents
- In their last 2 Home games (v Hull and Crystal Palace), Man Utd have won the Most Corners 7-0 and 11-4 respectively
- Bets on Man Utd -4 Corner Handicap have paid out in 3 of their last 4 Home games
Recommended Bet:
Man Utd -4 Corner Handicap @ 5/4 (2.25) with Bet365.
Also available @ 11/10 (2.10) with BetVictor, William Hill or Evens (2.00) with Skybet, Paddy Power.
This bet wins if Man Utd win at least 5 corners more than Stoke.
Latest odds here
As well as plenty of corners, Man Utd’s Home games have also seen a high amount of bookings this season...
Man Utd v Stoke – Total Cards
- Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 86% of Man Utd Home games (6 out of 7)
- Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in each of Man Utd’s last 5 Home games
- Stoke have received at least 2 Yellow Cards in each of their last 5 Away games
- Over 3.5 Cards bets paid out in both meetings between these sides last season
- Man Utd Home games average 5.6 Total Cards
- Stoke Away games average 4.8 Total Cards
Recommended Bet:
Over 3.5 Cards @ 4/5 (1.80) with Bet365.
Also available – check for Cards and Booking Points markets with William Hill, BetBright, Sportingbet, Skybet and Stan James.
Latest odds here
We’re banking on a 100% trend in the Over 2.5 Goals market tonight, where West Ham have landed 6 payouts in a row. West Brom have failed to score in their last 3, but haven’t gone 4 games without scoring since 2003... both teams’ poor Clean Sheet records suggest there will be goals...
West Brom v West Ham – Total Goals
- Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 100% of West Ham Away games (6 out of 6)
- Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 7 of West Ham’s last 10 games
- West Brom have kept just 1 Clean Sheet in their 7 Home games
- West Ham haven’t kept a Clean Sheet in any of their 6 Away games this season, and any of their last 12 overall
- West Brom Home games average 3.0 Total Goals
- West Ham Away games average 3.7 Total Goals
Recommended Bet:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 (2.10) with BetVictor.
Also available @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365 & William Hill, or Evens+ (2.00+) in general.
Latest odds here
View Team Data and Head-2-Head stats on our site...
Remember you can also view team stats and all our Head-2-Head betting stats on your Prem10 website. Log-in with your email address and personal password at: www.Prem10.co.uk.
I’ll be back tomorrow with the standout stats and our Recommended Bets for the 4 Wednesday night games:
- Arsenal v Southampton (TV)
- Chelsea v Tottenham
- Everton v Hull
- Sunderland v Man City
Your Recommended Bets email will be with you by 1.30pm tomorrow.
Until then,
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Editor
Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk |
