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Your 4 Recommended Bets for tonight's games...

Wednesday 3rd December 2014

In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:

  • 4 games tonight...
  • Your 4 Recommended Bets...
  • Next bets on Friday...

Our Recommended Bets produced 2 out of 3 winning bets last night...

West Ham kept up their 100% Away record for Over 2.5 Goals bets, winning 2-1 at West Brom. And Over 3.5 Cards paid out for the 7th time in 8 Man Utd Home games this season, with a total of 6 yellow cards in their 2-1 win over Stoke.

There are 4 more games tonight and the stats have given us 4 Recommended Bets.

  • Remember, we use the stats to find bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate – and we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or better on as many of our bets as possible.

Ones that didn’t make the cut…

  • Sunderland v Man City – Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 7 of Sunderland’s last 8 games, but City’s figures don’t reach the same level.
  • Chelsea v Tottenham - Tottenham are in our ‘100% Club’ for Over 3.5 Cards bets Away from home, but Chelsea don’t match up for a bet with just 33% of their Home games paying out. And the bookies have set their bar higher at 4.5 Cards tonight.

We’ll avoid those – but the stats lead us to 4 highly-rated bets for this evening...

Tonight’s Recommended Bets...

League leaders Chelsea are just 4/9 to keep up their 100% Home win record tonight – but you can double your money by backing them in the Corner Handicap market...

Chelsea v Tottenham – Corner Handicap

  • Chelsea have won the Most Corners in 83% of Home games (5 out of 6)
  • Chelsea average 9.0 Corners For per Home game, and just 2.8 Against
  • Tottenham average 6.2 Corners For Away game, and 6.3 Against
  • Bets on Tottenham’s opponent with a -2 Corner Handicap have paid out in 2 of their 3 Away games v Top Half teams this season
  • Chelsea -2 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in each of their last 5 games

Recommended Bet:

Chelsea -2 Corner Handicap @ Evens (2.00) with BetVictor.

Also available @ 19/20 (1.95) with William Hill, and 10/11 (1.91) with Skybet, Paddy Power.

Latest odds here




Arsenal are odds-on to win at 17/20 tonight, but have won just 2 out of 6 at Home so far. The stats say the best bet in this game is in the Time of First Goal market...

Arsenal v Southampton (TV) – Time of First Goal

  • Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in each of Arsenal’s last 5 games
  • Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in 83% of Arsenal Home games (5 out of 6)
  • Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in 4 of Southampton’s last 5 games, and 7 of their last 10
  • Arsenal’s last 4 games have all been 0-0 at Half Time
  • Average First Goal Time in Arsenal Home games = 43 mins. Southampton Away games = 34 mins

Recommended Bet:

Time of First Goal – During or After Minute 28 @ 23/20 (2.15) with BetVictor.

Also available – After 27th Minute @ 10/11 (1.91) with Paddy Power.

Latest odds here




One of the strongest match-ups of the night is at Goodison Park...

Everton v Hull – Total Cards

  • Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 100% of Everton Home games
  • Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 86% of Hull Away games (6 out of 7)
  • Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 6 of Everton’s last 7 games
  • Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 5 of Hull’s last 6 games
  • Everton Home games average 5.0 Total Cards
  • Hull Away games average 5.3 Total Cards

Recommended Bet:

Over 3.5 Cards @ 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Cards and Booking Points markets with William Hill, BetBright, Sportingbet, Skybet, Unibet, Stan James and Coral.

Latest odds here




And last but not least – Everton and Hull both have below-average corner winning records this season, making Under 10.5 Corners a profitable bet...

Everton v Hull – Total Corners

  • Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 83% of Everton Home games (5 out of 6)
  • Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 85% of all Everton games this season
  • Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 5 of Hull’s last 6 Away games, and 71% for the season
  • Everton average 5.8 Corner For per Home game. Hull average just 2.9 Corners For per Away game
  • Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 5 of Everton’s last 6 games

Recommended Bet:

Asian Total Corners – Under 10.5 Corners @ 39/40 (1.98) with Bet365.

To find this bet on the Bet365 website, go to the Everton v Hull game and click on the ‘Asian Lines’ heading.

Also available – Under 10.5 Corners @ 9/10 (1.90) with Stan James, or 4/5 with BetBright.

Latest odds here




View Team Data and Head-2-Head stats on our site...

Remember you can also view team stats and all our Head-2-Head betting stats on your Prem10 website. Log-in with your email address and personal password at: www.Prem10.co.uk.

I’ll be back tomorrow morning with an update on all our midweek results – and a look ahead to the weekend games...

Until then,

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone
Editor

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk

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