Your 5 Recommended Bets - and a 5/1 Eye-catcher...

Friday 5th December 2014

In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:

• Your 5 Recommended Bets...
• Including a 4/1 Treble...
• Plus – a 5/1 Eye-catcher...

Welcome to your Prem10 weekend email...

The current top 5 teams in the Premier League are all live on TV this weekend – kicking off with Newcastle v table-toppers Chelsea on Saturday lunchtime. There’s a strong 86% winning trend that we’re looking to cash-in on in that game – see below.

The stats have led us to 5 Recommended Bets this week...

• Remember, we use the stats to find highly-rated bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate – and we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or better on as many of our bets as possible.

One that didn’t make the cut…

• Southampton v Man Utd is the only one of the 5 TV games that we’re not betting on this weekend. The stats show that bets on Southampton’s opponents to receive the Most Cards & Booking Points have paid out in 71% of Home games – but Man Utd don’t match up for a Recommended Bet here, failing to land that bet in any of their 4 most recent games.

We’re looking to cash-in on bets in 5 different markets this weekend, though...

This weekend’s Recommended Bets...

We’re starting with Newcastle v Chelsea live on BT Sport at 12.45pm Saturday. The stats make this one of the top-rated bets of the weekend...

Newcastle v Chelsea (TV) – Total Cards

• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 83% of Newcastle Home games
• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 86% of Chelsea Away games
• Newcastle Home games average 5.2 Total Cards
• Chelsea Away games average 6.6 Total Cards
• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 5 of Newcastle’s last 6 games
• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in each of Chelsea’s last 6 Away games

Recommended Bet:

Over 3.5 Cards @ 4/5 (1.80) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Total Cards and Booking Points bets with the likes of BetBright, Stan James, William Hill, Coral, Skybet, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Unibet ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

West Ham are one of the most reliable corner-winning sides in the Premier League, but seem to be flying under the bookies’ radar at the moment. The stats make them a strong bet in the Corner Handicap market...

West Ham v Swansea (TV) – Corner Handicap

• West Ham have won the Most Corners in 71% of games this season (10 out of 14)
• West Ham -1 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in 71% of their games, Home and Away
• Swansea have only won the Most Corners in 3 out of 14 games this season
• Bets on Swansea’s opponents -1 Corner Handicap have paid out in 5 of their 6 Away games (83%)
• West Ham win an average of 6.7 Corners per Home game. Swansea win an average of just 2.2 Corners per Away game

Recommended Bet:

West Ham -1 Corner Handicap @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Corner Handicap bets with William Hill, Skybet, Paddy Power, BetVictor ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

The stats lead us firmly to the Time of First Goal market at Stoke. And see below for our 5/1 Eye-catcher pick for this game, too...

Stoke v Arsenal – Time of First Goal 

• Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in each of Arsenal’s last 6 games
• Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in 2 of Stoke’s last 3 Home games, and 4 out of 6 for the season
• Arsenal’s last 5 games have all been 0-0 at Half Time
• Only 1 of Stoke’s 6 Home goals has been scored before the 30th minute
• Average First Goal Time in Stoke Home games = 35 mins. Arsenal Away games = 36 mins

Recommended Bet:

Time of First Goal – During or After Minute 28 @ 23/20 (2.15) with BetVictor.

Also available – Time of First Goal bets also available with Paddy Power and Boylesports.

Latest odds here

Tottenham and Palace are two of our highest-rated teams for Total Cards bets this season – and we have the chance to cash-in again on Saturday...

Tottenham v Crystal Palace – Total Cards

• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 79% of Tottenham games (11 out of 14)
• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 71% of Palace games (10 out of 14)
• Tottenham average 2.3 Cards For per Home game. Palace average 2.6 Away
• Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 6 Tottenham games in a row
• There has been a Red Card shown in 4 of Tottenham’s last 6 games

Recommended Bet:

Over 3.5 Cards @ 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Total Cards and Booking Points bets with the likes of BetBright, Stan James, William Hill, Coral, Skybet, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Unibet ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

There’s a 4/1 payout up for grabs from our final Recommended Bet. These 3 games are our strongest picks in the Total Goals market this weekend – and we’re backing them in a Treble...

Treble – Total Goals

Tottenham v Crystal Palace – OVER 2.5 Goals

• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 71% of Tottenham games, Home and Away
• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in each of Tottenham’s last 6 games
• Palace haven’t kept a Clean Sheet in any of their 7 Away games
• Palace Away games average 3.3 Total Goals

Man City v Everton (TV) – OVER 2.5 Goals

• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 6 of Man City’s last 7 games, and 8 of their last 10
• There were 9 goals in the 2 games between these sides last season (City winning 3-1 and 2-3)
• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 4 of Everton’s last 5 games v last season’s Top 5 teams
• Everton Away games average 2.9 Total Goals

Aston Villa v Leicester (TV) – UNDER 2.5 Goals 

• Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 86% of Leicester Away games (6 out of 7)
• Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 5 of Villa’s last 6 games
• Under 2.5 Goals have paid out in 5 of Leicester’s last 7 games
• Villa have scored an average of just 0.7 Goals For per Home game (lowest in the Premier League)
• Leicester have scored an average of just 0.4 Goals per Away game (2nd-lowest in the Premier League)

Recommended Bet:

TREBLE – the 3 bets above @ 4/1 (5.00) with BetVictor.

Also available @ 7/2+ (4.50+) in general.

Latest odds here

View Team Data and Head-2-Head stats on our site...

Remember you can also view team stats and all our Head-2-Head betting stats on your Prem10 website. Log-in with your email address and personal password at: www.Prem10.co.uk.

I’ll be back on Monday with the weekend results. Enjoy the games...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone
Editor

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk