Your 5 Recommended Bets - and a 10/1 ‘Bore Draw’...
Friday 9th January 2015
In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:
- Your 5 Recommended Bets for the weekend...
- Plus – 7/1 and 10/1 Eye-catchers...
Welcome to your Prem10 weekend email...
We have a full schedule of Premier League games taking place over Saturday and Sunday – with some strong match-ups on our Head-2-Head stats providing us with 5 Recommended Bets...
- Remember, we use the stats to find highly-rated bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate – and we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or better on as many of our bets as possible.
Plus, the stats have also flagged up two bigger price ‘Eye-catchers’ at odds of 7/1 and 10/1. See below for those.
Before we get started...
Missed the cut...
There are stacks of strong betting trends in the Premier League, but we don’t always get the chance to back them at decent odds or in the right market...
Here are the highly-rated bets that missed the cut this time:
- Chelsea v Newcastle – Chelsea have won 100% of Home games this season, including 4 out of 4 v fellow Top Half sides, while Newcastle have lost 4 of 6 Away v the Top Half. But odds of just 1/5 (1.20) for the Home win price us out of backing this one
- Arsenal v Stoke (TV) – Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 89% of Home games and landed -2 Corner Handicap bets in 89%, too. But the bookies have set the marker too high v Stoke at a -4 Corner Handicap. The Gunners have only covered that in 5 out of 9 at Home, and none of the last 2
Here are our 5 bets that didmake the cut...
Your 5 Recommended Bets for the weekend...
We’re kicking off with two bets on title-chasing Man City – who are top of the league on recent form, and are also one of the best ‘Most Cards’ bets in the Premier League..
Everton v Man City – Team with Most Booking Points
- Man City have received the Most Cards/ Booking Points in 70% of Away games (7 out of 10)
- Everton haven’t received the Most Cards/ Booking Points in any of their 9 Home games
- Everton average 1.2 Cards per Home game LESS than opponents
- City average 1.2 Cards per Away game MORE than opponents
- Bets on Man City to receive the Most Cards/ Booking Points have paid out in 4 of their last 5 games
Recommended Bet:
Bookings Match Bet – Man City @ 13/10 (2.30) with Stan James.
Also available: Man City 0 Card Handicap @ 5/4 (2.25) with Bet365, or Most Booking Points – Man City @ 11/10 (2.10) with William Hill.
Latest odds here
Recent form makes this a bottom v top clash – back City to make it 5 Away wins in a row...
Everton v Man City – Match Result
- City have won 5 out of 6 Away games v Bottom Half sides this season (83%)
- City have won their last 4 Away games
- City have won 70% of Away games (7 out of 10)
- Everton have lost 5 of their last 6 games
- City are top of the Premier League on Last 6 Games form, Everton are bottom
Recommended Bet:
Man City to win @ 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill.
Also available @ 10/11 with Bet365, Boylesports, BetVictor, Betfred.
Latest odds here
For our next bet we’re targeting one of the strongest trends in the league – Burnley’s 90% record...
Burnley v QPR – Total Corners
- Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in 90% of Burnley Home games (9 out of 10)
- Burnley Home games average just 8.0 Total Corners
- Under 10.5 Corners bets have paid out in each of the last 6 Burnley Home games, and the last 2 QPR Away games
- Burnley average 4.0 Corners For per Home game
- QPR average 4.2 Corners For per Away game
Recommended Bet:
Asian Total Corners – Under 10.5 Corners @ 19/20 (1.95) with Bet365.
Also available: Under 10.5 Corners @ 31/40 (1.78) with BetVictor, or 8/11 (1.73) with Stan James.
Latest odds here
West Brom have one of the best Home Corners records in the division, and Hull look a great match-up for a bet this weekend...
West Brom v Hull – Corner Handicap
- West Brom have won the Most Corners in 80% of Home games (8 out of 10)
- Bets on West Brom –2 Corner Handicap have paid out in 70% of Home games
- Hull have won Most Corners in just 2 of 10 Away games
- Hull average 4.2 Corners per Away game LESS than opponents
- West Brom -2 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in 4 of their last 6 Home games
- Bets on opponents -2 Corner Handicap have paid out in 4 of Hull’s last 6 Away games
Recommended Bet:
West Brom -2 Corner Handicap @ 9/10 (1.90) with BetVictor.
Also available @ 17/20 (1.85) with William Hill, or 5/6 (1.83) with Paddy Power.
Latest odds here
And in the Saturday evening TV game on Sky Sports, the stats clearly highlight Tottenham for the Away win...
Crystal Palace v Tottenham (TV) – Match Result
- Tottenham have won 4 of their last 5 Away games
- Palace have only won 1 of their last 5 at Home, and just 1 of their last 10 overall
- Palace have lost 75% of Home games v Top Half sides (3 out of 4)
- Tottenham have won 75% of Away games v Bottom Half sides
- Tottenham have won 4 of their last 5 games
- Tottenham are 2nd in the Premier League on Last 6 Games form, Palace are 19th
Recommended Bet:
Tottenham to win @ 6/5 (2.20) with Paddy Power.
Also available @ 6/5 with Bet365, BetVictor, Stan James, Coral.
Latest odds here
Eye-catchers – Bore Draws @ 7/1 and 10/1...
Every week – separate to our main Recommended Bets – we flag up big price ‘Eye-catchers.’ Aiming to land payouts from other bets & markets that our stats and research throw up, at big odds...
This week we’re targeting two potential ‘Bore Draws’...
Sunderland v Liverpool (TV) – 10/1 for another 0-0...
Sunderland have had 6 goalless draws this season – no Correct Score bet has paid out more often on any Premier League team than the Sunderland 0-0... If you’d backed the 0-0 Correct Score to £10 level stakes at average odds of 10/1 in every Sunderland game so far, you’d be £460 in profit... these sides drew 0-0 at Anfield last month and it’s 10/1 for a repeat.
Leicester v Aston Villa – 7/1 for goal drought to continue...
Villa are joint-2nd on the Bore Draw chart this season with the 0-0 Correct Score being their most common score-line, paying out 4 times... Villa have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games, with two 0-0 draws in a row... and Leicester’s last 2 Home games v fellow Bottom Half sides have ended 0-0 and 0-1...
This week’s Eye-catchers are:
Sunderland v Liverpool – ‘No Goalscorer’ @ 10/1 with William Hill, Coral
Latest odds here
Leicester v Aston Villa – ‘No Goalscorer’ @ 7/1 with William Hill, Coral
Latest odds here
- Backing ‘No Goalscorer’ in the First Scorer market is preferable to backing ‘0-0’ in the Correct Score market as it covers us for Own Goals.
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View Team Data and Head-2-Head stats on our site...
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I’ll be back on Monday with the latest results.
Enjoy the games...
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Editor
Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk |
