Results - and your guide to the bookies...
Monday 10th November 2014
In your Prem10 – Results email today:
- Weekend Results...
- This week – International break...
- Coming up – Arsenal v Man Utd...
- This Friday – your Prem10 guide to the bookies...
Chelsea are clear at the top of the Premier League table after winning again at the weekend...
Their win over Liverpool was one of just two highlights from our weekend Recommended Bets, though – an ugly set of results with 80% trends failing to pay out this time at Liverpool, West Brom, QPR and Sunderland. While Tottenham’s 100% record for winning the Most Corners in Home games is over, too.
Weekend results
The stats led us to 11 Recommended Bets. For full details of each bet, view Friday’s email on our site here.
Liverpool v Chelsea – Match Result
Final Score: 1-2
Recommended Bet:
Chelsea to win @ 6/5 – WON
Liverpool v Chelsea – Corner Handicap
Corners result: 5-8
Recommended Bet:
Liverpool -1 Corner Handicap @ 11/8 – LOST
Liverpool v Chelsea – Highest Scoring Half
Half Time: 1-1
Final Score: 2-1
Recommended Bet:
Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half @ 11/10 – LOST
West Ham v Aston Villa – Time of First Goal
Final Score: 0-0
Recommended Bet:
Time of First Goal – Up to and Including 27th Minute @ Evens – LOST
West Brom v Newcastle – Time of First Goal
Final Score: 0-2
First Goal Time = 45 mins
Recommended Bet:
Time of First Goal – Up to and Including 29th Minute @ Evens – LOST
Tottenham v Stoke – Corner Handicap
Final Score: 1-2
Corners result = 5-5
Recommended Bet:
Tottenham -2 Corner Handicap @ 20/23 – LOST
Match Results – Treble
Southampton v Leicester – Southampton to win (2-0 – won)
West Ham v Aston Villa – West Ham to win (0-0 – lost)
Burnley v Hull – Double Chance: Hull Win or Draw (1-0 – lost)
Recommended Bet:
Treble on the 3 bets above @ 3.90 – LOST
QPR v Man City – Corner Handicap
Final Score: 2-2
Corners result = 7-7
Recommended Bet:
Man City -2.5 Corner Handicap @ 17/20 – LOST
QPR v Man City – Card Handicap
Cards result = 4-2
Recommended Bet:
Man City 0 Card Handicap @ 11/8 – LOST
Sunderland v Everton – Total Cards
Final Score: 1-1
Cards result = 3 Cards
Recommended Bet:
Over 3.5 Cards @ 8/11 – LOST
Man Utd v Crystal Palace – Total Cards
Final Score: 1-0
Cards result = 4 Cards
Recommended Bet:
Over 3.5 Cards @ Evens – WON
- Our 11 bets produced 2 winning payouts at the weekend – resulting in a -6.8 points loss to level stakes
Taking a closer look at the stats....
All our weekend selections were strongly supported by the stats – we only bet on the highest-rated outcomes, based on our team data and Head-2-Head statistics.
Results didn’t go our way this week, but over the course of the season following the 70%... 85%... and 90%+ trends in the Premier League will lead us to many more winning weekends than losing ones.
We can’t blame ‘luck’ for the nine losing picks this week. The stats don’t rely on luck. But perhaps we can call it bad timing for so many highly rated selections to fall down on the same weekend.
Our two winning bets came from these solid trends...
Chelsea – a winning machine...
Chelsea’s 2-1 win at Liverpool was their 9th win in their last 11 games v last season’s Top 5 sides (82%). And they’re beating all-comers - winning 9 out of 11 Premier League games so far this season.
Man Utd – Over 3.5 Cards...
Bets on Over 3.5 Total Cards have now paid out in 5 out of 6 Man Utd Home games, and 73% of their Premier League games overall.
Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out twice as many times (8) as backing Man Utd to win (4) this season. A clear example there of the stats leading us to reliable bets in markets beyond the standard Match Result ‘win lose or draw.’
Eye-catchers update: no Red Card at Old Trafford...
Our weekend Eye-catcher was available at an attractive 5/1, but we’re still in search of our first big payout...
Man Utd v Crystal Palace – Red Card in the match @ 5/1 – LOST
- Remember, these Eye-catchers are separate to our main Recommended Bets – and intended to spice up the weekend coupon by hunting out big odds. All based on the stats – no hunches or wild long-shots.
We’ll be in the hunt for a 5/1+ Eye-catcher again next Friday.
The Premier League takes a break for the Euro 2016 Qualifiers this weekend. But we have a great looking fixture list to bet on when the league returns next week, including Arsenal v Man Utd. There are already 80% and 91% trends on our radar for that game – and we’ll be targeting the top-rated bets across all 10 games.
This Friday – your Prem10 guide to the bookies...
With no Premier League this week, I’ll be using your Friday email to answer some of your questions when it comes to:
- Which bookies to use for Corners, Cards and Booking Points bets...
- The difference between ‘Cards’ and ‘Booking Points’...
- How to find markets like Corner Handicaps on the bookies’ websites...
I’ve had a few email from members on those topics. Lookout for Friday’s email where I’ll be putting together an at-a-glance guide.
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Editor
Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk |
