Your 6 Recommended Bets - and Tottenham at 14/1...

Friday 12th December 2014

In your Prem10 – Recommended Bets email today:

• Your 6 Recommended Bets...
• Including Man Utd v Liverpool...
• Plus – Tottenham @ 14/1...

Welcome to your Prem10 weekend email...

Man Utd v Liverpool is the big game this week – live on Sky Sports ‘Super Sunday’ at 1.30pm. We’ve got standout stats and a Recommended Bet on that one for you, as well as 5 other highly-rated bets from across the Premier League...

• Remember, we use the stats to find highly-rated bets with a 70%+ winning strike-rate – and we’re always aiming to double our money by betting at Evens or better on as many of our bets as possible.

Missed the cut...

A quick note on a few that didn’t make our Recommended Bets list this week...

• Man Utd v Liverpool – Over 3.5 Cards bets have paid out in 88% of Man Utd Home games and 71% of Liverpool Away games this season, and 9 of the last 10 meetings between these rivals... but the bookies have set their line high here with Over 5.5 Cards or Over 55 Booking Points. That bet has only paid out in 3 of the last 10 meetings, so we’re avoiding that one. See below for our bet on the big game

And three in our ‘100% Club’...

• Chelsea v Hull – Chelsea have won 100% of Home games, and Hull have lost 11 of 15 Away games v Top Half sides since the start of last season. But the prices are way too short for us to get involved – the Home win is just 1/6 and Chelsea are odds-on in the Half Time/ Full Time, Match Handicap and Win To Nil markets, too

• Sunderland v West Ham – Over 2.5 Goals bets and Both Teams to Score bets have paid out in 100% of West Ham Away games – but 3 of Sunderland’s last 4 games have ended 0-0, so that makes this game a ‘no bet’ for us
  
  
• Everton v QPR – QPR have lost 100% of Away games, but Everton @ 4/9 is too short for us considering they have won just 2 of their 7 Home games so far

This weekend’s Recommended Bets...

The stats have led us to 6 Recommended Bets...

We’re kicking off with a bet involving the big game at Old Trafford – and some of the highest-rated Goals stats of the weekend...

Double – Total Goals

Man Utd v Liverpool (TV) – OVER 2.5 Goals  

• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 75% of Man Utd Home games (6 out of 8)
• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 86% of Liverpool Away games (6 out of 7)
• Over 2.5 Goals bets and Both Teams to Score bets have paid out in 7 of the last 10 Premier League meetings between these sides
• Man Utd have scored in 100% of Home games this season. Liverpool have scored in 6 of their 7 Away games
• Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in each of Man Utd’s last 4 games

Burnley v Southampton – UNDER 2.5 Goals

• Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 71% of Southampton Away games
• Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 4 of Burnley’s last 5 games
• Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in each of Southampton’s last 5 Away games
• Burnley Home games average 2.2 Total Goals
• Southampton Away games average 1.9 Total Goals

Recommended Bet:

Double on the 2 bets above @ 23/10 (3.30) with BetVictor.

Also available @ 2/1+ (3.00+) in general.

Latest odds here

Man City have won 6 in a row in all competitions – they’re odds-on at 1/2 for the Away win this weekend, but you can more than double your money by backing City to win by more than 1 goal...

Leicester v Man City – Match Handicap

• Leicester have lost 8 of their last 10 Premier League games. City have won 8 of their last 10
• Leicester have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games
• City have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their 8 Away games this season
• City are top of the Premier League Recent Form table (last 6 games)
• Leicester are bottom of the Premier League, and also bottom on Recent Form
• City -1 Match Handicap bets have paid out in 70% of their wins

Recommended Bet:

Man City -1 Match Handicap @ 5/4 (2.25) with BetVictor.

Also available @ 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365, Paddy Power, Stan James and 11/10+ (2.10+) in general.

Latest odds here

Next up – a standout bet in the Midlands derby. West Brom have excellent Corners stats at Home, and rivals Villa match up well for a bet here...

West Brom v Aston Villa – Corner Handicap

• West Brom have won the Most Corners in 75% of Home games (6 out of 8)
• West Brom -2 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in 75% of their Home games
• West Brom -2 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in 6 out of 6 Home games v non Top 6 sides
• West Brom average 2.4 Corners per Home game MORE than opponents
• Villa average 1.7 Corners per Away game LESS than opponents
• Bets on Villa’s opponents up to -5 Corner Handicap have paid out in 4 of their last 6 games

Recommended Bet:

West Brom -2 Corner Handicap @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Corner Handicap bets with William Hill, Skybet, Paddy Power, BetVictor ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

Arsenal v Newcastle is the Saturday evening game on Sky Sports. The Goal Time stats provide us with one of the strongest match-ups of the week here...

Arsenal v Newcastle (TV) – Time of First Goal

• Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in 86% of Arsenal Home games, and in 6 of their last 7 overall
• Time of First Goal – After 27th Minute bets have paid out in each of Newcastle’s last 6 games, with an average First Goal Time in that period of 57 mins
• 5 of Arsenal’s last 6 games and 4 of Newcastle’s last 6 games have been 0-0 at Half Time
• Average First Goal Time in Arsenal Home games this season = 50 mins
• Newcastle haven’t scored a goal before the 37th minute all season

Recommended Bet:

Time of First Goal – After 24th Minute @ 10/11 (1.91) with Paddy Power.

Paddy Power have the lowest (best) Goal Time marker on offer, at 24 minutes.

Also available – After 26th Minute @ 10/11 with Boylesports, or During or After Minute 28 @ 6/5 (2.20) with BetVictor.

Latest odds here

Arsenal are one of the highest Corner-winners in the league, and are a clear pick in the Corner Handicap market...

Arsenal v Newcastle (TV) – Corner Handicap

• Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 86% of Home games (6 out of 7)
• Arsenal -4 Corner Handicap bets have paid out in 86% of their Home games
• Newcastle’s opponents have won the Most Corners in 4 of their last 5 Away games
• When these sides met at the Emirates stadium last season Arsenal won the Most Corners, 14-0
• Arsenal average 10.3 Corners For per Home game. Newcastle average 4.5 Corners For per Away game

Recommended Bet:

Asian Handicap Corners – Arsenal -3.5 Corner Handicap @ 37/40 (1.92) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Corner Handicap bets with William Hill, Skybet, Paddy Power, BetVictor ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

Last but not least...

Tottenham have an excellent Corners record this season – and the stats say they should be the favourite to win the Most Corners at Swansea on Sunday...

Swansea v Tottenham (TV) – Most Corners

• Bets on Swansea’s opponents to win the Most Corners have paid out in 73% of their games this season (11 out of 15)
• Tottenham have won the Most Corners in each of their last 4 Away games
• Swansea have won the Most Corners in just 3 out of 15 games this season
• Swansea average 3.5 Corners For per Home game
• Tottenham average 6.1 Corners For per Away game

Recommended Bet:

Corners Match Bet – Tottenham @ 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365.

Also available – check for Corners Match Bets or Most Corners bets with William Hill, Skybet, Paddy Power, BetVictor ahead of kick off.

Latest odds here

View Team Data and Head-2-Head stats on our site...

Remember you can also view team stats and all our Head-2-Head betting stats on your Prem10 website. Log-in with your email address and personal password at: www.Prem10.co.uk.

I’ll be back on Monday with the weekend results. Enjoy the games...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone
Editor

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk