Weekend Picks - Alli the man of the moment at 15/2...

Friday 20th November 2015

In your Prem10 – Weekend Picks email today:

• This week’s standout stats & prices...
• Value Picks - Deli Alli at 15/2...
• Stats Picks – follow Southampton and Bournemouth... 

With the International break out of the way, we have Premier League action to look forward to every week from here until the New Year...

The stats lead us to Tottenham this weekend, where Dele Alli catches the eye in the Man of the Match market...

Alli the man of the moment at 15/2...

Tottenham v West Ham (TV) – Man of the Match:

• Dele Alli has won the Sky Sports Man of the Match award in Tottenham’s last 2 Premier League games

Having scored in a Man of the Match performance on his England debut midweek, Tottenham’s 19-year-old midfielder Dele Alli is the man of the moment.

Alli has been in the starting line-up for Spurs’ last 8 league games, and most recently caught the eye of chief Sky Sports pundit Gary Neville with Man of the Match performances against both Aston Villa and Arsenal. With Spurs on TV again this weekend, that market is worthy of our attention...

I flagged up a list of Man of the Match winners for Sky TV games in your Spotlight email last week, and with 75% of the awards going to Midfielders & Forwards, the up-and-coming Dele Alli looks a prime contender in the Super Sunday match this weekend.

A trio of bookies are offering the Man of the Match market, with the result settled by the official Sky Sports announcement. BetVictor go 6/1 (7.00) for Dele Alli, but we can get a standout 15/2 (8.50) with Betfred and Paddy Power.

Those odds are twice as big as his Anytime Scorer price. Alli to be Man of the Match is my weekend Value Pick at 15/2.

There are stacks of highly-rated stats, bets and trends in the Premier League – but we don’t always get the chance to back them at an appealing price. For example, Watford v Man Utd is flagged up as an Under 10.5 Corners match-up in the Head-to-Head stats on our website, but that option is short odds-on at just 4/7 (1.57) this weekend.

Having studied all the stats and markets, these two prices are my idea of the best value...

Bournemouth should be favourites for Most Corners...

Swansea v Bournemouth – Most Corners:

• Swansea haven’t won the Most Corners in any of their 6 Home games (0%)
• Bournemouth have won the Most Corners in 4 of their last 6 Away games (67%), and 8 out of 12 games overall (67%)
• Swansea average just 2.7 Corners For per Home game
• Bournemouth average 6.0 Corners For per Away game
• Bournemouth have won the Most Corners in 6 of their last 7 Premier League games

As the Away team Bournemouth have been priced up as the underdogs for the Most Corners here – but the stats say that shouldn’t be the case...

William Hill have already flip-flopped their prices to make Bournemouth the favourites, but odds-against prices are still available with several bookmakers. Corners Match Bet – Bournemouth best price 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365, Stan James, BetVictor. Also available at Evens+ (2.00+) with 888 Sport, Unibet, Paddy Power, BetBright.

Southampton shouldn’t be 2/1 for the Most Bookings...

Southampton v Stoke – Most Bookings:

• Southampton have received the Most Cards/ Booking Points in 5 of their 6 Home games (83%), and in 10 out of 12 games overall (83%)
• Bets on Southampton to win the Most Cards/ Bookings have paid out in each of their last 7 league games
• Stoke have received the Most Cards/ Bookings in just 1 of their 6 Away games (17%)

Southampton are our top-rated team for Most Cards/ Booking Points bets this season, and they look the value in that market here at odds of 2/1+. Stoke’s low Away record for that bet makes them a good match-up, too...

Backing Southampton in this market to level stakes at odds of 2/1 has produced 18 pts profit for a 150% Return on Investment so far this season.

Southampton – 0 Card Handicap best price 11/5 (3.20) with Bet365. Or Most Booking Points – Southampton at 2/1 (3.00) with William Hill, Most Cards – Southampton at 2/1 with 888 Sport, Unibet.

Enjoy the weekend football. I’ll be back on Monday with your Review email, including an update on all the latest stats and trends...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Prem10
www.Prem10.co.uk