Picks & Analysis - going for Goals on the final day...   

Friday 11th May 2018

In your Across the Leagues email today:

• Weekend Picks & Analysis...
• Premier League final day...
• Going for Goals...

Welcome to your Weekend Picks & Analysis email.

Every week I research the stats & fixtures, across the leagues. With the aim of identifying games with top-rated stats match-ups, bet opportunities and the best prices available with the bookies.

One more chance for Wenger...

An early goal conceded and a Red Card put pay to our Arsenal -1 Match Handicap bet in midweek (Leicester 3 Arsenal 1). And while Man City won the Most Corners (4-3) in their 3-1 win over Brighton, the champions were a few short of the tally needed to beat the -5 Corner Handicap.

Sunday is the final day of the Premier League season and with it, Arsene Wenger’s final game in charge of the Gunners. He has one last chance to sign off with a win – with Arsenal still searching for the first points on the road since the turn of the year.

I’m focusing on the Premier League this weekend, where the final day stats point to Goals – see below.

The weekend also sees the start of the Playoffs in the Football League. Your members-only Across the Leagues website is up-to-date with all the latest stats to help you with your own bet selections...

• League Stats tables, Team Stats and Head-to-Head comparisons for every game are available for you to log-in and view on your members-only website
  
• We have unique betting stats spanning 30+ markets, including Goals, Corners, Cards & Booking Points categories, for over 100 teams

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Going for Goals on the final day...

Three Goals picks for us in the Premier League this Sunday (all kick offs 3pm)...

In each of the last two seasons the final day in the top-flight has seen 7 of the 10 fixtures pay out on Over 2.5 Goals.

This weekend the bookies have 5 of the 10 games priced around 1/2 (1.50) or shorter for Over 2.5 Goals. Two of the remaining games stand out, along with one pick for the higher Over 3.5 Goals line.

Burnley v Bournemouth

Burnley are guaranteed 7th place and have qualified for the Europa League next season. Bournemouth could finish in the Top 10 with a win.

Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 7 of Burnley’s last 10 games, and in 3 of their last 4 at Home. Bournemouth are ranked 3rd in our Premier League table for Over 2.5 Goals this season, and 5 of their last 6 Away games have seen 3+ goals scored...

Crystal Palace v West Brom

Both sides were in the relegation fight but it’s all decided now, with Palace staying up and West Brom going down.

Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 5 of Palace’s last 6 games, and the scores in their last 4 at Selhurst Park have been 5-0, 3-2, 1-2 and 2-3...

Huddersfield v Arsenal

Huddersfield have secured their Premier League safety, and this is Arsene Wenger’s final farewell.

Five years ago, Sir Alex Ferguson’s final game in charge of Man Utd was a crazy 5-5 draw at West Brom. The signs are there for a big score-line in Wenger’s final game, too...

Arsenal’s last 10 league games have gone Over 2.5 Goals, with 3 of their last 4 – and 4 of their last 6 – paying out on the higher Over 3.5 Goals line. The Gunners beat Huddersfield 5-0 in the reverse fixture...

I’ll be back next weekend with a look at the stats for the FA Cup Final.

P.S
And I’ll be back later this afternoon with my weekend Premier League score Predictions, and more on those final-day scoring stats, in your Across the Leagues EXTRA email.

Enjoy the football...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues