Across the Leagues Extra

Premier League Predictions - and 3 standout stats...

Friday 11th August 2017

In your Across the Leagues – EXTRA email today:

  • The Premier League is back...
  • 3 standout stats...
  • Weekend Predictions...

The Premier League is back...

The new 2017/18 kicks into gear with the return of the Premier League this weekend.

The topflight gets plenty of mainstream attention of course, but our Across the Leagues approach is to use the stats to look beyond the ‘obvious’...

Ignoring the bookies’ short price Home Win & Match Result favourites (as explained in your free report), and looking instead to the alternative markets...

Three teams with standout stats...

To help you get ready for the new campaign, here are some of the top trends and standout stats from the Premier League. All sourced from the 2016/17 League Stats, Team Stats and Totals pages in the members-only area of our Across the Leagues website:

High Goals at Stamford Bridge...

  • Over 2.5 Goals paid out in 17 out of 19 Chelsea Home games. That’s a whopping 89% strike-rate – and consistently available at greater odds than backing the champions for a Home Win
  • This weekend: Chelsea v Burnley. 2016/17 result in this fixture: Chelsea 3 Burnley 0

Low Goals at Old Trafford...

  • Man Utd were the top-ranked topflight team for Under 2.5 Goals – with 15 of their 19 Home games (79%) featuring 2 goals or less. That stat links up with other trends and markets. For example, Man Utd drew more Home games than anyone else (10 Home Draws). And no fewer than 7 of those 10 draws paid out on the 1-1 Correct Score. At average odds of 6/1, backing the 1-1 score in every league game at Old Trafford last season would have produced 30 pts profit to level 1 pt stakes, for a 158% ROI. Let’s see if the signing of Romelu Lukaku sees a rise in the amount of goals at Old Trafford this season – he was certainly a bit of a ‘homer’ for Everton last season, with 16 of his 25 Premier League goals coming at Goodison Park
  • This weekend: Man Utd v West Ham. 2016/17 result in this fixture: Man Utd 1 West Ham 1

Low Corners at Vicarage Road...

  • Under 10.5 Corners paid out in 79% of Watford Home games – making them the joint most reliable Home team in the division in that market (along with West Ham). A low number of corners could sound alarm bells for Watford this season: they finished 16th of 20 Premier League teams on our overall Total Corners Won chart last season – two of the four teams below Watford got relegated (Sunderland and Middlesbrough)
  • This weekend: Watford v Liverpool. 2016/17 result in this fixture: Watford 0 Liverpool 1 (Total Corners = 8)

Those three team examples are just a handful of the Premier League stats and trends on our website. And remember, our site holds this data for the Championship, League One, League Two, and now the Scottish Premiership too.

You can get access to all our unique betting stats on our Across the Leagues website, along with all my weekly analysis, by signing up with a Free Trial here.

Premier League Predictions...

As I announced earlier this week, our NEW 2017/18 Premier League Predictor game will be up and running soon. This season we’ve got a completely new game for you, with your chance to compete exclusively against other ATL Extra readers.

For the first time, we’ll be offering weekly cash prizes for the top-scoring Predictor player, as well as our overall end of season 1st place prize.

We’re planning to launch the game next weekend. I’ll email you when it’s time to enter your first set of match and score-line predictions.

To whet your appetite, here are my predictions for this week (playing only for fun here – our league and points scoring will start with the launch of our new Predictor game, coming very soon).

And as usual, in the interests of comparison, I’ve compiled the predictions from Mark Lawrenson on the BBC and Paul Merson at Sky Sports, too...

GAME
ME
MERSON
LAWRO
Arsenal v Leicester City
2-0
2-1
2-1
Watford v Liverpool
1-2
0-3
1-1
Chelsea v Burnley
3-0
3-1
2-0
Crystal Palace v Huddersfield
0-1
3-1
1-1
Everton v Stoke
3-1
2-0
2-0
Southampton v Swansea
1-1
1-1
2-1
West Brom v Bournemouth
0-1
2-1
1-2
Brighton v Man City
1-4
0-4
0-2
Newcastle v Tottenham
0-2
0-3
0-2
Man Utd v West Ham
1-1
2-0
2-0

I’ll be back next week with more stats and Predictor news for you, as we start to get a foothold in the new season formbook...

Enjoy the football...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues Extra

Facebook

We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this email. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Copyright © 2017 Oxfordshire Press.