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Weekend Picks & Analysis - Rovers and Rangers for Goals...  

Friday 16th February 2018

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Weekend Picks & Analysis...
  • Rovers and Rangers for Goals…
  • More Champions League action next week...
WEEKEND PICKS & ANALYSIS

Welcome to your Weekend Picks & Analysis email.

Every week I research the stats & fixtures, across the leagues. With the aim of identifying games with top-rated stats match-ups, bet opportunities and the best prices available with the bookies.

Goals, Goals, Goals in the Champions League…

The Champions League has been a reliable tournament for us in recent seasons and the stats delivered again in this week’s Round of 16, 1st Leg ties…

We had two out of three winning picks and a profitable week, thanks to Real Madrid 3 PSG 1 and Porto 0 Liverpool 5 giving us two payouts in the Over 3.5 Goals market – with the standout price being odds of 2/1 (3.00) in the Liverpool game.

Each of this week’s four Champions League games had 4+ goals; we’ll be on the lookout for more stats opportunities next week with four more 1st Leg ties coming up.

This weekend the cup football continues with the FA Cup 5th Round – there’s no Premier League but there are plenty of games in the Football League and in Scotland…

For my weekend picks I’m sticking with the Total Goals markets, with two matches catching my eye – see below.

And remember, as ever, your members-only Across the Leagues website is up-to-date with all the latest stats to help you with your own weekend selections:

  • League Stats tables, Team Stats and Head-to-Head comparisons for every game are available for you to log-in and view on your members-only website
  • We have unique betting stats spanning 30+ markets, including Goals, Corners, Cards & Booking Points categories, for over 100 teams.

Log-in on your smart-phone, tablet, laptop or PC at:

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Rovers and Rangers for Goals…

Some extraordinary ‘high goals’ stats led us a successfully dabble in the Over 3.5 Goals market midweek. For the weekend domestic action we return to the standard Over 2.5 Goals line…

AFC Wimbledon v Bristol Rovers

League One, Sat 3pm

  • Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 5 Bristol Rovers games in a row

We’ve landed value Over 2.5 Goals prices on games featuring both of these teams in recent weeks, and this game looks another good Goals opportunity for us…

Bristol Rovers are our top-ranked League One side for Over 2.5 Goals and they’re currently on a 5-game run for that bet – most recently a 3-2 win over Rochdale on Tuesday and a 2-1 win at Oxford last Saturday.

Bristol Rovers - Form

As we noted at the end of January, AFC Wimbledon have actually been in and around the top places on the Under 2.5 Goals chart this season, but in recent weeks the goals have been going in…

Four of AFC’s last 5 games including each of their last 3 have gone Over 2.5 Goals, with a 4-3 defeat at Plymouth on Tuesday night and a 1-3 loss at Home v Northampton last Saturday the two most recent.

There were 4 goals when Rovers and AFC Wimbledon met earlier this season and recent form makes this one a good value Over 2.5 Goals opportunity, with that option the slight outsider in the bookies’ Under/ Over market.

Over 2.5 Goals is a best price 11/10 (2.10) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 21/20 (2.05) William Hill, Unibet, 888 Sport, Evens (2.00) Bet365, Stan James, BetVictor.


Hamilton v Rangers

Scottish Premiership, Sun 2.15pm – Sky Sports

  • Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 6 of Hamilton’s last 7 games

The Over 2.5 Goals stats also standout for Sunday’s TV game in Scotland…

Hamilton v Rangers is 1st v 2nd on our Over 2.5 Goals table for the Scottish Premiership. And the Home v Away stats match-up is particularly strong with Hamilton 75% (9 out of 12 Home games) and Rangers 85% (11 out of 13 Away games).

Six of Hamilton’s last 7 league games have seen 3+ goals scored. Rangers have scored 2 goals in 4 of their last 6 Away league games, and hit 6 at League One side Ayr in the Scottish FA Cup last weekend.

Hamilton are 2nd-bottom of the Scottish Premiership but actually beat Rangers in their last meeting, winning 2-0 at Ibrox in November. In their previous three meetings in all comps in 2017, Rangers beat them 1-4, 4-0 and 6-0.

Third place Rangers are just 4/9 (1.44) to win on Sunday, but the stats make this a highly-rated match-up for Over 2.5 Goals and that option is available at a bigger price than the Away Win.

Over 2.5 Goals is a best price 21/25 (1.84) with Marathonbet, 4/5 (1.80) Stan James, 31/40 (1.78) BetVictor, 3/4 (1.75) and 8/11 (1.73) general.




Weekend Picks...

In summary, this weekend’s picks are:

  • AFC Wimbledon v Bristol Rovers – Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 (2.10) with Paddy Power

Latest odds here

  • Hamilton v Rangers – Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/25 (1.84) with Marathonbet

Latest odds here




I’ll be back on Monday with your Weekend Stat Review taking stock of the latest stats & trends – followed by our next Champions League Picks & Analysis on Tuesday.

Enjoy the football...

P.S

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Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues

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