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Midweek Picks & Analysis - Corners value at Huddersfield...

Tuesday 26th December 2017

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Midweek Picks & Analysis...
  • Corners value at Huddersfield…
  • Shakers to struggle again…
  • Goals at Pittodrie…
MIDWEEK PICKS & ANALYSIS

Welcome to your Weekend Picks & Analysis email.

Every week I research the stats & fixtures, across the leagues. With the aim of identifying games with top-rated stats match-ups, bet opportunities and the best prices available with the bookies.

The Christmas rush…

Merry Christmas and welcome to your Boxing Day Picks & Analysis email.

The busy run of festive fixtures began with a bit of a goal rush on Saturday, including Man City putting 4 past Bournemouth, Wigan scoring 7 (seven) as Oxford Utd – and Harry Kane scoring a hat-trick for Spurs at Burnley.

That Kane treble took out our Burnley +1.0 Asian Handicap selection, with the Tykes failing to deliver a return on that option for just the second time in 19 Premier League games this season.

Down in League Two however we were a goal short of the result we were looking for; Barnet remain top of the division for Both Teams to Score but didn’t add another one on Saturday, losing 0-2 v Cheltenham.

Boxing Day football...

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Corners value at Huddersfield…

Huddersfield v Stoke

Premier League, Tue 3pm

  • Backing opponents with -1 Corner Handicap has paid out in 7 Stoke games in a row

We’ve had a few ‘Most Corners’ wins on Huddersfield at Home this season, most recently earlier this month when they out-cornered Brighton 8-1 at the John Smith’s Stadium. This looks another good opportunity…

Huddersfield have won the Most Corners at Home in the Premier League against Brighton, Leicester, Southampton and Newcastle. In 3 of those 4 games they’ve done more than enough to cover the -1 Corner Handicap (winning 2+ corners more than opponents).

Today they face a Stoke side who are ranked bottom of our Premier League table for Most Corners bets, with just 4 payouts from 19 games this season.

Stoke are averaging 3.2 corners less than opponents per Away game.

Stoke Away Corners Record

Bets on opponents with a -1 Corner Handicap have paid out in each of Stoke’s last 7 games. That’s a striking stat and with that bet available at Evens+ (2.00+) today, this stands out as of the top-rated stats opportunities on the Boxing Day fixture list.

Huddersfield -1 Corner Handicap is a best price 11/10 (2.10) with BetVictor, 21/20 (2.05) William Hill, Evens (2.00) Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, Bet365.

Shakers to struggle again…

Bury v Rotherham

League One, Tues 3pm

  • Bury have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games

Bury are rock bottom of League One and have lost 7 of their last 10 games…

In their last 2 games, the Shakers have lost at 7th place Peterborough and 8th place Portsmouth. Today they face 9th place Rotherham.

Rotherham have won 2 of their last 3 games, including a 2-1 win v MK Dons on Saturday. The Millers’ Away form has hardly been eye-catching this season (W3 D2 L6) but they look a fair price here against a team who are 5 points adrift at the foot of the table.

A tale of two strikers could also prove significant here…

Bury’s top scorer Jermaine Beckford (8 goals) remains out with a knee injury and is expected to miss most of the rest of the season. While Rotherham’s top scorer Kieffer Moore – who is 2nd in the League One Top Scorer chart with 13 goals – returns from suspension for this one.

Rotherham to win is a best price 13/10 (2.30) with William Hill, Betfair Sportsbook, 5/4 (2.25) in general.

Goals at Pittodrie…

Aberdeen v Partick Thistle

Scottish Premiership, Wed 7.45pm

  • 6 of Partick’s 7 Away defeats have been by more than one goal

This is 2nd plays 2nd-bottom in the Scottish Premiership, with Aberdeen sandwiched between Celtic and Rangers at the top of the table.

If we take away meetings against Celtic and Rangers, The Dons have won 4 games in a row against non-Old Firm opposition – and have scored more goals at Home than any other team bar the big two.

Aberdeen have been in decent scoring form, winning 4-1 v Hibernian and 3-0 at St Johnstone in the last fortnight – and the Goals stats point us to the -1 Match Handicap market on Wednesday night.

The Home Win is just 4/11 (1.36) in general but we can get Evens+ (2.00+) by backing Aberdeen to win by more than one goal…

That has been a fruitful tactic when it comes to opposing struggling Partick this season, paying out in 6 out of 7 Away defeats.

Partick have lost 7 of their 10 Away games in total and are the only team in the division without an Away win this season.

Thistle have had a torrid time of it on the road – they are the lowest Away scorers (just 4 Goals For in 10 Away games) and have the worst defensive record (22 Goals Against). Their 3 Away games so far in December have ended in 2-0, 3-0 and 5-1 defeats.

The -1 Match Handicap looks the best way to get a good price on Aberdeen here.

Aberdeen -1 Match Handicap is a best price 6/5 (2.20) with Betfair Sportsbook, 23/20 (2.15) Ladbrokes, Coral, 11/10 (2.10) in general.



Midweek Picks...

In summary, this week’s picks are:

  • Huddersfield v Stoke – Huddersfield -1 Corner Handicap @ 11/10 (2.10) with BetVictor 

Latest odds here

  • Bury v Rotherham – Rotherham to win @ 13/10 (2.30) with William Hill

Latest odds here

  • Aberdeen v Partick Thistle – Aberdeen -1 Match Handicap @ 6/5 (2.20) with Betfair Sportsbook 

Latest odds here




I’ll be back on Friday with your Weekend Picks & Analysis email. You can view our full festive schedule here.

Enjoy the football...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues

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