Stats Review - and West Brom picks for tonight...
Monday 3rd December 2018
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Review – 11 North London derbies in a row…
- Picks & Analysis – West Brom v Brentford tonight…
- Premier League tomorrow…
Stats Review…
Some strong trends continued at the weekend…
It was two out of three for our picks. Arsenal won the Most Corners 8-5 v Tottenham. Spurs have now been out-cornered in each of their last 5 Premier League Away games. And in the last 11 North London derbies, the team playing at Home has won the Most Corners. However in the Merseyside derby, Liverpool got the Most Cards (3-2) at Home for the first time this season.
In Scotland, Hamilton continue to be the best Under 10.5 Corners team around. There were just 8 Total Corners in their 3-1 win at St Mirren. Under 10.5 Corners has now paid out in an eye-catching 14 out of 15 Hamilton games (93%).
Your members-only Across the Leagues website is freshly updated with all the latest stats.
After the weekend games, other top trends showing on our site today include:
- Premier League – Man City 3 Bournemouth 1 – Over 2.5 Goals has now paid out in 7 out of 8 Man City Home games (88%), and 6 out of 7 Bournemouth Away games (86%)
- Championship – Norwich 3 Rotherham 1 – Championship leaders Norwich came from behind to record their 7th win in 8 games
- Scottish Premiership – Livingston 2 Motherwell 0 (Total Corners = 8) – Livingston are giving Hamilton a run for their money for Under 10.5 Corners. That bet has now paid out in 7 out of 8 Livingston Home games (88%)
Those are just three markets and examples. Every week we keep track of the top performing teams across a range of stats – then look to cash-in when the next appropriate round of games comes along…
Picks & Analysis…
December is here. There’s a busy and exciting festive fixture list to look forward to. The fun starts with Premier League games on Tuesday & Wednesday.
Before that we have a Championship game live on TV this evening – with some strong stats on show…
West Brom v Brentford
Championship
8pm – Sky Sports
Match odds: West Brom 10/11 (1.91), Draw 14/5 (3.80), Brentford 3/1 (4.00)
West Brom have won 3 in a row, and their Home record is W6 D1 L2. A win tonight will take the Baggies up to 3rd in the table.
Brentford are having a tough time – they’ve lost 3 in a row, 6 of their last 7 and won just one of their last 12. The Bees are still searching for a first Away Win of the season (W0 D4 L5).
The Both Teams to Score stats lead us to a nice price on a high-scoring Home victory tonight. West Brom are No.1 in the division for Both Teams to Score, including 8 out of 9 games at the Hawthorns (89%). Brentford are up their too, with goals at both ends in 7 of their 9 Away games (78%), including 5 of their last 6 on the road.
West Brom’s last 5 wins have all paid out on the Win & Both Teams to Score. That bet has also provided a payout in 5 of their 6 Home Wins to date. Brentford’s last 3 defeats have all fitted in to that market, too: losing 2-3, 1-2 and 3-2. West Brom’s 3-game winning streak has seen scores of: 4-1, 1-2 and 1-2.
- West Brom to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 58/25 (3.32) with Marathonbet, 9/4 (3.25) Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betfred, Betfair Sportsbook, Betway
With no wins on their travels, Brentford have found themselves behind on the scoreboard several times. That links up with the next stat. They’ve won the Most Corners in 7 out of 9 Away games (78%), which is by far the best record of any team in the bottom half of the table. Overall, Brentford are 2nd in the Championship for Most Corners payouts, with 16 from 19 games in total (84%).
West Brom on the other hand have ‘relegation’ form when it comes to the Most Corners market. With just 5 payouts from 19 games so far, just 44% at Home – and just 3 payouts from their last 10 league games overall. The Away team are the Corners pick here.
- Most Corners – Brentford @ 13/10 (2.30) with BetVictor, 5/4 (2.25) William Hill, 888 Sport, Unibet, 6/5 (2.20) Bet365, Boylesports, Evens (2.00) Skybet
Today’s picks…
In summary, here are today’s picks at the best prices:
West Brom v Brentford:
- West Brom to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 58/25 (3.32) with Marathonbet
- Most Corners – Brentford @ 13/10 (2.30) with BetVictor
I’ll be back tomorrow with Picks & Analysis for Tuesday’s Premier League games.
Enjoy the football…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Across the Leagues |
