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Stats Picks - Porto v Roma tonight...

Wednesday 6th March 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Champions League...
  • Standout stats...
  • Featured Game: Porto v Roma…

Stats Picks – Champions League…

Three-time holders Real Madrid were knocked out of the Champions League last night. That 4-1 defeat to Ajax was a surprise score-line, but stayed true to form in terms of the Over 2.5 Goals stats.

Not so in Dortmund though, where a solitary Harry Kane goal secured a 1-0 win for Tottenham and confirmed their place in the quarter final draw (Aggregate: 4-0).

FEATURED GAME

Tonight, Man Utd travel to PSG with a 2-0 deficit to try and overturn. Never an easy task, and even harder this evening with United missing nine players through injury – and star man Paul Pogba is suspended.

The other tie is in Portugal and this one gets our stats attention today...

Porto v Roma

Champions League
8pm – BT Sport

Aggregate score: 1-2

Match odds: Porto 17/20 (1.85), Draw 14/5 (3.80), Roma 10/3 (4.33)

To Qualify: Porto 6/5 (2.20), Roma 4/6 (1.67)

Roma are 2-1 up from the 1st Leg but are under big pressure to get a result tonight after a 3-0 defeat at rivals Lazio in Serie A on Sunday.

Porto won all 3 Home games in the Group stage, and only a win will do tonight to give them a chance of going through.

The stats say Over 2.5 Goals. This was our pick in the 1st Leg and it’s a case of same again for this evening:

Six of Roma’s 7 Champions League games this season have gone Over 2.5 Goals, as have 6 of their last 7 league games in Italy.

Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in each of Porto’s last 5 Champions League games, and in 6 of their last 7 Home games in the competition.

The Portuguese side have managed just one Clean Sheet in Europe this season, and just 2 in their last 13 Champions League games going back to the last campaign.

Roma have kept just 2 Clean Sheets in their last 13 Away games in all comps – with no shut-outs in their last 10 on the road in European cup competition.

Over 2.5 Goals is a best price 4/6 (1.67) with Betfair Sportsbook, 888 Sport, Unibet and 8/13 (1.62) in general.

Stats Picks Summary:

In summary, today’s Stats Pick is:

I’ll be back on Friday with a full Weekend Stats Picks email for you, in our new format featuring Form Teams, Goals Match-Ups, Winning Streaks and a the pick of the TV games...

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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