Weekend Stats Picks - inc. Norwich v Swansea tonight...
Friday 8th March 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Form Team…
- Goals Match-Ups…
- Winning Streak…
- Featured Game: Liverpool v Burnley…
Both Champions League games went Over 2.5 Goals on Wednesday night…
Man Utd pulled off a surprise 3-1 win at PSG. And our Stats Pick ended Porto 2 Roma 1 (3-1 After Extra Time). That’s a 6th successive Over 2.5 Goals result for the Portuguese side, who go into the hat for the quarter final draw.
Weekend Stats Picks…
There’s a full programme of league fixtures this weekend, kicking off this evening.
As introduced last week, your new-look Weekend Stats Picks email is designed to draw as many standout stats & highly-rated bet opportunities as possible from the wealth of data on your members-only Across the Leagues website.
I know that many of you enjoy sourcing your own bet selections from the stats and Head-to-Head match-ups on the site. But if you don’t have the time or inclination to do that, then that’s where your weekly member email comes in…
Each week I’ll be using this email to deliver you a summary of the top stats from our site, in relation to the upcoming games. Presented in an array of easy-to-follow categories. We’ll be monitoring the performance of all the picks listed, and recording the results.
The aim is to provide you with a ‘stats sheet’ that highlights the strongest stats on our site, along with the best odds and suggested bet combinations, too.
FORM TEAM
Celtic have won 8 in a row in the Scottish Premiership. Their Home game v Aberdeen this weekend is their first at Celtic Park with Neil Lennon back at the helm, and their first league game of the month.
Man City have won 5 in a row. The Premier League leaders are at Home to Watford. Odds of 1/16 (1.17) make Man City the shortest price Match Result price of the weekend, across all the divisions that we cover.
One rung down the league ladder, Championship leaders Norwich are going for a 4th straight victory this evening (7.45pm, Sky Sports). The Canaries are looking to do the season double over 14th place Swansea, after a 4-1 Away Win in the reverse fixture…
- Norwich City have won 3 in a row, and 5 of their last 6. At Home, they’ve won each of their last 5 games v Bottom Half sides
Norwich to beat Swansea is a best price 7/10 (1.70) with Betway, Coral, BetVictor and Marathonbet.
GOALS MATCH-UPS
The Total Goals Under/ Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets have some of the most reliable trends of all the stats. These markets are widely available for all games in every division.
Standout match-ups this weekend:
- Arsenal v Man Utd – These two are 1st & 2nd respectively on our Premier League chart for Both Teams to Score. Paying out in 76% of Arsenal games and 72% of Man Utd games. Including 5 of the Gunners’ last 6 games, and each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs. Both Teams to Score – Yes is around 8/15 (1.53)
- Leicester v Fulham – Fulham have conceded 37 goals on the road, 10 more than any other Premier League side. Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 4 in a row for Leicester, and in 7 of Fulham’s last 9. Over 2.5 Goals is around 7/10 (1.70)
- Carlisle v Swindon – This is a strong Head-to-Head match-up in League Two. Both Teams to Score bets have paid out in 5 of Carlisle’s last 6 Home games and 5 of Swindon’s last 6 Away. Both Teams to Score – Yes is 4/5 (1.80) in general
With 2 out of 3 Singles needed to break even, the advice here is a Treble on those Goals picks. All 3 to win pays 18/5+ (4.60+) with Bet365, Sportingbet, Marathonbet, 888 Sport, Unibet, Betfred.
WINNING STREAK
Every week we’ll be monitoring the stats & trends and taking note of any particularly eye-catching winning streaks.
This week the run comes in League Two…
- Colchester have won the Most Corners in each of their last 9 Home games v teams below them in the table
On Saturday, 8th place Colchester host 12th place Newport County.
Colchester to win the Most Corners (or the Corners Match Bet) is 13/20 (1.65) with William Hill, 8/13 (1.62) with Bet365, Skybet.
FEATURED GAME
Every weekend we’ll be looking in more depth at a TV game. The live games give us the chance to bet across the widest possible range of stats markets, with Corners and Cards & Booking Points opportunities coming to the fore for televised matches…
Liverpool v Burnley
Premier League
Sunday, 12 noon – BT Sport
Match odds: Liverpool 2/11 (1.18), Draw 7/1 (8.00), Burnley 20/1 (21.00)
In terms of the title race, Liverpool could be 4 pts behind Man City going into Sunday’s game…
While the high-goals games have been around 50-50 this season (52% Over 2.5 Goals), Liverpool have remained consistent on the Most Corners and Corner Handicap stats…
In particular, the Reds have the highest Home record in the Premier League with Most Corners wins in 13 out of 14 games at Anfield (93%).
Burnley on the other hand have got the Most Corners in just 7 of 29 league games all season, with just 3 payouts from 15 attempts on the road (20%).
Liverpool have covered a -2 Corner Handicap – winning 3+ corners more than opponents – in 8 consecutive league games.
In the last two meetings v Burnley at Anfield, Liverpool have smashed the corner count 12-2 and 11-1.
The current season Head-to-Head comparison on our site shows Liverpool with an average Home margin of +4.1 corners per game more than opponents. And Burnley -4.3 on the road.
Liverpool -4 Corner Handicap is a best price 3/5 (1.60) with BetVictor, 10/17 (1.58) NetBet, 10Bet, 1/2 (1.50) William Hill, 888 Sport, Unibet. Corner Handicap markets also available with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Skybet.
Stats Picks Summary:
For all the latest stats and form for the Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premiership – see the League Stats, Head-to-Head and Top 10 Tables pages on our website.
In summary, the weekend picks listed in today’s email are:
FORM TEAM:
- Norwich to beat Swansea @ 7/10 with Betway
GOALS MATCH-UPS:
Arsenal v Man Utd – Both Teams to Score – Yes
Leicester v Fulham – Over 2.5 Goals
Carlisle v Swindon – Both Teams to Score – Yes
WINNING STREAK:
- Colchester v Newport County: Most Corners – Colchester @ 13/20 with William Hill
FEATURED GAME:
- Liverpool v Burnley: Liverpool -4 Corner Handicap @ 3/5 with BetVictor
I’ll be back on Monday with a stats update. The we have a busy week to look forward to with a full midweek schedule in the Football League and Champions League…
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
