Stats Picks - Ajax v Tottenham tonight...
Wednesday 8th May 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Champions League…
- Semi Final, 2nd Leg...
- Ajax v Tottenham...
Midweek Stats Picks…
After last night’s epic result at Anfield, Tottenham fans will be heading to Holland tonight believing that anything is possible...
Liverpool overturned a 3-0 1st Leg deficit to beat Barcelona 4-3 on aggregate, winning 4-0 on the night.
Tottenham go to Ajax this evening, 1-0 down with the Dutch side having an Away Goal...
FEATURED GAME
Ajax v Tottenham
Aggregate score: 1-0
Champions League, 8pm – BT Sport
Semi Final, 2nd Leg
Match odds: Ajax 11/8 (2.38), Draw 13/5 (3.60), Tottenham 2/1 (3.00)
To Qualify: Ajax 1/3 (1.33), Tottenham 5/2 (3.50)
The Cards & Booking Points stats point to an ‘Over’ bet this evening...
With 25 Yellow Cards from their 11 games, Ajax are the most booked team in the Champions League this season. Tottenham have 21 Yellows. And both teams have had one Red Card each.
As well as the specific team stats, referring to overall trends for this kind of football match can prove useful, too. A Semi Final 2nd Leg means teams are playing for a place in the final – and it could be a case of win at all costs. Recent Champions League history says to expect 4+ Cards tonight. Since 2014/15:
- 8 of the last 9 Champions League Semi Final 2nd Legs have had 4+ Yellow Cards (40+ Booking Points)
That includes 5 Yellows (50 pts) between Liverpool & Barcelona last night.
All 5 Ajax Home games in the Champions League this season have had 4+ Cards, with Over 4.5 Cards bets paying out in 4 out of 5.
Tottenham had an uncharacteristically bad-disciplined day at Bournemouth in the Premier League at the weekend – with 5 Yellow Cards and 2 straight Reds. In their last European Away game, Spurs received 4 Yellows in the 2nd Leg at Man City.
The final piece of the jigsaw here is the Referee. Felix Brych (Germany) showed 8 Yellows in his most recent game, in the German Bundesliga last week. Brych has shown 4+ Yellows in 3 of his 4 Champions League games this season – and across those 4 games he’s produced 2 Red Cards.
Over 4.5 Cards is 4/5 (1.80) with Bet365, 3/4 (1.75) 888 Sport, Unibet, 8/11 (1.73) Betway, 2/3 (1.66) NetBet, 10Bet.
Also available – Booking Points markets with William Hill, Skybet, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook.
Cards betting:
Yellow Card = 1 Card
Red Card = 2 Cards
Max. for one player in a game = 3 Cards (eg. 2 Yellows resulting in a Red)
Booking Points betting:
Yellow Card = 10 pts
Red Card = 25 pts
Max. for one player in a game = 35 pts (eg. 2 Yellows resulting in a Red)
Stats Picks Summary:
Today’s Stats Pick is:
FEATURED GAME:
Ajax v Tottenham
- Over 4.5 Cards @ 4/5 (1.80) with Bet365
I’ll be back on Thursday with Stats Picks for the start of the Football League Playoffs, and for the weekend’s final round of Premier League games.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
