Across the Leagues Extra

An opening day warning for the Premier League...

Friday 10th August 2018

In your Across the Leagues – EXTRA email today:

  • Premier League – opening day Home Win warning...
  • Play our free Premier League Predictor game today...
  • Man Utd v Leicester – don’t miss the 8pm deadline...

The 2018/19 season is up and running with the first round of English Football League and Scottish games played last weekend...

This weekend it’s the turn of the Premier League, with the action getting underway tonight (Man Utd v Leicester – Sky Sports).

Ahead of the big kick off, I’ve been going through the stats. And I’ve found something to watch out for this weekend...

Premier League – opening day Home Win warning...

If you claimed your free copy of my recent Premier League report then you’ll know I’m not a fan of Home Wins – for the pretty good reason that over the course of a season, they don’t make money (view the free report here).

The case against Home Wins is backed up by recent ‘opening day’ results in the Premier League.

Take a look at the numbers...

Over the last four seasons, the 10 games played in the first round of Premier League fixtures have produced:

Home Wins = 4
Draws = 2
Away Wins = 4

Home Wins = 3
Draws = 3
Away Wins = 4

Home Wins = 2 
Draws = 3
Away Wins = 5

Home Wins = 2 
Draws = 2
Away Wins = 6

That’s just 11 Home Wins from 40 opening weekend games over the last four years (27.5%). There were 10 Draws, and 19 Away Wins.

Looking back at the opening weekend of last season the standout ‘shocks’ where newly promoted Huddersfield winning 3-0 away at Crystal Palace and Burnley beating defending champions Chelsea 3-2 at Stamford Bridge.

That should serve as a warning for this week’s set of Premier League fixtures.

Play our free Premier League Predictor game today...

Our Premier League Predictor game starts again tonight...

  • If you’re already registered to play, log-in with your email address and password here

It’s free and easy to play. Pit your wits against other Across the Leagues EXTRA readers by entering our Premier League Predictor league…

Enter your predictions before every round of Premier League games for your chance to win our weekly cash prize.

There’s also an end of season grand prize up for grabs for the overall top scoring player.

We keep score on our Leaderboard every week – and publish the latest winners in our dedicated weekly Predictor emails.

Our mobile-friendly version of the game is also now live. So you can play in your hand, on the go...

Log-in and play for free by entering your predictions now at:

  • When you’re done, hit SUBMIT and then press FINISH to lock-in your predictions for the week

Don’t miss the big kick off tonight …

The opening round of matches start tonight with Man Utd v Leicester...

Don’t miss the 8pm deadline for this week’s Premier League Predictor game:

Enter your predictions here >>

Each week I also share my predictions here in your Friday email, along with those of Paul Merson on Sky Sports and Mark Lawrenson on the BBC. Here are this week’s:

Man Utd v Leicester 2-1 2-0 1-0
Newcastle v Tottenham 1-1 0-0 1-1
Bournemouth v Cardiff 3-2 2-0 1-1
Fulham v Crystal Palace 1-1 1-1 2-1
Huddersfield v Chelsea 0-2 0-2 0-2
Watford v Brighton 1-0 1-1 1-0
Wolves v Everton 1-2 1-1 2-1
Liverpool v West Ham 3-1 2-0 2-0
Southampton v Burnley 2-1 2-1 2-1
Arsenal v Man City 2-2 1-3 0-2

I’ll be back next week with more stats & predictions for you.

Enjoy the football...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues Extra


We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this email. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Gambling is high risk and Oxfordshire Press Ltd and its writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred.

Never bet with money you cannot afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly, for more information and advice visit the gambleaware website at:

Copyright © 2018 Oxfordshire Press Ltd.