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Picks & Analysis - More goals expected at Villa...

Friday 15th February 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Weekend Picks & Analysis…
  • Aston Villa v West Brom…
  • Ipswich v Stoke…

Stats Picks for the weekend…

Our picks were two-out-of-three again on Wednesday night. Tottenham beat Dortmund 3-0 but didn’t concede for Both Teams to Score. Preston 3 Norwich 1 paid out in that market though. And 10 corners exactly at Elland Road landed Under 10.5 Corners (Leeds 2 Swansea 1).

It’s the FA Cup 5th Round this weekend so no Premier League, but there’s a good selection of Football League fixtures. All the latest Team & League Stats and Head-2-Head comparisons are on our website. Log-in to view the stats; with over 30 stats & betting categories covered to assist you with your own bet selections.

Here’s our take on the top match-ups on the stats this weekend. Our last eight Championship picks have been successful. Two games catch the eye in that division…

Aston Villa v West Brom

Championship
Saturday, 3pm

Match odds: Villa 6/4 (2.50), Draw 13/5 (3.60), West Brom 7/4 (2.75)

Those Match Result prices suggest this will be a close one. It was a similar situation last weekend when Villa took on Sheffield United – that game ended in a 3-3 draw, for the 8th consecutive Over 2.5 Goals payout at Villa Park.

Villa are the No.1 team in the Championship for this bet, including a 75% Home strike-rate consisting of 12 payouts from 16 games.

It was 2-2 the last time Villa played West Brom, in December. The Baggies are ranked joint-3rd for Over 2.5 Goals and top for Both Teams to Score.

West Brom drew 2-2 with Nottingham Forest on Tuesday night and the stats say to expect another high-scoring game in the Midlands this weekend.

  • Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 (1.67) with Marathonbet, 13/20 (1.65) BetVictor, 8/13 (1.62) in general

Ipswich v Stoke

Championship
Saturday, 3pm

Match odds: Ipswich 16/5 (4.20), Draw 23/10 (3.30), Stoke 21/20 (2.05)

The Match Result market is pointing to another defeat for bottom club Ipswich. The stats say Under 2.5 Goals

This is 4th v 5th on our Championship Under 2.5 Goals table, with Ipswich’s 75% strike-rate the second-strongest Home trend in the division.

Under 2.5 Goals has paid out in 5 of Ipswich’s last 6 games at Portman Road.

Stoke are a good match-up on the stats here, with 2 or less goals in each of their last 4 games, and in 5 of their last 6 Away.

  • Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 (1.67) with Marathonbet, 8/13 (1.62) in general

Weekend Stats Picks…

In summary, here are this weekend’s picks at the best prices:

Aston Villa v West Brom:

Ipswich v Stoke:

We’ll be back on Tuesday with the standout stats and pick of the prices for the next round of Champions League games. Including Liverpool v Bayern Munich and Lyon v Barcelona.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues

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