Across the Leagues Extra

Your best bet on England tonight...

Monday 15th October 2018

In your Across the Leagues EXTRA email today:

  • Standout stats…
  • UEFA Nations League – Spain v England…
  • Corner markets the place to be…

England are 5/1 to win in Spain tonight. But the stats say 4/1 in the Corners market is much better value…

Spain v England

UEFA Nations League
Tonight, 7.45pm – Sky Sports

Match odds: Spain 8/13 (1.62), Draw 3/1 (4.00), England 5/1 (6.00)

England are on a run of 4 competitive games without a win. The history books tell us that they’ve won just one of their last 7 against the Spanish.

Spain have been sensational since the World Cup, with new manager Luis Enrique bringing a lease of life that has produced 3 straight wins – 2-1 over England at Wembley, 6-0 v Croatia and then 4-1 in Wales last Thursday.

For some time now, our key stat involving England has been their Most Corners record. This trend gave 5 out of 7 winners at the World Cup. The formbook says it’s an area that England backers should continue to follow…

England have won the Most Corners in 29 of their last 33 games. That includes a 4-2 corners win in that lifeless 0-0 in Croatia on Friday night. And corners wins in their last 2 meetings with Spain.

The Spanish are capable of dominating all areas against any opponent, but their stylish game doesn’t always generate lots of corners. For example, Spain only just edged the Most Corners against Wales last week (4-3), despite having 70% of Possession.

The stats make it clear. Backing England in the Corners markets is a much better tactic than backing England to win the game…

  • England +3 Corner Handicap gives you a rare opportunity to back Gareth Southgate’s side with a corners head-start. That option is around 5/6 (1.83) in general, and 21/20 (2.05) with William Hill

I’ll be back on Friday with Stats for the Weekend, and the latest round of Premier League predictions.

Enjoy the football...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues Extra


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