Picks & Analysis - including West Ham v Fulham tonight...
Friday 22nd February 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Picks & Analysis…
- West Ham v Fulham…
- Cardiff v Watford…
- Plymouth v Rochdale…
The weekend starts tonight…
Hello and welcome to your Across the Leagues weekend email. It’s good to be here. Next week I’ll be outlining a few of my plans for your members-only website and weekly email service. Today though there are games to look at right away, with the weekend fixtures kicking off this evening in the Premier League, Football League and the Scottish Premiership.
Your Across the Leagues website is up-to-date with all the latest stats to assist you with your bet selections.
Here’s my take on the top match-ups on the stats. Tonight’s two Premier League games get top billing…
West Ham v Fulham
Premier League
Friday, 7.45pm – Sky Sports
Match odds: West Ham 10/11 (1.91), Draw 14/5 (3.80), Fulham 16/5 (4.20)
The relegation fight is getting ugly for Fulham. They’ve got the Most Bookings in each of their last 5 Away games and are now No.1 in our Premier League standings for Most Booking Points (or Most Cards) bets.
West Ham had strong stats for this category earlier in the season. But they’ve been keeping things ‘clean’ for a few months now. The Hammers have received the Most Cards/ Bookings in just 3 of their last 16 league games – and in just 2 of their last 10 at Home.
In those last 10 games at the London Stadium, West Ham have got either No Cards (0 pts) or one Yellow Card (10 pts) on no fewer than 8 occasions.
Fulham got the Most Cards & Booking Points in the reverse fixture at Craven Cottage (2 Cards to 1, 20 Booking Pts to 10). The Away team are the stats pick to land that bet again tonight.
- Most Booking Points – Fulham @ 10/11 (1.91) with Skybet, 5/6 (1.83) Boylesports, 4/5 (1.80) William Hill
Also available: Fulham -0.5 HC (Handicap) Total Bookings @ 20/21 (1.95) with NetBet, 10Bet. Fulham 0 Card Handicap @ 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365. Most Cards – Fulham @ 17/20 (1.85) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/6 (1.67) Betway.
Booking Points bets explained (eg. Skybet, William Hill, Boylesports):
Yellow Card = 10 pts
Red Card = 25 pts
Max. for one player in a game = 35 pts (eg. 2 Yellows resulting in a Red)
Cards bets explained (eg. Bet365, NetBet, 888 Sport, Betway):
Yellow Card = 1 Card
Red Card = 2 Cards
Max. for one player in a game = 3 Cards (eg. 2 Yellows resulting in a Red)
Cardiff v Watford
Premier League
Friday, 7.45pm
Match odds: Cardiff 21/10 (3.10), Draw 12/5 (3.40), Watford 29/20 (2.45)
Cardiff are top of our Premier League table for Over 10.5 Corners. Five of their last 6 Home games have had 11+ Total Corners.
Watford have the highest Away record in the division for Over 10.5 Corners. With a 77% strike-rate consisting of 10 payouts from 13 away-days.
That combination makes this game a standout stats match-up for an ‘Over’ bet in the Total Corners market. This game isn’t live on TV but being a Premier League match there are still plenty of stats options available with the bookies…
- Over 10 Corners @ 20/23 (1.87) with BetVictor, NetBet, 10Bet, 5/6 (1.83) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 4/5 (1.80) Bet365, 888 Sport, Unibet. Over 10.5 Corners @ 17/20 (1.85) with Betway, 5/6 (1.83) Boylesports, 4/5 (1.80) Sportingbet
Plymouth v Rochdale
League One
Saturday, 3pm
Match odds: Plymouth 13/10 (2.30), Draw 13/5 (3.60), Rochdale 11/5 (3.20)
Over 2.5 Goals is the standout stat here…
The Head-2-Head comparison on our site shows this bet has paid out in 4 of Plymouth’s last 5 Home games and in each of Rochdale’s last 5 Away.
Rochdale are in 1st place in League One for Over 2.5 Goals results, including an unrivalled 81% Away record with 13 out of 16 road games producing 3+ Total Goals.
The Dale are one of the top team in the country for this bet right now, with 10 payouts from their last 12 league games overall. There were 3 goals in the reverse fixture v Plymouth in December, too.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11 (1.73) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Skybet, Betfred, 888 Sport, Unibet, Betvictor, Betway
Weekend Stats Picks…
In summary, here are this weekend’s picks at the best prices:
West Ham v Fulham:
- Most Booking Points – Fulham @ 10/11 (1.91) with Skybet
Cardiff v Watford:
- Over 10 Corners @ 20/23 (1.87) with BetVictor
Plymouth v Rochdale:
I’ll be back on Tuesday with an update on the latest stats, and a first look at next week’s games. There’s a full midweek programme in the Premier League which kicks off with four matches on Tuesday night.
- Note: To make sure your Across the Leagues emails don’t accidentally end up in your Spam or Junk folder, please add our new sending address to your email address book or ‘safe senders’ list. Your Across the Leagues emails will now come to you from this address: mail@acrosstheleagues.oxonpress.com
P.S
As announced in yesterday’s email, a reminder that Oliver’s brand new football service launches this weekend…
To be the first to get all the details – if you haven’t done so already – simply click here to register your interest. That will put you on the free Priority Waiting List and you’ll get an invitation email from Oliver on Saturday afternoon.
Enjoy the football…
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
