Scottish stats - and don't expect another 9-0 tonight...
Wednesday 23rd January 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Scottish Premiership returns…
- Standout stats…
- Don’t expect another 9-0 Correct Score…
Scottish stats…
The Scottish Premiership returns from its winter break this evening, with all 12 sides in action…
The League Stats and Head-2-Head tool on our website flag up a few strong trends in the Corners categories.
As we noted before Christmas, the three Scottish Premiership clubs with synthetic pitches all have eye-catching ‘low corners’ records at Home…
Hamilton are 100% at Home for Under 10.5 Corners bets, with all 10 games having had 10 or less corner kicks. Kilmarnock have a 90% Home record, and Livingston 82%.
Top match-ups tonight…
Hamilton play Aberdeen tonight and on the Head-2-Head Last 5 Games form that’s a good stats match-up, with Under 10.5 Corners also paying out in 4 of Aberdeen’s last 5 Away games (and 71% overall Home & Away for the season).
The betting options are limited today though, with only a small trickle of markets at our disposal at the time of writing. Skybet are 4/7 (1.57) for another Under 11 Corners (same market as Under 10.5) result at Hamilton, with 888 Sport around 2/5 (1.40).
Celtic v St Mirren also has some standout stats on the Corners, this time in the Most Corners department…
Celtic have the highest Most Corners strike-rate in the division (84%). And St Mirren match up well as they are the bottom team for that bet, giving just 2 payouts from 20 league games all season – and none out of 10 on the road (0%).
The markets are tough for this game, too. Celtic are just 1/10 (1.10) to win the game, and as short as 1/20 (1.05) for the Most Corners.
You can get closer to Evens (2.00) by venturing into the Corner Handicap options, but you’d have to take a large -5 Corner Handicap, and that’s something the Bhoys have covered in less than half of games at Celtic Park (44%).
The verdict…
Those two games are good examples of the stats being noteworthy and matching up great on paper, but the markets and prices not being the best fit for a recommended Stats Pick.
Tonight’s fixtures are the first games of the year in the Scottish Premiership. We’ll have plenty more opportunities to target dominant sides like Celtic, and those three teams with plastic pitches & low corners stats.
The action continues this weekend, in fact. Along with a chunk of games in the Football League featuring teams that are out of the FA Cup.
Plus next Tuesday & Wednesday there’s a full round of Premier League games for us.
I’ll be back this Friday with your weekend email…
P.S
Don’t expect another 9-0 tonight…
It’s the 2nd Leg of Burton Albion v Man City in the EFL Cup tonight – with Man City 9-0 (nine-nil) up from the 1st Leg…
The bookies make City 1/7 (1.14) to win. And around Evens (2.00) to win by 3 or more goals (-2 Match Handicap), which would make it the biggest aggregate score ever recorded in the competition.
The team news says Man City will rest most of the big names and play a lot of youngsters. BetVictor have taken that on board by having a repeat of the 9-0 Correct Score out at 300/1. Other firms have it as ‘short’ as 80/1.
At the other end of the pitch…
Burton manager Nigel Clough says it will be a “wonderful achievement” if his team can score a goal. The bookies make that option a lot less far-fetched than another 9-0. Burton are 4/5 (1.80) To Score, and Both Teams to Score isn’t much different at 17/20 (1.85).
If you’re staying in from the cold this evening, that cup game is on Sky Sports at 7.45pm. In the Scottish Premiership, Kilmarnock v Rangers kicks off on BT Sport at the same time.
I’ll see you on Friday. Enjoy the football…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Across the Leagues |
