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Weekend Stats Picks - Championship Playoff Final...

Friday 24th May 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Featured Game...
  • Championship Playoff Final...
  • Aston Villa v Derby County...

Weekend Stats Picks…

This weekend it’s the Football League Playoff Finals at Wembley...

The action starts with Newport County v Tranmere Rovers in League Two on Saturday then continues with Charlton Athletic v Sunderland in League One on Sunday.

The biggest game is left until last, with a place in the Premier League the prize for Aston Villa or Derby County on Bank Holiday Monday.

All three games are 3pm kick-offs, and live on Sky Sports.

The stats lead us to the Championship Final...

FEATURED GAME

Aston Villa v Derby County

Championship, Monday 3pm – Sky Sports

Playoff – Final

Match odds: Villa 5/4 (2.25), Draw 23/10 (3.30), Derby 5/2 (3.50)

To Be Promoted: Villa 8/13 (1.62), Derby 13/10 (2.30)

Villa did the double over Derby this season, winning 4-0 at Home & 3-0 Away. However, recent Championship Playoff Final history says to expect a low-scoring game. The last 6 Finals have all gone Under 2.5 Goals – and 7 of the last 10.

The Most Corners stats standout for Monday’s game. Villa have strong corner-winning form coming into the Final:

  • Villa won the Most Corners in both games v Derby this season, 8-1 at Home & 5-2 Away
  • Villa’s Corners For totals in games played since the start of April have been: 10, 10, 9, 3, 12, 16, 10, 3

In comparison, Derby’s Corners For totals in the same period have been: 3, 1, 5, 8, 2, 8, 4, 10, 3, 3.

On that recent form, Villa are averaging 9 Corners For per game, twice the figure of Derby’s 4.7 figure.

The overall season form has these sides around 50-50 for Most Corners, and the bookies are going with that, with not much between the two in this market. However, the recent stats point firmly to Villa...

Most Corners – Aston Villa is 22/25 (1.88) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/5 (1.80) Bet365, Skybet, 8/11+ (1.73+) in general. Some bookies call this the ‘Corners Match Bet.’

Stats Picks Summary:

Today’s Stats Pick is:

FEATURED GAME:

Aston Villa v Derby County

  • Most Corners – Aston Villa @ 22/25 (1.88) with 888 Sport 

I’ll be next week with a Stats Update, and a first look at the Champions League Final.

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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