Across the Leagues Extra

Home Wins hard to find…

Monday 13th August 2018

In your Across the Leagues – EXTRA email today:

  • Home Wins hard to find…
  • Standout Stats present winning alternatives…
  • Coming up this weekend…

Home Wins hard to find…

The new Premier League season kicked off at the weekend…

On Friday, I offered a warning against backing Home Wins. The opening weekend in the top flight saw just four home victories from the 10 fixtures played. And three of those four were odds-on favourites.

Those home winners and prices were Man Utd at 11/20 (1.55), Bournemouth at 17/20 (1.85), Watford at 6/4 (2.50) and Liverpool at 1/4 (1.25). Backing all 10 Home Wins at level stakes would have resulted in an overall loss, for a -28.5% ROI.

This is nothing new. Over the last five Premier League seasons, there have now been just 15 Home Wins from 50 opening weekend fixtures. That’s a strike-rate of just 30%.

The ‘Home Win’ on the Pools coupon was a staple phrase to me as a youngster. Back in the day, my grandad would share his coupon and the accompanying Spot the Ball competition with me. A man would knock on the door to collect the forms. I think it’s all online these days…

Anyway, back to the present day. The Premier League isn’t the only place where you need to avoid falling in the Home Win trap. Over the weekend, there were:

Just five Home Wins from 12 games in the Championship… only three Home Wins from 12 games in League One… and 6 Home Wins out of 12 in League Two.

All told, that’s 46 games played across the Premier League & Football League, with just 18 payouts for Home Win backers.

Standout Stats present winning alternatives…

Throughout the season, every Friday in your free Across the Leagues EXTRA email, I’ll be showing you profitable alternatives to Home Win and Match Result bets.

I’ll be giving you Standout Stats that offer routes to profit beyond the bookies’ standard Match Result ‘Win, Lose or Draw’ market…

Areas like Goals, Corners and Cards all offer lucrative and reliable trends – no matter which team wins the game. Find out more about this in my latest free report.

Not many people know about these kind of stats bets. But – using the unique betting stats from over on my Across the Leagues members-only service – I’ll be sharing examples with you of how to make money from the stats markets, every week.

There’s a full set of Premier League & Football League fixtures this coming weekend.

See you on Friday…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues Extra

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