Across the Leagues Logo

Stats Picks - Champions League tonight…

Tuesday 5th March 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Goals Match-Ups…
  • Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham…
  • Real Madrid v Ajax…

Stats Picks…

This time last season, 6 of the 8 Champions League last 16, 2nd Leg games went Over 2.5 Goals.

Both of this evening’s games look well-poised for goals, with the stats & form pointing to plenty of goalmouth action too…

Champions League tonight…

With Ajax losing the 1st Leg v Real Madrid, 1-2, they have work to do in Spain this evening. However, the Dutch side caused Real plenty of problems in that game. Including 7 Shots on Target (which is more than Barcelona had when winning at Real at the weekend), and a goal ruled out by VAR. Madrid have 2 Away goals, so Ajax have to go for it here.

Borussia Dortmund lost 3-0 to Tottenham at Wembley, so again the German outfit have no other option than to go in search of goals tonight. These two clubs have met 5 times in the competition since 2015/16, and all 5 games have gone Over 2.5 Goals…

GOALS MATCH-UPS

Standout match-ups tonight:

  • Real Madrid v Ajax – Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 8 of Real’s last 10 games in all comps, and in 5 of their 7 Champions League games. Last season there were 3+ goals in 12 of Real’s 13 Champions League games. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 9 of Ajax’s last 10 games in all comps. Over 2.5 Goals is 2/5 (1.40) in general
  • Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham – Each of Dortmund’s last 6 Home games have gone Over 2.5 Goals, with Dortmund scoring 3, 3, 3 and 5 times in the last 4. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 5 of Tottenham’s last 7 Away games, and in 5 of their 7 Champions League outings this season. Over 2.5 Goals is 4/7 (1.57) in general

The stats say goals tonight. My recommended bet is a Double on those two Over 2.5 Goals selections, which pays 6/5 (2.20) in general including at Bet365, Betway and Betfair Sportsbook.

Stats Picks Summary:

In summary, today’s Stats Pick is:

GOALS MATCH-UPS:

Real Madrid v Ajax – Over 2.5 Goals
Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham – Over 2.5 Goals

  • Double @ 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365, Betway, Betfair Sportsbook and in general

I’ll be back tomorrow with the standout stats for the Wednesday night games: PSG v Man Utd and Porto v Roma…

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this email. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Gambling is high risk and Oxfordshire Press Ltd and its writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred.

Never bet with money you cannot afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly, for more information and advice visit the gambleaware website at: www.begambleaware.org.

Copyright © Oxfordshire Press Ltd, 2019.