Stats Picks - Champions League tonight…
Tuesday 5th March 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Goals Match-Ups…
- Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham…
- Real Madrid v Ajax…
Stats Picks…
This time last season, 6 of the 8 Champions League last 16, 2nd Leg games went Over 2.5 Goals.
Both of this evening’s games look well-poised for goals, with the stats & form pointing to plenty of goalmouth action too…
Champions League tonight…
With Ajax losing the 1st Leg v Real Madrid, 1-2, they have work to do in Spain this evening. However, the Dutch side caused Real plenty of problems in that game. Including 7 Shots on Target (which is more than Barcelona had when winning at Real at the weekend), and a goal ruled out by VAR. Madrid have 2 Away goals, so Ajax have to go for it here.
Borussia Dortmund lost 3-0 to Tottenham at Wembley, so again the German outfit have no other option than to go in search of goals tonight. These two clubs have met 5 times in the competition since 2015/16, and all 5 games have gone Over 2.5 Goals…
GOALS MATCH-UPS
Standout match-ups tonight:
- Real Madrid v Ajax – Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 8 of Real’s last 10 games in all comps, and in 5 of their 7 Champions League games. Last season there were 3+ goals in 12 of Real’s 13 Champions League games. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 9 of Ajax’s last 10 games in all comps. Over 2.5 Goals is 2/5 (1.40) in general
- Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham – Each of Dortmund’s last 6 Home games have gone Over 2.5 Goals, with Dortmund scoring 3, 3, 3 and 5 times in the last 4. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 5 of Tottenham’s last 7 Away games, and in 5 of their 7 Champions League outings this season. Over 2.5 Goals is 4/7 (1.57) in general
The stats say goals tonight. My recommended bet is a Double on those two Over 2.5 Goals selections, which pays 6/5 (2.20) in general including at Bet365, Betway and Betfair Sportsbook.
Stats Picks Summary:
In summary, today’s Stats Pick is:
GOALS MATCH-UPS:
Real Madrid v Ajax – Over 2.5 Goals
Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham – Over 2.5 Goals
- Double @ 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365, Betway, Betfair Sportsbook and in general
I’ll be back tomorrow with the standout stats for the Wednesday night games: PSG v Man Utd and Porto v Roma…
Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |