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Weekend Stats Picks - low Goals for Easter...

Friday 19th April 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Form Teams…
  • Goals Match-Ups…
  • Winning Streak…
  • Featured Game…

Weekend Stats Picks…

The Easter Bank Holiday weekend is a busy one. There’s a full round of Football League games both today (Good Friday) and on Easter Monday.

In-between, it’s business as usual in the Premier League & Scottish Premiership with one round of weekend fixtures.

Lots of matches for us to look at, then – and the stats are pointing to a fair few ‘low goals’ encounters…

Your Stats Picks email is designed to draw as many standout stats & highly-rated bet opportunities as possible from the wealth of data on your members-only Across the Leagues website.

Here are this weekend’s top stats and picks:

FORM TEAM

Two promotion-chasing teams in the Championship make the cut for our Form Team picks today:

  • Leeds are 2nd and have won 3 of their last 4 in the Championship – and 6 in a row at Elland Road v teams outside the Top 3

Visitors Wigan are 21st in the table, have lost 6 of their last 8 Away and are 19 games without a win on the road.

  • Aston Villa are on a run of 8 consecutive victories

Villa travel to Bolton who are second-bottom of the Championship and have lost their last 3 games – and 5 of their last 6.

Leeds are 4/11 (1.36) to beat Wigan, and Villa are the same price to win at Bolton. The advice here is to back them both.

The Double pays 17/20 (1.85) with Bet365 and in general.

GOALS MATCH-UPS

Lots of strong match-ups in the Goals stats this weekend…

I’ve split the selections into two recommended bets in the Under/ Over markets. These games all take place this afternoon (Friday):

Middlesbrough v Stoke – Middlesbrough are No.1 in the Championship for Under 2.5 Goals (81% Home record). Stoke are ranked 3rd and 12 of their last 14 games have seen 2 or less Total Goals. UNDER 2.5 Goals is 4/7 (1.57)

Preston v Ipswich – This match-up is 100% v 80% on the Last 5 Games Home v Away form on our site. Eight of Preston’s last 9 Home games have gone Under 2.5 Goals. Ipswich are ranked 2nd in Championship for this bet, paying out in 9 of their last 11 games. UNDER 2.5 Goals is 10/11 (1.91)

Gillingham v Plymouth – Under 2.5 Goals has paid out in the last 5 Gillingham Home games, and in 6 of the last 7 Plymouth Away games in League One. UNDER 2.5 Goals is 10/11 (1.91)

  • Treble @ 9/2+ (5.50+) with Bet365 and in general

Rochdale v Wycombe – This is 1st plays joint-3rd in our League One standings for Over 2.5 Goals. Paying out in 4 of the last 5 Rochdale Home games and 6 of the last 7 Wycombe Away games. OVER 2.5 Goals is 19/20 (1.95)

Scunthorpe v Blackpool – Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 4 of Scunthorpe’s last 6 games in League One including 3 in a row at Home. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in each of Blackpool’s last 5 Away and in 7 of their last 9 overall. OVER 2.5 Goals is 6/5 (2.20)

  • Double @ 3/1+ (4.00+) with Bet365 and in general

WINNING STREAK

This weekend’s Winning Streak also takes us to the Total Goals markets…

In League Two:

  • Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 9 consecutive Newport County Home games

Newport have kept a Clean Sheet in 8 of those 9 games. Four of opponents Bury’s last 5 on the road have gone Under 2.5 Goals.

Newport County v Bury – Under 2.5 Goals is 5/6 (1.83) with Boylesports, BetVictor, NetBet, 10Bet, 4/5 (1.80) in general.

FEATURED GAME

We’re off to Scotland on Sunday lunchtime for a televised game – and yet another ‘low goals’ opportunity…

Hibernian v Celtic

Sunday, 12.30pm – Sky Sports

Match odds: Hibernian 13/2 (7.50), Draw 7/2 (4.50), Celtic 4/9 (1.44)

These two have met three times since the start of December and the final score has been 2-0 each time, with a brace of victories for Celtic and one for Hibs.

  • Under 2.5 Goals has paid out in 4 of Hibernian’s last 5 Home games, and in 4 of Celtic’s last 5 Away

Hibs’ low goals run extends to 8 payouts from their last 9 at Home in the Scottish Premiership. Celtic have kept 4 Clean Sheets in their last 5 road trips.

Under 2.5 Goals is Evens (2.00) with Bet365 and Marathonbet, 19/20 (1.95) in general.

Stats Picks Summary:

For all the latest stats and form for this weekend’s Premier League, Football League & Scottish Premiership games – see the League Stats, Head-to-Head and Top 10 Tables pages on our website.

In summary, the weekend picks listed in today’s email are:

FORM TEAM:

Leeds to beat Wigan
Aston Villa to beat Bolton

  • Double @ 17/20 (1.85) with Bet365

GOALS MATCH-UPS:

Middlesbrough v Stoke – UNDER 2.5 Goals
Preston v Ipswich – UNDER 2.5 Goals
Gillingham v Plymouth – UNDER 2.5 Goals

  • Treble @ 9/2+ (5.50+) with Bet365

Rochdale v Wycombe – OVER 2.5 Goals
Scunthorpe v Blackpool – OVER 2.5 Goals

  • Double @ 3/1+ (4.00+) with Bet365

WINNING STREAK:

  • Newport County v Bury – Under 2.5 Goals @ 5/6 (1.83) with Boylesports

FEATURED GAME:

  • Hibernian v Celtic – Under 2.5 Goals @ Evens (2.00) with Bet365

P.S
If you're feeling particularly adventurous this Good Friday, a 9-fold acca on all of today's picks pays over 150/1...

I’ll be back with your next Stats Picks on Easter Monday.

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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