Picks & Analysis - top v bottom in League Two...
Friday 16th November 2018
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Weekend Picks & Analysis…
- MK Dons v Macclefield…
- Forest Green v Morecambe…
The C Word…
The John Lewis ad is out. Clintons are piping carols into their stores already. Christmas is coming, it would seem…
The festive football is always a big attraction, and the busy schedule begins next week with the start of an unbroken run of league fixtures until January. After this weekend, there are no more International breaks until 2019.
Lots to look forward to in the weeks ahead. But first we concentrate on the immediate fixtures. The lower leagues are in action this weekend…
Weekend Picks & Analysis…
All the latest match Head-2-Heads, League Stats and Team Stats are on our website.
It looks to be slim pickings in League One. Most Corners kings Barnsley are on the radar, but they’re away at Accrington, and Barnsley’s record for that bet is strongest at Home (100%). Sunderland v Wycombe is a 71% Home v 75% Away match-up for Both Teams to Score, but Sunderland have kept 4 Clean Sheets in a row.
The stats & markets shape up better in League Two. Here’s my take on this weekend’s stats, prices and opportunities…
MK Dons v Macclesfield
League Two
Saturday, 3pm
Match odds: MK Dons 4/11 (1.36), Draw 9/2 (5.50), Macclesfield 9/1 (10.00)
MK Dons are 2nd in League Two, have won 6 of their last 7 games – and are unbeaten at Home.
Hapless Macclesfield are rock bottom of the table, have lost 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6, won just one league game all season – and picked up just one point from 8 Away games (W0 D1 L7).
With that contrasting top v bottom form, you can see why MK Dons are the shortest Match Result price on the weekend Football League coupon. The Home Win is 4/11 (1.36) at best. You can do better by looking to the Win To Nil market…
MK Dons have got the tightest defence in the division, conceding a total of just 10 goals from 17 games. They’re joint-top for Clean Sheets (8), and have won To Nil more times than any other team in League Two (7). That includes 7 of their last 8 wins coming to To Nil, with a 4-0 at Crawley last time out.
Macclesfield are still dreaming of a first Clean Sheet of the season. The run stands at 24 games in all comps, with 17 coming in the league. They’ve lost To Nil in 4 of their last 6.
- MK Dons – To Win To Nil @ 5/4 (2.25) with Skybet, 6/5 (2.20) Bet365, BetVictor, 23/20 (2.15) Ladbrokes, Coral, William Hill, Boylesports, Betway
Forest Green v Morecambe
League Two
Saturday, 3pm
Match odds: Forest Green 8/13 (1.62), Draw 3/1 (4.00), Morecambe 5/1 (6.00)
Forest Green are the No.1 team in the land for Both Teams to Score bets, with 8 payouts in a row. There have been goals at both ends in 15 of their 17 League Two games (88%), including 12 of the last 13.
Morecambe are level with Forest Green for the joint-worst Clean Sheet record (2 from 17), with only bottom club Macclesfield below them.
Both Teams to Score has paid out in 6 of Macclesfield’s last 9 games, including 3 out of 4 Away. That’s plenty decent enough form to go alongside Forest Green’s eye-catching stats. And considering the numbers, the bookies’ 50-50 pricing looks good for us here…
- Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 20/21 (1.95) with NetBet, 10Bet, Sportingbet, 10/11 (1.91) Bet365, Betfred, Marathonbet, Boylesports, Betway, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral
Weekend picks…
In summary, here are this weekend’s picks at the best prices:
MK Dons v Macclesfield:
- MK Dons – To Win To Nil @ 5/4 (2.25) with Skybet
Forest Green v Morecambe:
- Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 20/21 (1.95) with NetBet
I’ll be back on Monday with a Stats Review, and a look at the big set of fixtures on the horizon.
Enjoy the football…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Across the Leagues |
