Across the Leagues

Stats Picks - including Liverpool and Barcelona tonight...

Wednesday 2nd October 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

Stats Picks…
Champions League tonight...
Kick offs from 7.45pm...

Stats Picks…

Champions League Match-day Two continues this evening. The headline game is Barcelona v Inter Milan, and Chelsea and Liverpool are both also in action.

There are also five games in the Championship. See below for Stats Picks on two of them.

For seven years’ worth of historical stats on the Champions League, remember you can view our tables of top-performing sides in our Stats Report here >>

I’ve matched-up the top stats for tonight’s games. Here’s are the numbers and picks:

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

All Champions League (CL) matches can be viewed live on the BT Sport channels.

Barcelona v Inter Milan

Barcelona are favourites for the win at 1/2 (1.50), but they could only draw 0-0 at Borussia Dortmund on Match-day One. Inter Milan are unbeaten in 7 games in all comps in 2019/20. After three previous CL encounters, Lionel Messi is looking for his first goal against Inter.

The Corners stats are strongly in favour of the home side...

Barca are ranked 2nd in our Champions League Historical Stats with a 74% record for Most Corners bets. The Catalans won the corner count 9-3 at Dortmund last time out. In last season’s Group stage, Barcelona did the corners double over Inter Milan – 10-3 at home and 10-3 again in Italy. Results like those suggest Barca can cover a -2 Corner Handicap tonight (winning 3+ corners more than Inter).

Inter have won the Most Corners in just 2 of 7 games so far this season.

RB Leipzig v Lyon

We’re going ‘double Red Bull’ here with the two sponsored clubs Leipzig & Salzburg trending for Over 2.5 Goals...

Goals are a theme for RB Leipzig. The German club have landed Over 2.5 Goals bets in 7 out of 8 games in all competitions so far in 2019/20. And in 13 out of 15 games going back to April. That run includes a 2-1 win at Benfica on Champions League Match-day One two weeks ago. Leipzig forward Timo Werner has got 5 goals from 6 club appearances in the CL.

There were Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of Lyon’s 4 CL games last season. And there have been 3+ Total Goals in 8 of the French side’s last 10 away games in all comps (3 out of 4 this season).

Liverpool v Salzburg

Reigning champions Liverpool lost 2-0 at Napoli a fortnight ago. After a run of 4 away games in all comps, the Reds return to Anfield this evening. Their 3 home games this season (in the Premier League) have seen 3-1, 3-1 and 4-1 victories.

Salzburg started Group E with a huge 6-2 win v Genk, with 19-year-old Erling Braut Haaland scoring a hat-trick. The Norwegian teenager has got 14 goals in 9 games for his club already this season.

Overall, Salzburg are on a run of 10 consecutive Over 2.5 Goals results. And in the Europa League last season, 9 of the Austrian club’s 10 games had 3+ Total Goals.

CHAMPIONSHIP

All of this evening’s Championship games are available to watch on the Sky Sports Interactive (Red Button) service.

Barnsley v Derby County

Barnsley have won the Most Corners in 6 out of 9 games so far, including 3 of the last 4 (with 1st place Leeds Utd the only exception). In their last 5 outings, The Tykes have posted Corners For tallies of: 8, 10, 5, 7, 8.

Derby on the other hand have been out-cornered in all 4 of their away games, by scores of 8-3, 6-3, 10-5 and 8-0.

Cardiff v QPR

There’s a strong 9-game streak on show here. QPR have a 100% record for Under 10.5 Corners. Our site shows the R’s away games are averaging 8.1 Total Corners.

Cardiff match-up with an 8.5 average per game at home. And 3 out of 4 games at the Cardiff City Stadium seeing less than 11 corner kicks.

Stats Picks

Today’s Stats Picks are:

Barcelona v Inter Milan

Barcelona -2 Corner Handicap @ Evens (2.00) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Skybet, 19/20 (1.95) Bet365, William Hill, 888 Sport, Unibet, 10/11 (1.91) Betway, 20/23 (1.87) NetBet, 10Bet. Barcelona -2.5 Corner Handicap @ 22/25 (1.88) with Marathonbet

RB Leipzig v Lyon (8pm)
Liverpool v Salzburg (8pm)

DOUBLE – Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens (2.00) with Betfred, Boylesports, Ladbrokes, Coral

Barnsley v Derby County (7.45pm)

Corners Match Bet (Team with Most Corners) – Barnsley @ 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Boylesports, 4/5 (1.80) Skybet, NetBet, 10Bet, 888 Sport, Unibet

Cardiff v QPR (7.45pm)

Under 11 Corners (or Under 10.5 Corners) @ 4/5 (1.80) with Skybet, 3/4 (1.75) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 20/27 (1.74) NetBet, 10Bet, 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/6 (1.67) Boylesports

I’ll be back on Friday with your Stats Picks for the weekend...

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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