Stats Picks - including Sevilla v Bilbao tonight...
Friday 3rd January 2020
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Weekend Stats Picks…
- League Two, La Liga & Serie A…
- Scorers, Goals & Match Results…
Stats Picks…
Happy New Year! Lots of football to look forward to as we head into 2020 – including games in England & Europe this weekend – see below.
We were a Tottenham goal away from a 4/1 Both Teams to Score treble on New Year’s Day. Southampton beat Spurs 1-0. In our other two selections, AFC Wimbledon 1 Southend 1 and Colchester 1 Crawley 1 both kept up the ‘goals at both ends’ form.
The FA Cup 3rd Round dominates the fixture list in England this weekend, but there’s Sunderland v Lincoln in League One and 8 games in League Two. And in Spain and Italy, La Liga and Serie A return after a brief Christmas break.
Here are our Stats Picks:
LEAGUE TWO
The Scorer stats are of most interest to us in League Two this weekend.
Eoin Doyle has been a regular and profitable selection this season. He’s the top scorer in the division with 23 goals from 23 games for Swindon (on loan). But he can’t play this weekend against his parent club, Bradford.
Another player catches the eye though at odds-against prices in the Anytime Scorer betting:
Mansfield v Grimsby – Anytime Scorer: Nicky Maynard
Sat 3pm
Maynard got a hat-trick for Mansfield on Wednesday. Over the festive period he scored a total of 4 goals in 3 appearances.
With 10 goals in total, Maynard in joint-2nd in the League Two Top Scorer table this season.
Maynard has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 4 of his last 7 appearances in Mansfield home games in all competitions.
- Anytime Scorer: Nicky Maynard @ 9/5 (2.80) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 6/4 (2.50) Ladbrokes, Coral, Betway, BetVictor
SPAIN – LA LIGA
Over to Spain now and the Goals form catches the eye in La Liga with two strong match-ups:
Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao – Under 2.5 Goals
TONIGHT – Fri 8pm
Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 75% of Sevilla home games (6 out of 8) and in 79% of Bilbao away games (7 out of 9).
On our website, Bilbao are ranked 2nd in our La Liga standings for Under 2.5 Goals. Their away games are averaging 1.7 Total Goals.
On recent form, 4 of Sevilla’s last 5 league games have seen 2 or less Total Goals. Three of Bilbao’s last 4 have gone Under 2.5 Goals, with the two most recent fixtures before Christmas both ended in 0-0 draws.
- Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 (1.67) with Skybet, 8/13 (1.62) with Bet365 and in general
Real Sociedad v Villareal – Over 2.5 Goals
Sun 1pm
This is a 75% home v 89% away match-up for Over 2.5 Goals.
Six of Sociedad’s last 7 home games have seen 3+ Total Goals. For the season, their home games are averaging 3.2 Total Goals. Four of their last 5 overall have gone Over 2.5 Goals, including 2-2 and 3-4 score-lines most recently.
Villarreal are the top away team in La Liga for Over 2.5 Goals payouts, with 8 of their 9 trips delivering in that market.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/13 (1.62) with Bet365, William Hill, Marathonbet, Boylesports
ITALY – SERIE A
In Italy the Match Results form highlights two teams for win this weekend:
Brescia v Lazio – Lazio to win
Sun 11.30am
Brescia are two places off the bottom in Serie A. Lazio are two places off the top…
Lazio are the form team in the division by some distance, winning each of their last 8 games.
Brescia have lost 4 of their last 5 at home.
- Lazio to win @ 3/5 (1.60) with Marathonbet, 4/7 (1.57) with Boylesports and in general
Roma v Torino – Roma to win
Sun 7.45pm
Roma are 4th in Serie A, and in 2nd place behind Lazio on our recent Form table with 4 wins from their last 5.
At home, Roma have won 4 in a row. Against Torino, Roma have prevailed in each of their last 3 meetings.
Against the other Top 4 sides this season, 10th place Torino have lost 4-0 at Lazio, 0-1 v Juventus and 0-3 v Inter Milan.
- Roma to win @ 8/15 (1.53) with Marathonbet, 1/2 (1.50) with Boylesports and in general
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. This weekend’s Stats Picks are:
- Mansfield v Grimsby – Anytime Scorer: Nicky Maynard @ 9/5
- Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao – Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6
- Real Sociedad v Villareal – Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/13
- Brescia v Lazio – Lazio to win @ 3/5
- Roma v Torino – Roma to win @ 8/15
I’ll be back next week with Top Trends update, and our next Stats Picks.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
