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Stats Picks - including five 100% trends...

Friday 4th October 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Stats Picks…
  • Top-rated match-ups…
  • The Goals Acca @ 13/2…

Stats Picks…

After a busy schedule of midweek football we move on to the weekend, with a full set of fixtures across the eight domestic & European leagues that we cover.

I’ve done the hard work for you and gone through the stats. Here’s the pick of the top trends and match-ups...

  • See below for full details of this weekend’s Stats Picks. Including our new feature ‘The Goals Acca’ – aiming to capitalise on the Total Goals and Both Teams to Score trends

PREMIER LEAGUE

Norwich v Aston Villa is a standout game for goals. The Canaries are 100% at home for Over 2.5 Goals, and yet to keep a Clean Sheet in 8 games in all competitions this season. Villa’s last 2 games have ended 2-2 and 3-2, and 2 of their 3 away trips have seen 4+ Total Goals.

In the two previous seasons in the Championship, all 4 meetings between these sides went Over 2.5 Goals with both teams finding the net on each occasion.

Arsenal v Bournemouth is 1st v 2nd in the Premier League table on our website for Both Teams to Score. Those rankings are made up of 3 out of 3 Arsenal home games, and 6 in a row in the league overall. The Cherries are 100% with goals at both ends in 7 out of 7 league games this season.

Bournemouth have found the net in each of their last 3 meetings with the Gunners.

CHAMPIONSHIP

Swansea v Stoke is top v bottom in the Championship. If that was a Premier League match-up then you wouldn’t be getting Even Money (2.00) for the home win. Stoke are winless, with 8 defeats from their opening 10 games.

Derby County v Luton features two of the joint-top teams for Both Teams to Score. Both boast an 80% record (8 out of 10 games), including 4 out of 5 in the home/ away split. This has paid out in 7 of Derby’s last 8 league games, and in 5 of Luton’s last 6.

QPR v Blackburn Rovers is a 100% match-up on our Head-2-Head comparison. Under 10.5 Corners has paid out in all 5 QPR home games and 4 out of 4 Blackburn away trips. The R’s are 100% overall with all 10 of their Championship matches seeing less than 11 Total Corners.

QPR home games average 8.6 corners. Blackburn’s away figure is 8.8.

SPAIN – LA LIGA

Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao is a standout match-up in Spain. Bilbao are 100% for Under 2.5 Goals with 7 consecutive payouts. Celta Vigo are on a 6-game run for that option, too.

Vigo have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 games. Bilbao haven’t scored more than once on the road.

GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA

The Bundesliga is ripe for goals. Last weekend, 8 of the 9 games went Over 2.5 Goals. For 2019/20 to date, 78% of all fixtures in the German top-flight have produced 3+ Total Goals.

Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund is a prime contender this weekend. Dortmund are 100% for Over 2.5 Goals with 6 out of 6 in the league. Freiburg have given 5 payouts out of 6.

Stats Picks

This weekend’s Stats Picks are:

The Goals Acca
Norwich v Aston Villa - OVER 2.5 Goals @ 8/15 (1.53)
Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund – OVER 2.5 Goals @ 4/9 (1.44)
Arsenal v Bournemouth – Both Teams to Score – YES @ 4/9 (1.44)
Derby County v Luton – Both Teams to Score – YES @ 3/5 (1.60)
Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao – UNDER 2.5 Goals @ 1/2 (1.50)

  • ACCA – 5-FOLD @ 13/2+ (7.50+) Bet365, Betfred, Sportingbet, Boylesports, Betway, Marathonbet 

Swansea v Stoke

  • Swansea to win @ 21/10 (2.05) Boylesports, Skybet, Sportingbet, NetBet, 10Bet, 888 Sport, Unibet, Evens (2.00) in general

QPR v Blackburn Rovers

  • Under 11 Corners (or Under 10.5 Corners) @ 4/6 (1.67) Bet365, Skybet, 8/13 (1.62) 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/7 (1.57) Boylesports 

I’ll be back next week with a Top Trends email, and Stats Picks for the next rounds of games.

P.S
We're still in the process of updating the members-only section of your Across the Leagues website with the full new stats categories for La Liga, Bundesliga and Serie A. You may have noticed a new tab called 'European Leagues' has appeared on the site. This will very soon be populated with all the 2019/20 stats to date for those three new leagues. I’ll update you next week.

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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