Stats Picks - including Liverpool v Everton tonight...
Wednesday 4th December 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Premier League and Scottish Premiership…
- Merseyside derby…
Stats Picks…
Anthony Taylor kept up his ‘high cards’ record last night, dishing out a red card and a further 6 yellows as 10-man Crystal Palace beat Bournemouth, 1-0.
The Over 3.5 Cards and 40+ Booking Points lines were comfortably surpassed. With a Total Cards score of 8 (straight red card = 2), and a Booking Points tally of 85 pts (straight red card = 25 pts).
There are six more Premier League games tonight – all live on Amazon Prime Video. And a full quota of fixtures in the Scottish Premiership, too.
Here are our Stats Picks for this evening…
PREMIER LEAGUE
Man Utd v Tottenham – Both Teams to Score
7.30pm – Amazon Prime Video
This one is a good home v away match-up on the Both Teams to Score stats. And even more so with recent results in mind…
Tottenham are ranked 2nd in the Premier League for Both Teams to Score, with an 86% away strike-rate on the road (6 out of 7 away games).
Since Jose Mourinho took over, Spurs’ score-lines have been: West Ham 2 Tottenham 3, Tottenham 4 Olympiacos 2, Tottenham 3 Bournemouth 2.
There have been goals at both ends in each of Man Utd’s last 4 league games at Old Trafford. And their last 3 Premier League results overall have been: 3-1, 3-3 and 2-2.
- Both Teams to Score @ 8/13 (1.62) with Bet365 and in general
Liverpool v Everton – Most Cards: Everton
8.15pm – Amazon Prime Video
The stats make this one clear, but the derby factor seems to be levelling things about it on the odds…
Liverpool are No.1 in the Premier League for ‘low cards’ games, with 79% going Under 3.5 Cards.
Everton are No.1 for ‘high cards,’ with 79% of their games going Over 3.5 Cards.
The Most Booking Points table on our site shows that Liverpool have got the Most Cards or Booking Points in just one of their 7 games at Anfield. While Everton have landed that bet in 5 of their last 7 away games.
Our Head-2-Head home v away comparison for tonight’s game shows the Reds are averaging just 1 Yellow Card per home game, with the Toffees more than double that at 2.6 per game on the road.
In Merseyside derbies, Everton have long been the team to follow in the Most Cards & Booking Points markets. The team in blue have landed those bets in 4 of their last 5 trips to Anfield in all competitions, and in 7 of their last 9 visits going all the way back to March 2012.
The current-season Cards & Booking Points stats alone suggest Everton as the away team should be the clear favourite in the betting here.
- Most Cards: Everton @ 19/20 (1.95) with Betway, 7/10 (1.70) 888 Sport, Unibet. ‘Asian Handicap Cards – Everton -0.5 @ 19/20 (1.95) Bet365, 10/1 (1.91) NetBet, 10Bet
Or
- Most Booking Points – Everton @ 4/5 (1.80) with Boylesports, 4/6 (1.67) Skybet, 8/13 (1.62) William Hill
Find out more about Cards & Booking Points markets here.
SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP
Ross County v Hibernian – Both Teams to Score
7.45pm
These sides are the top two in our Scottish Premiership standings for Both Teams to Score.
Ross County are 71% at home, with goals at both ends in 5 of their 7 games.
Hibs are in top spot with 80% of all games paying out on Both Teams to Score (12 out of 15).
County’s last 4 games have ended: 2-2, 1-3, 2-1 and 4-1. Hibs are on a 10-game streak for this bet…
- Both Teams to Score @ 8/13 (1.62) with William Hill, 3/5 (1.60) Boylesports, Marathonbet, 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/7 (1.57) general
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:
- Man Utd v Tottenham – Both Teams to Score @ 8/13
- Liverpool v Everton – Most Cards: Everton @ 19/20
- Ross County v Hibernian – Both Teams to Score @ 8/13
I’ll be back on Friday morning with Stats Picks for the weekend.
P.S
Remember you can view all our League and Team Stats, and Head-2-Head home v away comparisons for every game, by logging-in to your members-only Across the Leagues website.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
