Stats Picks - Champions League tonight...
Tuesday 5th November 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- 225/1 winner! And a hole in the ceiling…
- Champions League tonight…
Stats Picks…
It’s Match-day Four in the Champions League, with 16 games across tonight & tomorrow evening.
With the Groups at the halfway stage going into this week, there’s all to play for as teams battle for the top two spots to reach the Knockouts in the New Year.
Those situations can be a recipe for goals. Two of this evening’s matches standout in particular on the Over 2.5 Goals stats (see below).
At the weekend, our two in-form Anytime Scorer selections both found the net…
Eoin Doyle (Swindon) has now scored in 5 League Two games in a row, and has 14 for the season – twice as many as anyone else in the division.
Ciro Immobile (Lazio) is 4 goals clear in the Serie A standings, and has now scored in a remarkable 6 consecutive league appearances. Both men also scored the First Goal in their respective weekend games.
Our weekend Goals picks came up with 3 out of 5 successful match-ups, so no 8/1 winner on the Acca this time. We’re going again this evening – see below.
And the combo is just one way to play the Goals stats. As demonstrated quite sensationally by Across the Leagues member, John B…
225/1 winner and a hole in the ceiling…
John emailed in with news of a staggering Correct Score winner at the weekend:
“I went correct score crazy, placed ALL correct scores mentioned in 'across the leagues' email (@ £2 each). So got on Sevilla-Atletico Madrid 1-1 at 11/2. More importantly placed all the Eintract Frankfurt-Bayern Munich scores mentioned. 5-1 came in at 225/1…
Thank you very much for my biggest win of the year especially from a £2 bet. Think I’ll spend my winnings on repairing my ceiling after jumping out of my chair with surprise and hitting my head on it :)”
Wow. It doesn't really get much better than a 225/1 winner. And on Bayern to lose, too!
It’s really great to hear from a member using the stats to pick out such big wins. If you’re so inclined, some of this evening’s Champions League games could be a good place to go looking for a small-stakes/ big-odds bets on a few ‘crazy’ Correct Scores…
GOALS
Four games standout in the Champions League tonight. Starting with the 5.55pm kick-off in Russia…
Zenit St Petersburg v RB Leipzig – Both Teams to Score @ 4/7 (1.57)
Zenit have scored in 28 of their last 29 home games in European competitions. Both Teams to Score has paid out in 3 out of 3 in the Champions League this season. There have been goals at both ends in 5 of Leipzig’s last 6 away in all competitions, including a 2-1 at Benfica in the Champions League. The other scores in that run have been: 1-6, 2-1, 1-1, 1-3.
Liverpool v Genk – Over 2.5 Goals @ 2/7 (1.29)
Liverpool won 4-1 at Genk last time out. At Anfield, the Reds are 100% at home for Over 2.5 Goals this season – 8 out of 8 games, including some massive score-lines: 3-1 (twice), 5-5, 4-3 and 4-1. Genk lost 6-2 at Salzburg in their opening away game in Group E.
Napoli v Salzburg – Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/11 (1.36)
The reverse fixture ended 2-3. Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 3 of Napoli’s last 4 in all comps, and in 7 of Salzburg’s last 8 away from home. Salzburg’s 3 Champions League nights have ended 2-3 (lost), 4-3 (lost) and 6-2 (won).
Borussia Dortmund v Inter Milan – Under 2.5 Goals @ 10/11 (1.91)
Switching to the ‘low goals’ stats for this one, Dortmund are 3 out of 3 in the Champions League for Under 2.5 Goals. With scores of 0-0, 0-2 and 2-0. Inter are 2 out of 3 for this bet, with a 2-0 and 1-1. These two sides are level on 4 points each in Group F – it looks like it’s going to be close for 2nd spot behind Barcelona.
These four Goals picks combine at 4/1:
- ACCA – 4-fold @ 4/1 (5.00) William Hill, Boylesports, Marathonbet, Betfred
CORNERS
Last but not least, we’re off to France for some Corners stats to follow this evening…
Champions League
Lyon v Benfica – Most Corners – Lyon
Lyon won the Most Corners 6-0 at Benfica a fortnight ago, in a game that ended 2-1 to the Portuguese side. The stats point to Lyon to lead the corners again. Their last 2 home games in the French league have seen dominant corners scores of 7-1 and 8-1. And Lyon’s first Champions League home game this season produced a 10-1 corners tally in a 1-1 draw v Zenit.
Our Champions League Historical Stats have Benfica ranked a lowly 38% for Most Corners payouts on the road. Last season they were out-cornered in all 6 European away games.
- Most Corners – Lyon (or Corners Bet Match – Lyon) @ 4/6 (1.67) Skybet, 8/13 (1.62) Bet365, 4/7 (1.57) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor, 11/20 (1.55) William Hill, Boylesports, 888 Sport, Unibet, Marathonbet
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:
- Goals ACCA – 4-fold @ 4/1
- Lyon v Benfica – Most Corners – Lyon @ 4/6
I’ll be back tomorrow with more Stats Picks for the Champions League.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
