Stats Picks - Sheff Utd v Newcastle tonight...
Thursday 5th December 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Premier League tonight...
- Blades on the Corners...
Stats Picks…
The midweek games have gone to form so far. Last night, all 6 Premier League games ended with the home team & favourite winning.
On our goals picks, Man Utd 2 Tottenham 1 and Ross County 2 Hibernian 1 ticked the boxes for Both Teams to Score. Hibs have now given 11 Both Teams to Score payouts in a row.
In the Merseyside derby, Liverpool’s 5-2 win over Everton saw the away team get the Most Cards to land our pick in that market. Cards result = Liverpool 1 Yellow, Everton 2 Yellows (Booking Points = 10-20).
There are two more games this evening to complete the midweek Premier League fixtures. We have one Stats Pick...
PREMIER LEAGUE
Sheffield Utd v Newcastle – Sheffield Utd -3 Corner Handicap
7.30pm – Amazon Prime Video
The Corners stats are of interest to us here.
Sheff Utd are 86% at home for Over 10.5 Corners (6 out of 7 games). Five of Newcastle’s 7 away games have also seen 11+ Total Corners (71%). Over 10.5 Corners is available at 8/11 (1.73) tonight.
However, the Most Corners figures could hold the key to this one – and they point squarely to the home side...
Sheff Utd have won the Most Corners in 6 of their 7 Premier League games at Bramall Lane. Only Man City on 100% can beat that home corner-winning record.
Newcastle on the other hand are none from 7 for Most Corners victories on the road. And in each of their last 5 away trips, the corners score has gone against them by a 4+ margin each time, with opponents landing the -3 Corner Handicap:
Aston Villa 2 Newcastle 0 – Corners = 11-6
West Ham 2 Newcastle 3 – Corners = 7-3
Chelsea 1 Newcastle 0 – Corners = 11-0
Leicester 5 Newcastle 0 – Corners = 5-0
Liverpool 3 Newcastle 1 – Corners = 10-1
The Magpies have won a total of 50 corners this season. That’s the lowest total in the Premier League.
Our Head-2-Head for this game shows Sheff Utd’s dominance in the corners match-up:
The Blades are around 1/3 (1.33) to win the Most Corners tonight. For an Even Money+ (2.00+) payout, there’s plenty of evidence in the stats & form for the home team to beat a -3 Corner Handicap.
- Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap @ 5/4 (2.25) with BetVictor, 6/5 (2.20) William Hill, 11/10 (2.10) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 21/20 (2.05) Betway, Bet365, Evens (2.00) Skybet, 888 Sport, Unibet
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Pick is:
- Sheff Utd v Newcastle – Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap @ 5/4
I’ll be back on Friday with our Stats Picks for the weekend.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
