Stats Picks - including Chelsea v Lille...
Tuesday 10th December 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Champions League – Match-day Six…
- Chelsea v Lille…
Stats Picks…
The German goals stats teased us again at the weekend. On Saturday, our first 3 featured games all went to form with Over 2.5 Goals. But on Sunday evening, Werder Bremen 0 Paderborn 1 meant we missed out on the 3/1 acca.
Last week we went 5 out of 5 with our midweek picks in the Premier League. Today we’re having our first Stats Picks for this week’s action…
It’s Match-day Six in the Champions League – the final round of Group games, with qualification up for grabs. And there’s also a full midweek programme in the Championship.
The games are split 50-50 between tonight and Wednesday, with 16 Champions League ties and 12 Championship games in total.
Here are today’s Stats Picks…
CORNERS
Chelsea v Lille – Over 9.5 Corners
Champions League
8pm – BT Sport
The standard Total Corner Under/ Over line in the Premier League is 10.5 Corners, but the bookies tend to set it a little lower in Europe. Over 9.5 Corners (or Over 9 Corners) is available tonight.
So far, Chelsea are 5 out of 5 for that bet in the Champions League. The Blues have registered match totals of 13, 10, 15, 12 (at Lille) and 12.
In the Premier League, 4 of Chelsea’s last 6 at Stamford Bridge have seen 10+ Total Corners.
In the French league, Lille have produced Over 9.5 Corners payouts in each of their last 5 games.
- Over 9.5 Corners (or Over 9 Corners) @ 3/4 (1.75) with Marathonbet, Sportingbet, 8/11 (1.73) Bet365, Betway, 7/10 (1.70) Boylesports, 13/20 (1.65) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 888 Sport, Unibet
GOALS
Stoke v Luton – Over 2.5 Goals
Championship
8pm
This one is a clear match-up on the Over 2.5 Goals stats.
The Head-2-Head on our site shows Stoke home games are averaging 2.9 Total Goals, with Luton away games averaging 3.6.
Stoke have a 70% record for Over 2.5 Goals at the Britannia Stadium this season (7 games out of 10). And overall, there have been 3+ goals in 4 of the Potters’ last 5 games.
Luton are top of the Championship for Over 2.5 Goals with an 85% overall record (17 games out of 20). The Hatters are on a 9-game run for this bet.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 3/4 (1.75) with Boylesports, Marathonbet, Sportingbet, 888 Sport, Unibet, 8/11 (1.73) in general
SCORERS
Preston v Fulham – Anytime Scorer: Aleksandar Mitrovic
Championship
7.45pm – Sky Sports
Preston are 7th in the table but have lost 4 in a row in the Championship, and have only kept one Clean Sheet in their last 12.
Fulham are 3rd and have won 4 of their last 5. In Aleksandar Mitrovic they have the top scorer in the division. The Serbian striker has got 15 goals from 19 games. On our website he sits joint-top of the Championship standings for Anytime Scorer payouts:
Mitrovic has got 10 goals in his last 10 games for Fulham, landing Anytime Scorer bets in 3 of his last 4 appearances.
- Anytime Scorer: Alexsandar Mitrovic @ 13/10 (2.30) with Ladbrokes, Coral, BetVictor, Skybet, 6/5 (2.20) in general
MATCH RESULTS
Last but not least, we’re using the formbook to go after three teams to win this evening…
Borussia Dortmund v Slavia Prague – Dortmund to win (@ 3/10)
Champions League, 8pm – BT Sport
- Dortmund need a result to give themselves a chance of qualifying. The Germans have won 5 of their last 6 at home in all competitions. Prague are bottom of Group F with no wins from 5 attempts
Chelsea v Lille – Chelsea to win (@ 2/9)
Champions League, 8pm – BT Sport
- Chelsea know a win will send them through to the Knockout Stage. They won 2-1 at Lille in the reverse fixture. The French side are bottom of Group H with no wins from 5 in the Champions League
Leeds v Hull – Leeds to win (@ 2/5)
Championship, 7.45pm
- Leeds are 2nd in the table on joint-top on recent form with 6 wins in a row. They’ve kept Clean Sheets in each of their last 3. At Elland Road, their league record this season is: W6 D2 L1. Hull, who are 12th, have been in good form themselves – but have only taken one point from their last 2 away games
Our Stats Pick is the Treble on the three home wins.
- ACCA – Treble: Borussia Dortmund, Chelsea & Leeds to win @ 6/5 (2.20) with Boylesports, Ladbrokes, Coral, Marathonbet, 888 Sport, Unibet, 23/20 (2.15) in general
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:
- Chelsea v Lille – Over 9.5 Corners @ 3/4
- Stoke v Luton – Over 2.5 Goals @ 3/4
- Preston v Fulham – Anytime Scorer: Aleksandar Mitrovic @ 13/10
- ACCA – Treble: Borussia Dortmund, Chelsea & Leeds to win @ 6/5
I’ll be back tomorrow with the standout stats for Wednesday’s games.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
