Stats Picks - including two games on Sky Sports...
Tuesday 11th February 2020
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Midweek Stats Picks…
- Football League & Scottish Premiership…
- Championship on Sky Sports…
Stats Picks…
There’s a midweek schedule in the Football League and Scottish Premiership over the next two evenings.
The bulk of the action takes place tonight, with a total of 30 games on the Tuesday fixture list.
That includes a meeting between the top two teams for Both Teams to Score bets in League Two. And we’re also looking at the Corners stats for two home teams on TV in the Championship…
Here are our Stats Picks:
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Three midweek games standout on the stats for Both Teams to Score…
Crewe v Crawley – Both Teams to Score
League Two
TONIGHT 7.45pm
Crawley are No.1 in the division for Both Teams to Score payouts, and Crewe are No.2.
Since mid-December, Crewe have played 12 league games and 10 of them have produced goals at both ends.
Eight of Crawley’s last 9 have paid out on Both Teams to Score. On the road, their record is 5 payouts from their last 6.
- Both Teams to Score @ 8/11 (1.73) with Bet365, Sportingbet, 7/10 (1.70) William Hill, Betway, 4/6 (1.67) in general
Leyton Orient v Mansfield – Both Teams to Score
League Two
TONIGHT 7.45pm
This one ended 2-3 at Mansfield in the reverse fixture. The stats say to expect goals at both ends again tonight…
Leyton Orient have the highest home record in League Two for Both Teams to Score, with 12 of their 16 outings at the Matchroom Stadium seeing both the home & away teams find the net (75%).
That includes each of Orient’s last 5 at home.
Mansfield have been a reliable Both Teams to Score provider recently, too. Five of their last 6 games have paid out in this market.
And since New Year’s Day, Mansfield have been involved in a few high-scoring games on their travels. With their away results including a 3-2 win and two 3-1 defeats.
- Both Teams to Score @ 8/11 (1.73) with Bet365, William Hill, Marathonbet, 7/10 (1.70) Ladbrokes, Coral, 4/6 (1.67) in general
Barnsley v Birmingham – Both Teams to Score
Championship
TONIGHT 7.45pm
Barnsley have a high home strike-rate for Both Teams to Score, with no fewer than 13 of their 16 league games at Oakwell producing goals at both ends (81%).
Birmingham bring eye-catching recent form of their own here, with both teams scoring in each of their last Championship outings. That run includes 4 out of 4 away games.
On the Clean Sheet front, Barnsley have managed just one at home in the league all season – and that was on the very first day of the campaign, back in August.
Birmingham are 18 leagues games without a Clean Sheet – an unwanted record that stretches back to October.
- Both Teams to Score @ 4/7 (1.57) with Bet365 and in general
MOST CORNERS
Sky Sports are showing all the midweek Championship fixtures on their Interactive/ Red Button platforms.
The two games on the main channels both feature home teams with excellent corner-winning records…
Swansea v QPR – Most Corners: Swansea
Championship
TONIGHT 7.45pm, Sky Sports Main Event
Swansea have won the Most Corners in 75% of their home games.
That’s 12 payouts from 16 league games at the Liberty Stadium, including in 8 of the last 9.
In comparison, QPR have landed Most Corners bets in just 6 of their 15 away games (40%). Only five of the 24 Championship clubs have a worse overall Most Corners record than Rangers this season.
QPR have been out-cornered in each of their last 6 away games.
Note: some bookies call this market the ‘Corners Match Bet.’
- Most Corners: Swansea @ 1/2 (1.50) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 9/20 (1.45) Betway, 4/9 (1.44) Skybet, 21/50 (1.42) 888 Sport, Unibet, 2/5 (1.40) Bet365, William Hill
Millwall v Fulham – Most Corners: Millwall
Championship
Wednesday 7.45pm, Sky Sports Main Event
Millwall have the best home record in the division for winning the Most Corners, doing so in an impressive 13 of their 15 league games at The Den (87%).
That record follows on from the Lions’ 70% home strike-rate for this bet last season.
Fulham’s away stat is 40%. They’ve won the Most Corners in 3 of their last 9 on the road.
The bookies make the market for tomorrow night’s London derby around 50-50, but the corners formbook clearly favours the home team...
Note: some bookies call this market the ‘Corners Match Bet.’
- Most Corners: Millwall @ Evens (2.00) with Skybet, 17/20 (1.85) William Hill, 5/6 (1.83) Boylesports, 4/5 (1.80) Bet365, BetVictor, 888 Sport, Unibet, Betway
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. This week’s Stats Picks are:
- Crewe v Crawley – Both Teams to Score @ 8/11
- Leyton Orient v Mansfield – Both Teams to Score @ 8/11
- Barnsley v Birmingham – Both Teams to Score @ 4/7
- Swansea v QPR – Most Corners: Swansea @ 1/2
- Millwall v Fulham – Most Corners: Millwall @ Evens
I’ll be back on Friday with your Stats Picks for the weekend.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
