Stats Picks - looking for Cards in Madrid...
Wednesday 11th December 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Champions League – Match-day Six...
- Atletico Madrid v Lokomotiv Moscow…
Stats Picks…
The stats went to form last night.
In the Champions League, Chelsea 2 Lille 1 produced 12 corners – landing Over 9.5 Corners bets (and also Over 10.5 and Over 11.5).
On the Goals, Stoke 3 Luton 0 kept up the Over 2.5 Goals record. And also in the Championship, top scorer Aleksandar Mitrovic went clear in 1st place on our Anytime Scorer table. The Fulham striker got the consolation goal in a 2-1 defeat at Preston.
In the Match Result markets, home wins for Borussia Dortmund (2-1), Chelsea (2-1) and Leeds Utd (2-0) gave a winning treble.
The midweek fixtures continue this evening with 8 games in the Champions League and 6 in the Championship.
One game stands out in particular for a Stats Pick...
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Atletico Madrid v Lokomotiv Moscow – Over 4.5 Cards
Champions League
8pm – BT Sport
With just two of the 16 Qualification places still to be decided, there are only two Groups with much left to play for this evening. This Group D match is one of them, with Atletico Madrid needing a win to guarantee a place in the Knockout Stage and keep their destiny in their own hands.
Lokomotiv Moscow are bottom of the Group. Atletico are big favourites. The home win is very short odds-on at around 1/7 (1.14).
But things haven’t been easy for Diego Simeone & his side recently...
Atletico have won just one of their last 8 games in all competitions – and failed to score in each of their last 3.
Lokomotiv have lost 4 of their 5 Champions League games, but no-one has hammered them. The defeats have been 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 0-2.
If it takes the home team a while to break down the Russians here, then frustrations could build – and tempers could rise...
Last night, 5 of the 8 final Group games went Over 4.5 Cards. And 3 games saw a Red Card.
Atletico’s last 2 Group games have both gone Over 4.5 Cards, as have 6 of their last 8 in all comps.
In Spain, over half of Atletico Madrid’s La Liga games have gone Over 4.5 Cards this season (63%).
Four of Lokomotiv’s last 5 games have seen at least 4 Yellows.
The bookies have the line for this one at Over 4.5 Cards. In comparison, for Shakhtar Donetsk v Atalanta (in Group C, where there is also still a qualification place up for grabs), firms have set their line a card higher at Over 5.5.
- Over 4.5 Cards @ 5/4 (2.25) with Betway, 6/5 (2.20) 888 Sport, Unibet, 11/10 (2.10) Bet365
Also available: 50+ Booking Points @ 11/10 (2.10) with Skybet, Over 45 Booking Points @ Evens (2.00) with William Hill.
Find out more about Cards & Booking Points markets here.
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Pick is:
- Atletico Madrid v Lokomotiv Moscow – Over 4.5 Cards @ 5/4
I’ll be back on Friday with your Stats Picks for the weekend.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
