Stats Picks - including Norwich v Man City...
Friday 13th September 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Featured Game: Norwich v Man City...
- Top Trends: Total Corners...
- Goals Match-Ups: including a German double…
Weekend Stats Picks…
The International break is over and domestic league football returns across Europe this weekend.
That includes the Premier League where we have two Stats Picks, as well as the Bundesliga where the German goals figures continue to catch the eye...
Here are this weekend’s Stats Picks:
FEATURED GAME
Norwich v Man City – First Goal – Up To And Including 15th Minute
Premier League, Sat 5.30pm – Sky Sports
These two have been goals-galore so far. Man City have scored 14 goals in their first 4 games – an average of 3.5 per game. Norwich’s opening brace of home games has seen 3-1 and 2-3 score-lines. Over 2.5 Goals is short odds-on at 1/4 (1.25). The higher Over 3.5 Goals line is 8/13 (1.62). The Goal Time stats provide a decent alternative here:
- Two of Norwich’s 4 games have seen goals in the 6th and 7th min. Man City’s last 2 games have had First Goal Times of 2 mins and 15 mins
Stats Pick: Time of First Goal – ‘Up To And Including 15th minute’ @ 7/5 (2.40) with William Hill. First Goal Time: 1-15 Min @ 63/50 (2.26) Marathonbet, 6/5 (2.20) Betway.
- Other ‘First Goal Time’ brackets and Under/ Over options available with Bet365, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Skybet
TOP TRENDS
Wolves v Chelsea – UNDER 10.5 Corners
Premier League, Sat 3pm
- Chelsea were No.1 in the Premier League for Under 10.5 Corners payouts last season, including a 79% away record (15 out of 19 games)
- So far in 2019/20, Chelsea have a 100% record with 4 out of 4 games going Under 10.5 Corners
- Wolves’ home games have seen Total Corners scores of 7 and 10. Last season’s game v Chelsea had 6 corners
Stats Pick: Under 10.5 Corners @ 4/6 (1.67).
GOALS MATCH-UPS
Stoke v Bristol City – OVER 2.5 Goals
Championship, Sat 3pm
- Stoke are the only team in the division with a 100% record for Over 2.5 Goals. All 6 of their games have seen 3+ Total Goals
- 4 of Bristol City’s 6 games have gone Over 2.5 Goals, including their last 3 in a row
Stats Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens+ (2.00+).
German Bundesliga – OVER 2.5 Goals
Three weeks into the German season and the Bundesliga is looking good for another year of ‘high goals’ stats. We looked at this trend last time out and 7 of the 9 games in Round 3 went Over 2.5 Goals. These two games look set for goals this weekend:
- Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen (Sat 2.30pm) – Dortmund have started the season with score-lines of 5-1, 1-3 and 3-1. Leverkusen have had a 3-2 and a 1-3. Last season this fixture produced 3-2 and 2-4 results. Over 2.5 Goals is 4/9 (1.44) in general
- RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich (Sat 5.30pm) – This is 1st v 2nd in the early-season Bundesliga table. Leipzig are 100% for Over 2.5 Goals so far. And Bayern are 3 out of 3, too. Over 2.5 Goals is 4/9 (1.44) in general
Stats Pick: Over 2.5 Goals – DOUBLE @ Evens+ (2.00+).
Stats Picks Summary
In summary, this weekend’s Stats Picks are:
- Norwich v Man City – Time of First Goal – ‘Up To And Including 15th minute’ @ 7/5 (2.40) with William Hill. First Goal Time: 1-15 Min @ 63/50 (2.26) Marathonbet, 6/5 (2.20) Betway
- Wolves v Chelsea – UNDER 10.5 Corners @ 4/6 (1.67) with Bet365, Skybet, 888 Sport, Unibet, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook
- Stoke v Bristol City – OVER 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 (2.10) with Betfred, BetVictor, Evens+ (2.00+) in general
- Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen & RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich - OVER 2.5 Goals – DOUBLE @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, BetVictor, Evens+ (2.00+) in general
I’ll be back next week with more Stats Picks...
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
